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Articles 1 - 30 of 220
Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
Daily Stock Market Movement From Oscillating Social Mood Factors, Cari Bourette
Daily Stock Market Movement From Oscillating Social Mood Factors, Cari Bourette
Cari Bourette
Since 2006, there has been ongoing research into the correlation of a set of oscillating mood factors and socioeconomic, geopolitical, and natural events with the goal of forecasting increased risks of destabilizing events. While promising results have been forthcoming, it has been difficult to present models that allowed those outside a small circle of specialists to participate. Between July 2007 and June 2010, weekly social mood projections, as published in monthly issues of MoodCompass, were used to develop a model to convert four oscillating mood factors into stock market expectations. This model was modified to generate signals of projected stock …
The Challenges Of Electoral Process Institutions Of The Zanzibar And Union Elections Of 1995, 2000 And 2005: Anything New With The Election Expenses Act, 2010?, Conrad John Masabo Mr.
The Challenges Of Electoral Process Institutions Of The Zanzibar And Union Elections Of 1995, 2000 And 2005: Anything New With The Election Expenses Act, 2010?, Conrad John Masabo Mr.
Conrad John Masabo Mr.
Though it is true that elections alone do not guarantee proper functioning of democracies, they are the most convenient means of effecting orderly political successions of office bearers. But for elections to become credible instruments to political succession its adherence to the rules of the game as well as procedures which had been agreed upon by players themselves. In that regard the constitutional and legal framework governing the electoral processes have been always central and among the fundamental issues during elections. They thus constitute most important decrees in setting conditions under which elections are conducted in a country. This paper …
El Efecto De Las Leyes Electorales Sobre La Fragmentación Partidaria En Chile, 2004‐2008. Voto Estratégico, Barreras A La Entrada E Información., Sergio Y. Toro, Rafael Piñeiro, Mauricio Morales
El Efecto De Las Leyes Electorales Sobre La Fragmentación Partidaria En Chile, 2004‐2008. Voto Estratégico, Barreras A La Entrada E Información., Sergio Y. Toro, Rafael Piñeiro, Mauricio Morales
Sergio Y. Toro
Resumen Este artículo analiza los efectos de las fórmulas mayoritarias sobre el número efectivo de candidatos en las elecciones de Presidente (mayoría absoluta) y Alcalde (mayoría relativa) en Chile. Aunque teóricamente se esperaría una mayor fragmentación con el sistema de mayoría absoluta con dos vueltas, los autores demuestran que para el caso chileno se observa precisamente lo contrario. La fragmentación es mayor en el sistema de mayoría relativa. Esto se explica por los menores costos de entrada e información que existen para las elecciones de alcalde respecto a las presidenciales. Respaldamos esta hipótesis con un modelo estadístico en serie de …
El Relato K: De Donde Viene Y Hacia Dónde Va, Augusto Reina, Máximo Reina
El Relato K: De Donde Viene Y Hacia Dónde Va, Augusto Reina, Máximo Reina
Augusto Reina
Luego de 8 años de gobierno, el kirchnerismo se apresta a cambiar la lógica de los ciclos políticos argentinos. Tres periodos consecutivos es algo que no pudo conseguir ningún espacio político en la historia argentina. Frente a esto, el análisis que adjuntamos comienza con una reconstrucción de los apoyos que obtuvo el gobierno en estos 8 años, identificando sus principales sostenes y cristalizando el relato de gobierno que mantuvo en los últimos años. Sostenemos que la consistencia con la cual el kirchnerismo ha logrado hilvanar diversas políticas dentro de un mismo relato es uno de los principales pilares de su …
Book Review: Karen Alter, The European Court's Power Selected Essays, Arthur Dyevre
Book Review: Karen Alter, The European Court's Power Selected Essays, Arthur Dyevre
Arthur Dyevre
No abstract provided.
