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- Chihuahua (13)
- Economic Predictions (13)
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- Mexico (13)
- Mexico Border (13)
- Border Economics (1)
- Derived Input Demand (1)
- Duality Theory (1)
- Electricity (1)
- Las Cruces Metropolitan Economy (1)
- Metropolitan Business Cycle Predictability (1)
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- Yield Spreads (1)
- Yield spreads (1)
Articles 1 - 20 of 20
Full-Text Articles in Economics
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number12, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number12, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number11, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number11, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 26, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 26, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number10, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number10, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 9, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 9, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 8, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 8, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Business Cycle Downturn Estimation For Ciudad Juarez: 1991-2022, Steven L. Fullerton, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.
Business Cycle Downturn Estimation For Ciudad Juarez: 1991-2022, Steven L. Fullerton, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.
Border Region Modeling Project
A monthly frequency metropolitan business cycle downturn likelihood equation is estimated for Ciudad Juarez. The binary index of economic conditions is based upon monthly IMMEX export oriented manufacturing employment. A dynamic probit methodology is used for parameter estimation. Continuous explanatory variables include a 1-year minus 1-month Mexico interest rate spread, a 2015 = 100 weighted real exchange rate index, and a 10-year minus 3-month USA interest rate spread. Parameter estimation results confirm the various hypotheses examined. However, model simulation outcomes are less favorable with the results indicating that accurate forecasting of the post-2010 business cycles may require additional refinement to …
Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 26, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton, Steven L. Fullerton
Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 26, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton, Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 7, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 7, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 6, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 6, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 5, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 5, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 26, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 26, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 26, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 26, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Yield Spreads And Business Cycle Downturn Predictability Across Texas, 1991-2018, Aaron Dodson Nazarian, Steven L. Fullerton, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.
Yield Spreads And Business Cycle Downturn Predictability Across Texas, 1991-2018, Aaron Dodson Nazarian, Steven L. Fullerton, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.
Border Region Modeling Project
This study analyzes Texas state and metropolitan economic downturn predictability. Publicly available Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas dynamic factor business cycle indices are used in the analysis. Sample data cover Texas and nine of its largest metropolitan economies from January 1991 through May 2018. Dynamic autoregressive profit downturn models are estimated using the United States yield spread plus other regional and macroeconomic variables. Predictive accuracy is analyzed using in-sample model simulations. Results indicate that narrowing yield spreads, real peso appreciation, and oil price declines are generally found to increase recession likelihoods. Varying lag structures and equation specifications indicate that the …
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 7, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Small Firm Electricity Demand In Las Cruces: 1978-2018, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Daniel J. Pastor, Michael Pokojovy, Andrew T. Yurachek
Small Firm Electricity Demand In Las Cruces: 1978-2018, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Daniel J. Pastor, Michael Pokojovy, Andrew T. Yurachek
Border Region Modeling Project
Research examining small commercial and industrial electricity usage patterns have historically received less attention than residential electricity consumption patterns. This study examines electricity as an input to small firm commercial and industrial (CIS) production in Las Cruces, the second largest metropolitan economy in the state of New Mexico, using annual frequency data from 1978 to 2018. Those data include labor, per capita personal income, price measures for electricity and natural gas, and weather variables. The long-run and short-run elasticities of the data are then estimated using an autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL). In the long-run, the CIS derived-demand curve is …
Highlights Of Borderplex Economic Outlook To 2024, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Highlights Of Borderplex Economic Outlook To 2024, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.