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Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

1978

Articles 1 - 30 of 38

Full-Text Articles in Economics

Fiscal And Monetary Policies, Capital Formation, And Economic Activity, Willem H. Buiter, James Tobin Dec 1978

Fiscal And Monetary Policies, Capital Formation, And Economic Activity, Willem H. Buiter, James Tobin

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


A Model Of Stochastic Equilibrium In A Quasi-Competitive Industry, John Sutton Nov 1978

A Model Of Stochastic Equilibrium In A Quasi-Competitive Industry, John Sutton

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


Finiteness And Inefficiency Of Nash Equilibria, Pradeep Dubey Nov 1978

Finiteness And Inefficiency Of Nash Equilibria, Pradeep Dubey

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


Balance Of Payments And The Foreign Exchange Market: A Dynamic Partial Equilibrium Model, Pentti J.K. Kouri Nov 1978

Balance Of Payments And The Foreign Exchange Market: A Dynamic Partial Equilibrium Model, Pentti J.K. Kouri

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


An Estimate Of The Uncertainty Of Policy Effects In A Macro-Economic Model, Ray C. Fair Nov 1978

An Estimate Of The Uncertainty Of Policy Effects In A Macro-Economic Model, Ray C. Fair

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


A Proposal For International Monetary Reform, James Tobin Oct 1978

A Proposal For International Monetary Reform, James Tobin

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


Equity, Efficiency And Increasing Returns, Donald J. Brown, Geoffrey M. Heal Oct 1978

Equity, Efficiency And Increasing Returns, Donald J. Brown, Geoffrey M. Heal

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


Multiplicative Bidding And Convergence To Equilibrium, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans Oct 1978

Multiplicative Bidding And Convergence To Equilibrium, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

General equilibrium strategies may be relatively difficult to determine. While multiplicative strategies may be much simpler to calculate, they are not in general in equilibrium. An example shows that such strategies may indeed be quite far from equilibrium. However, if the example is iterated using Bayesian decision analysis, the strategies quickly converge to being very nearly in equilibrium.


Government Deficits And Capital Accumulation, James Tobin Oct 1978

Government Deficits And Capital Accumulation, James Tobin

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


The Optimal Payment Of Unemployment Insurance Benefits Over Time, Steven Shavell, Laurence Weiss Oct 1978

The Optimal Payment Of Unemployment Insurance Benefits Over Time, Steven Shavell, Laurence Weiss

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


Economics Among The Sciences, Tjalling C. Koopmans Oct 1978

Economics Among The Sciences, Tjalling C. Koopmans

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


The Capital Stock Modified Competitive Equilibrium, Martin Shubik Oct 1978

The Capital Stock Modified Competitive Equilibrium, Martin Shubik

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


Nash Equilibria Of Market Games: Ii. Finiteness, Pradeep Dubey Oct 1978

Nash Equilibria Of Market Games: Ii. Finiteness, Pradeep Dubey

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


A Model Of International Trade And Finance, Laurence Weiss Sep 1978

A Model Of International Trade And Finance, Laurence Weiss

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


An Example Of A Multi-Object Auction Game, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans Sep 1978

An Example Of A Multi-Object Auction Game, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

Multi-object auctions are traditionally analyzed as if they were a number of simultaneous independent single object auctions. Such an approximation may be very crude if bidders have budget restrictions, capacity constraints, or, in general, have non-linear utility functions. This paper presents a very simple multi-object auction for which explicit equilibrium strategies can be calculated; these equilibrium strategies have several qualitative characteristics arising from the multi-object nature of the example and therefore not present in typical single object auctions.


A Model For The Distribution Of The Number Of Bidders In An Auction, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans Sep 1978

A Model For The Distribution Of The Number Of Bidders In An Auction, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

The distribution of the number of bidders in auctions with uncertain numbers is usually assumed to be Poisson. The observed distribution, for example in OCS Federal Offshore Oil Lease Sales, is apparently not Poisson. A simple model is presented showing that if the objects have different values and individuals tend to only bid on objects with high value, then the resulting distribution of the number of bidders will not be Poisson. The results of the model correspond closely to data observed in Federal Offshore Oil lease auctions and the model is simple enough so that it may be of practical …


Auctions And Bidding Models: A Survey, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans Sep 1978

Auctions And Bidding Models: A Survey, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

Auctions and bidding models are attracting an ever increasing amount of attention. The Stark and Rothkopf (1977) bibliography includes approximately 500 papers on the subject; additional work has been reported since the bibliography was compiled. This paper presents a general framework for classifying and describing various auctions and bidding models, and surveys the major results of the literature in terms of this framework.


Comparison Of Public Choice Systems, Robert J. Weber Sep 1978

Comparison Of Public Choice Systems, Robert J. Weber

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

The area of social decision-making is one in which the disciplines of game theory, political science, and economics all meet. One of the simplest decisions to be faced is the election of one candidate from several. Various voting systems have been proposed for such elections. In order to compare these systems in terms of their tendency to elect a candidate representative of the voters’ preferences, a measure of “effectiveness” has been developed. The study of the effectiveness of voting systems is continued in this paper. In particular, two families of voting systems are found to contain three- and four-candidate systems …


Auctions And Bidding Models: A Survey, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans Sep 1978

Auctions And Bidding Models: A Survey, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

Auctions and bidding models are attracting an ever increasing amount of attention. The Stark and Rothkopf (1977) bibliography includes approximately 500 papers on the subject; additional work has been reported since the bibliography was compiled. This paper presents a general framework for classifying and describing various auctions and bidding models, and surveys the major results of the literature in terms of this framework.