The Oecd And Phases In The International Political Economy, 1961-2011, Judith Clifton, Daniel Díaz-Fuentes
The Oecd And Phases In The International Political Economy, 1961-2011, Judith Clifton, Daniel Díaz-Fuentes
Judith Clifton
In 2011, the OECD turned fifty. To provide a broad foundation for further thinking on this organization, we analyse its evolution over half a century from two perspectives: phases in the international political economy and the literature on IPE. By so doing, we uncover two paradoxes. Firstly, we find that the organization’s evolution closely mirrored major phases in the postwar international political economy until recently. However, the OECD’s long-term dependence on theWest has now become an obstacle to its efforts to adapt to the latest phase, characterised by the rise of non-Western powers. Secondly, we show that, during the OECD’s …
Three Dimensions Of The Emerging Political Philosophy Of Islam, Muqtedar Khan
Three Dimensions Of The Emerging Political Philosophy Of Islam, Muqtedar Khan
Muqtedar Khan
This chapter explores how jurists, philosophers and theologians contribute to islamic political theory.
El Secreto Del Éxito: Presidentes Y Cártles Legislativos En Uruguay, Daniel Chasquetti
El Secreto Del Éxito: Presidentes Y Cártles Legislativos En Uruguay, Daniel Chasquetti
Daniel Chasquetti
In the last two decades the Uruguayan political system has shown a cooperative relationship between the two government branches. he Executives were able to pass their legislative agenda in an eicient way by building cartel-party at the Houses. his article proposes an explanation based on the theoretical developments of Cox and McCubbins (1993 and 2005), about the creation of legislative cartels in Uruguay. In particular, the article explains how constitutes a central authority in the House where the executive holds a dominant inluence, and how that authority usurps and controls the agenda power. I also present new evidence about the …
Elementos Para Una EconomíA PolíTica Del Republicanismo: Un AnáLisis CríTico De La Renta BáSica De Alaska, David Casassas, Jurgen De Wispelaere
Elementos Para Una EconomíA PolíTica Del Republicanismo: Un AnáLisis CríTico De La Renta BáSica De Alaska, David Casassas, Jurgen De Wispelaere
Jurgen De Wispelaere
En este artículo presentamos las ideas básicas que subyacen a la teoría política republicana y establecemos una línea de demarcación entre la perspectiva republicana y el libertarianismo de izquierdas, el cual tiene en la renta básica de Alaska su plasmación institucional más natural e inmediata. A partir de ahí, abordamos tres conjuntos de problemas que presenta el modelo de Alaska: la falta de una base económica sustancial, la falta de frenos a la acumulación de poder económico privado y la falta de mecanismos de control democrático sobre los procesos de extracción, imposición tributaria y distribución de los recursos naturales. Así, …
The Prosecution And Confiscation Of The Proceeds Of Illicit Enrichment, Bryane Michael
The Prosecution And Confiscation Of The Proceeds Of Illicit Enrichment, Bryane Michael
Bryane Michael (bryane.michael@stcatz.ox.ac.uk)
These training slides show prosecutors and judges how to find and recover the proceeds of corruption (under Macedonian law as a practical example).
