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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
江戸時代女性の噂話 第二部：農村あるいは地方の女性, Cecilia (淑子） Seigle (瀬川）
江戸時代女性の噂話 第二部：農村あるいは地方の女性, Cecilia (淑子） Seigle (瀬川）
Cecilia S Seigle Ph.D.
No abstract provided.
Some Observations On The Weddings Of Tokugawa Shogun’S Daughters – Part 2, Cecilia Seigle
Some Observations On The Weddings Of Tokugawa Shogun’S Daughters – Part 2, Cecilia Seigle
Cecilia S Seigle Ph.D.
This section discusses the complex psychological and philosophical reason for Shogun Yoshimune’s contrasting handlings of his two adopted daughters’ and his favorite son’s weddings. In my thinking, Yoshimune lived up to his philosophical principles by the illogical, puzzling treatment of the three weddings. We can witness the manifestation of his modest and frugal personality inherited from his ancestor Ieyasu, cohabiting with his strong but unconventional sense of obligation and respect for his benefactor Tsunayoshi.
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit, J. Scott Armstrong, Kesten C. Green, Willie Soon
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit, J. Scott Armstrong, Kesten C. Green, Willie Soon
J. Scott Armstrong
Calls to list polar bears as a threatened species under the United States Endangered Species Act are based on forecasts of substantial long-term declines in their population. Nine government reports were written to help U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service managers decide whether or not to list polar bears as a threatened species. We assessed these reports based on evidence-based (scientific) forecasting principles. None of the reports referred to sources of scientific forecasting methodology. Of the nine, Amstrup, Marcot, and Douglas (2007) and Hunter et al. (2007) were the most relevant to the listing decision, and we devoted our attention to …