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Full-Text Articles in Economics
An Overview And Dynamics Of Financial Market Development In Nigeria And Imperatives For Exchange Rate Stability, E.U. Ukeje
Economic and Financial Review
The article discusses the important role money market plays in the economic development of any country which provides the platform for central banks to influence short-term interest rates,
Macroeconomic Trillema And Monetary Policy In Nigeria, Moses K. Tule
Macroeconomic Trillema And Monetary Policy In Nigeria, Moses K. Tule
Bullion
The paper explores how the macroeconomic trilemma influences monetary Policy choices and action in practical terms. Section 1 is the introduction, section 2 examines in greater details key conceptual issues. After it a review of the historical epochs of the trilemma, followed by contemporary country experiences in managing the trilemma. Section five examines the challenges of the trilemma in Nigeria while the last section concludes the paper.
Basic And Computation Of Rebased Gross Domestic Product (Gdp) Nigeria's Experience, Emeka Godwin Ofili
Basic And Computation Of Rebased Gross Domestic Product (Gdp) Nigeria's Experience, Emeka Godwin Ofili
Bullion
The paper looks at the basic concepts in GDP compilation and the computational processes for the rebased GDP. The paper is structured into four sections. The first section deals with the introduction while section two explains some basic concepts and mathematics for GDP compilation. Section three takes a look at the GDP Rebasing while section four deals with the Recent Development from the rebasing exercise.
Nexus Of Exchange Rate Deregulation And Agricultural Share Of Gross Domestic Product In Nigeria, Oyakhilomen Oyinbo, Falola Abraham, Grace Z. Rekwot
Nexus Of Exchange Rate Deregulation And Agricultural Share Of Gross Domestic Product In Nigeria, Oyakhilomen Oyinbo, Falola Abraham, Grace Z. Rekwot
CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)
The kernel of this study was to examine the causal relationship between exchange rate deregulation and the agricultural share of gross domestic product in Nigeria from an econometric perspective using time series data spanning a period of 26 years (1986 – 2011). Data on exchange rate and gross domestic product were analysed using augmented dickey fuller unit root test, unrestricted vector autoregression, pairwise granger causality and vector error correction model. The results showed the existence of unidirectional causality from exchange rate to agricultural share of gross domestic production and also, exchange rate deregulation had negative influence on agricultural share of …
Exchange Rate Policy And Economic Management: A Theoretical Nexus, Ayodele Jimoh
Exchange Rate Policy And Economic Management: A Theoretical Nexus, Ayodele Jimoh
Economic and Financial Review
This article focused on exchange rate policy and economic management: a theoretical nexus
Responsiveness Of Nigeria's Short-Term Interest Rates To Changes In The Policy Rate, M. K. Tule
Responsiveness Of Nigeria's Short-Term Interest Rates To Changes In The Policy Rate, M. K. Tule
Economic and Financial Review
This paper appraises the efficacy of the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) as an anchor for other short-term interest rates in the economy. Adopting the vector autoregression approach, the responses of Nigeria's short-term interest rates to changes in the interbank rate (proxy for MPR) was modelled. The paper found that the pass-through from MPR to money market interest rates in the long-run is higher for the prime and lending rates than for changes in the Treasury bill rate and 3-month deposit rate. Overall, there seemed to be an asymmetric impact with an increase or fall in the interbank rate.