Los Modelos De Equilibrio General: La Revisión De Chancelier Y Una Crítica A Debreu Y Mckenzie, Rodrigo Lopez-Pablos
Los Modelos De Equilibrio General: La Revisión De Chancelier Y Una Crítica A Debreu Y Mckenzie, Rodrigo Lopez-Pablos
Lopez-Pablos, Rodrigo
A revision on general equilibrium theory from an entropic perspective. JEL CLASSIFICATION: D50, O21, Z19
Ondervraging Van Irakese En Afghaanse Insurgents: De Nederlandse Ervaringen, George Dimitriu
Ondervraging Van Irakese En Afghaanse Insurgents: De Nederlandse Ervaringen, George Dimitriu
George Dimitriu
Gedurende de afgelopen jaren is de Nederlandse Krijgsmacht een aantal jaren actief geweest in Irak en Afghanistan waarbij honderden mensen gevangen zijn genomen en zijn ondervraagd. In tegenstelling tot veel andere landen die ook in Irak en Afghanistan actief zijn of waren, zoals de Verenigde Staten, Groot-Brittannië, Spanje en Canada, is Nederland tot op heden gevrijwaard gebleven van een groot martelschandaal of een binnenlandse discussie. Afgezien van een incident in 2006 toen krantenkoppen Nederlanders betichtten van marteling tijdens de missie in Irak, is er maar weinig voorgevallen. Bovendien luwde de ophef over het vermeende martelincident in Irak al snel. Hoe …
De Missie In Uruzgan Als Strategisch Narratief, George Dimitriu, Beatrice De Graaf
De Missie In Uruzgan Als Strategisch Narratief, George Dimitriu, Beatrice De Graaf
George Dimitriu
In dit artikel willen we stilstaan bij het belang van maatschappelijk draagvlak in westerse democratieën voor langdurige missies, waarbij de primaire landsbelangen niet direct op het spel staan en waarbij de noodzaak tot oorlogsvoering niet buiten kijf staat. We nemen de ISAF-evaluatie als uitgangspunt, maar willen het punt uitwerken dat in deze evaluatie buiten beschouwing is gelaten: de relatie tussen troepeninzet voor missies en het maatschappelijke draagvlak. Die relatie krijgt vorm in publieke en politieke debatten, in lobby's en stemmingen in de Kamer. Er is inmiddels een rijk onderzoeksveld ontstaan rond vraagstukken van maatschappelijk draagvlak, publieke opinie en oorlogsvoering. Uit …
Beyond Anti-Semitism, Rebecca Gould
Beyond Anti-Semitism, Rebecca Gould
Rebecca Gould
Focusing on internal contradictions within the Israeli left, this essay considers the impact of the historical legacy of anti-Semitism on everyday thinking about Israel and the Palestinian territories. Contesting the view that to criticize Israel is to engage in anti-Semitic defamation, it offers an historical account of how Israel's actions in the West Bank have come to be immunized from conscientious criticism. It also documents how progressive media outlets in contemporary Israel have silenced or otherwise marginalized Israel's most active critics.
El Primer Año Legislativo Del Gobierno De Mujica, Daniel Chasquetti, Alejandro Guedes
El Primer Año Legislativo Del Gobierno De Mujica, Daniel Chasquetti, Alejandro Guedes
Daniel Chasquetti
No abstract provided.
Differences In Pandemic Influenza Vaccination Policies For Pregnant Women In Europe, Gordon Marnoch, Michiel Luteijn, Helen Dolk
Differences In Pandemic Influenza Vaccination Policies For Pregnant Women In Europe, Gordon Marnoch, Michiel Luteijn, Helen Dolk
Gordon Marnoch
Background: An important component of the policy to deal with the H1N1 pandemic in 2009 was to develop and implement vaccination. Since pregnant women were found to be at particular risk of severe morbidity and mortality, the World Health Organization and the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control advised vaccinating pregnant women, regardless of trimester of pregnancy. This study reports a survey of vaccination policies for pregnant women in European countries. Methods: Questionnaires were sent to European competent authorities of 27 countries via the European Medicines Agency and to leaders of registries of European Surveillance of Congenital Anomalies in …
Strategische Communicatie In Afghanistan: Alles Draait Om Perceptie, George Dimitriu
Strategische Communicatie In Afghanistan: Alles Draait Om Perceptie, George Dimitriu
George Dimitriu
Tijdens conflicten is beïnvloeding van de verschillende relevante doelgroepen – tegenstanders, de lokale bevolking en het eigen thuisfront – altijd al van doorslaggevend belang geweest. Maar door de geglobaliseerde nieuwe vormen van media dat heeft geleid tot ongekende beïnvloedings-mogelijkheden, de verwevenheid van target audiences en de communicatiesuccessen van terroristen is het belang van de ideologische strijd vandaag de dag enorm toegenomen. De westerse bondgenoten zijn in Afghanistan niet alleen in een fysieke strijd verwikkeld maar ook in een strijd om percepties. Zonder draagvlak van het thuisfront is langdurige inzet van troepen immers niet mogelijk en zonder steun van de lokale …
The Arab Spring And The Illusion Of A Pragmatic Approach To Foreign Policy, Gabriel C. Lajeunesse
The Arab Spring And The Illusion Of A Pragmatic Approach To Foreign Policy, Gabriel C. Lajeunesse
Gabriel C. Lajeunesse
If we continue to pursue "pragmatic" approaches in the moment, rather than truly pragmatic approaches that are loyal to our core values, we will find ourselves committed to handling crisis after crisis with far greater cost in blood and treasure.