Debt Neutrality: A Brief Review Of Doctrine And Evidence, Willem H. Buiter, James Tobin Sep 1978

Debt Neutrality: A Brief Review Of Doctrine And Evidence, Willem H. Buiter, James Tobin

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


Bidding In Auctions With Multiplicative Lognormal Errors: An Example, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans Sep 1978

Bidding In Auctions With Multiplicative Lognormal Errors: An Example, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

Auction models with lognormally-distributed multiplicative errors are used extensively in models of mineral lease sales. Equilibrium strategies are typically difficult to calculate; multiplicative strategies are often used as approximations. An example based on a federal offshore oil lease sale shows that multiplicative strategies may be quite far from being in equilibrium. However, under a special form of repetition, such strategies converge very rapidly to an equilibrium. The effects of any fixed costs, the reservation price, the number of bidders and the variance of the error are examined briefly for this example.


An Integrated Model Of Household Flow-Of-Funds Allocations, David Backus, Douglas D. Purvis Aug 1978

An Integrated Model Of Household Flow-Of-Funds Allocations, David Backus, Douglas D. Purvis

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

This paper extends the multivariate stock-adjustment model commonly used in empirical studies of portfolio behavior in order to analyze the complete set of flow allocation decisions made by households (including consumption, expenditures on durables and houses, and various financial aggregates). The model is then confronted with quarterly household sector data from the United States Flow of Funds Accounts for the period 1954 to 1975. Besides presenting OLS estimates, we test parameter restrictions suggested by our theoretical structure; the data supports the view that the explanatory power of the model is enhanced by allowing non-zero cross-effects on interest rates and lagged …


An Analysis Of The Accuracy Of Four Macroeconometric Models, Ray C. Fair Aug 1978

An Analysis Of The Accuracy Of Four Macroeconometric Models, Ray C. Fair

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


The Role For Active Monetary Policy In A Rational Expectations Model, Laurence Weiss Jun 1978

The Role For Active Monetary Policy In A Rational Expectations Model, Laurence Weiss

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


A Modeling System For Applied General Equilibrium Analysis, Thomas Rutherford May 1978

A Modeling System For Applied General Equilibrium Analysis, Thomas Rutherford

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

Numerical modeling in the Arrow-Debreu framework has emerged as a consistent approach for economic analysis. A major disadvantage of the applied general equilibrium (AGE) framework has been the high degree of technical expertise required for formulating and solving these models. This paper describes a micro-computer for AGE modeling. The system, named MPS/GE, combines an efficient solution algorithm with an interactive user-interface. Using MPS/GE, models containing up to 300 prices and activities can be formulated and solved on an IBM PC. This makes AGE modeling accessible to a wider group of policy analysts and educators than was previously the case.


Profitability And Growth In A Small Open Economy, Pentti J.K. Kouri Apr 1978

Profitability And Growth In A Small Open Economy, Pentti J.K. Kouri

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


Exchange Rates And The International Adjustment Process, Pentti J.K. Kouri, Jorge B. De Macedo Mar 1978

Exchange Rates And The International Adjustment Process, Pentti J.K. Kouri, Jorge B. De Macedo

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


A Note On The Saddlepoint Approximation In The First Order Non-Circular Autoregression, Peter C.B. Phillips Mar 1978

A Note On The Saddlepoint Approximation In The First Order Non-Circular Autoregression, Peter C.B. Phillips

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

In approximating the small sample distribution of the least squares estimator of the coefficient in a non-circular autoregression the saddlepoint method is complicated by the presence of a branch point of the integrand within the natural contour of integration. Some new approximations are given based on a contour looping around the branch point; and a uniform approximation which is valid as the saddlepoint crosses branch point is also developed.


Systems Defense Games: Colonel Blotto, Command And Control, Martin Shubik, Robert J. Weber Mar 1978

Systems Defense Games: Colonel Blotto, Command And Control, Martin Shubik, Robert J. Weber

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.


The Structure Of Neutral Monotonic Social Functions, Julian H. Blau, Donald J. Brown Mar 1978

The Structure Of Neutral Monotonic Social Functions, Julian H. Blau, Donald J. Brown

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

In [6], Guha gave a complete characterization of path independent social decision functions which satisfy the independence of irrelevant alternatives condition, the strong Pareto principle, and UII, i.e., unanimous indifference implies social indifference. These conditions necessarily imply that a path independent social decision function is neutral and monotonic. In this paper, we extend Guha’s characterization to the class of neutral monotonic social functions. We show that neutral monotonic social functions and their specializations to social decision functions, path independent social decision functions, and social welfare functions can be uniquely represented as a collection of overlapping simple games, each of which …