Nigeria's Monetary Conditions Index, M. K. Tule, A. M. Isah, P. N. Okafor, I. Pedro, S. A. Ukeje, K. Oji, S. Oladunni
Nigeria's Monetary Conditions Index, M. K. Tule, A. M. Isah, P. N. Okafor, I. Pedro, S. A. Ukeje, K. Oji, S. Oladunni
Economic and Financial Review
The paper aims to construct a monetary conditions index (MCI) for Nigeria to aid the evaluation of the stance of monetary policy. Quarterly data for 91-day treasury bill rate (TBR), real exchange rate (RER), inflation rate (INF), real private sector credit (RCP), and real gross domestic product (RGDP), covering the period 2000Q1 to 2014Q1, were utilised. The period coincided with key reforms in the money and foreign exchange markets, culminating in the adoption of a new monetary policy framework in 2006. Following some econometric diagnostic tests, an aggregate demand function was estimated using the Johansen co-integration technique. The resultant long-run …
Quality Of Governance And Stock Market Performance: The Nigerian Experience, K. B. Ajide
Quality Of Governance And Stock Market Performance: The Nigerian Experience, K. B. Ajide
Economic and Financial Review
The paper examines the impact of governance on stock market performance using quarterly data series spanning 1996Q1 to 2010Q4. An ARDL bound testing methodology was employed to explore such causal relationship. Long-run stable relationships were established through the error correction terms of each of the measures used to the tune of -0.4821,-0.4034 and -0.4080 for all share price index, market capitalisation and the value of total stock traded, respectively. Findings indicate that macroeconomic and financial stability should be constantly maintained and promoted as it constitutes a drag on the stock performance; any acts of corruption should be eschewed as it …
An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Ardl) Approach To The Oil Consumption And Growth Nexus: Nigerian Evidence, N. Inuwa, H. M. Usman
An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Ardl) Approach To The Oil Consumption And Growth Nexus: Nigerian Evidence, N. Inuwa, H. M. Usman
Economic and Financial Review
This study attempts to examine the relationship between oil consumption, carbon emission and economic growth in Nigeria covering the period 1980-2011. The study applied Dickey-Fuller Generalised Least Square (DF-GLS) unit root test and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test approach to co-integration. The bond test results reveals a long-run equilibrium relationship among oil consumption, carbon emission and economic growth. The result also showed a positive and statistically significant impact of oil consumption on economic growth. The coefficient of error correction term in the ARDL model was statistically significant, indicating that the adjustment process by which long-run equilibrium is restored after …
Effect Of Monetary Policy On Agricultural Sector In Nigeria, Elias A. Udeaja, Udoh A. Elijah
Effect Of Monetary Policy On Agricultural Sector In Nigeria, Elias A. Udeaja, Udoh A. Elijah
Economic and Financial Review
The study examinee the effect of monetary policy on agricultural sector in Nigeria, utilizing time series data for the periods spanning from 1970 to 2010. The study captures both monetary and non-monetary policy variables such as lending rate, commercial banks credit to agriculture, exchange rate, government expenditure in agriculture and inflation rate in examining the effect of monetary policy on agricultural output. The methodology adopted is the Auto- Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bound Testing Approach. The results obtained shows that exchange rate and government expenditure had positive and significant effect on agricultural output and, hence agricultural sector in Nigeria. It …
Modeling And Forecasting Currency In Circulation For Liquidity Management In Nigeria, Alvan Ikoku
Modeling And Forecasting Currency In Circulation For Liquidity Management In Nigeria, Alvan Ikoku
CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)
This paper presents forecasts of currency in circulation prepared for liquidity management at the Central Bank of Nigeria. Forecasts were produced using ARIMA, ARIMA with structural variables, VAR and VEC models. The performance of the forecasts was then evaluated under a rolling forecast scenario, where the estimation sample is augmented by one observation and the forecast sample is brought forward. The evaluation of the forecasts was based on average performance over a number of rolling forecasts. We found that the most accurate models were mixed models with structural as well as ARIMA components, augmented by seasonal and dummy variables. We …
Destination Sectors And Originating Economies Of Nigeria’S Private Foreign Assets And Liabilities In 2012, Sani I. Doguwa, Mohammed M, Tumala, Isaiah Olufemi Ajibola
Destination Sectors And Originating Economies Of Nigeria’S Private Foreign Assets And Liabilities In 2012, Sani I. Doguwa, Mohammed M, Tumala, Isaiah Olufemi Ajibola
CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)
The 2013 survey of foreign assets and liabilities of enterprises in Nigeria was conducted to determine destination sectors of foreign private capital flows and economies where such investments originate. The survey covered 649 large establishments in Nigeria with 87.4 per cent response rate. The cross border transactions/investments of the respondents during 2011 and 2012 indicate total foreign claims on the Nigerian economy as at end 2012 rising to N16, 790.78 billion from N13, 647.19 billion recorded in 2011. Of this total, 98.1per cent came in the form of direct investments, while portfolio investments and other capital flows accounted for 1.1 …
An Examination Of The Structural Inflation Dynamics In Nigeria, O. J. Odonye, S. O. Odeniran, A. O. Oduyemi, O. J. Olaoye, K. J. Ajayi
An Examination Of The Structural Inflation Dynamics In Nigeria, O. J. Odonye, S. O. Odeniran, A. O. Oduyemi, O. J. Olaoye, K. J. Ajayi
Economic and Financial Review
This study examines the dynamics of inflation in Nigeria, including the structural evolution as well as the direction of its movement with a view to designing appropriate policy measures to rein in the inflationary pressures. The study utilized quarterly data from 1970(1) to 2013 (4) except for Bureau de Change (BDC) premium where the duration was 1991(1) to 2013 (4) based on Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The results show that structural factors like budget deficit, rainfall, variation in export, exchange rate premium have profound influence on movement in CPI in Nigeria during the period.