Review: The Faces Of Terrorism: Social And Psychological Dimensions, By Neil Smelser, Dylan Kissane
Review: The Faces Of Terrorism: Social And Psychological Dimensions, By Neil Smelser, Dylan Kissane
Dylan Kissane
In the decade since the 9/11 terrorist attacks there have been countless books and articles published that have sought to explain Islamist terrorism and explore policy responses to terrorism from the Muslim world. A smaller sector of the literature has sought to place Islamist terror in its international political context, drawing parallels with terrorism in the Basque country, Northern Ireland and domestic groups in the United States. A smaller sector again seeks to explore not only to describe such terrorism and explore policy responses to it but also to dig deeper and uncover the motivations that drive terrorists and those …
The United States, Iran And The Continuing Salience Of Geography, Dylan Kissane
The United States, Iran And The Continuing Salience Of Geography, Dylan Kissane
Dylan Kissane
With recent US political and strategic goals unmet after ineffective diplomatic efforts and economic sanctions, some commentators and foreign policy experts have begun urging American strategists to employ military force to effect change in Iran’s domestic and foreign policies. Presumably inspired by American success in establishing a US-friendly regime in neighbouring Iraq, such commentators suggest that a similar strategy of overwhelming military force could overcome the existing military and political structure of Iran and establish a pro-Western regime in its place. Such notions, however, rely on ignorance of one of the most basic elements of Iran: her geography. This ignorance, …
A Sociologia Política Brasileira Em Análise: Quatro Visões Sobre O Funcionamento Administrativo Do Estado Novo, Adriano Codato
A Sociologia Política Brasileira Em Análise: Quatro Visões Sobre O Funcionamento Administrativo Do Estado Novo, Adriano Codato
Adriano Codato
Within Brazilian Political Sociology, there are four different views on state Administrative Departments, apparatuses created by the Vargas dictatorship in 1939 as a complement to the system of federal interventors. On the basis of these interpretations, there are also four different ways of looking at the New State regime (1937-1945) itself. Views on administrative departments diverge both according to observers' convictions regarding the way the authoritarian political system functions and according to which of these agencies' roles (political, economic, bureaucratic) the analyst considers as most salient. In this essay I analyze existing interpretations on this issue; I emphasize that which …
De La Primavera Árabe A Los Indignados. ¿Hacia Dónde Van Las Movilizaciones Sociales?, Augusto Reina
De La Primavera Árabe A Los Indignados. ¿Hacia Dónde Van Las Movilizaciones Sociales?, Augusto Reina
Augusto Reina
No abstract provided.
Ευρωπαϊκή Ένωση: Στρατηγικός Εταίρος Ή Λάθος Στρατηγική Επιλογή Για Το Κυπριακό, Zenonas Tziarras
Ευρωπαϊκή Ένωση: Στρατηγικός Εταίρος Ή Λάθος Στρατηγική Επιλογή Για Το Κυπριακό, Zenonas Tziarras
Zenonas Tziarras
No abstract provided.
Free The Market. Peter J. Boettke. Spanish Translation, Mario Šilar
Free The Market. Peter J. Boettke. Spanish Translation, Mario Šilar
Mario Šilar
No abstract provided.
Preaching What We Practice: Bringing Scope And Methods “Back In”, Miguel Centellas
Preaching What We Practice: Bringing Scope And Methods “Back In”, Miguel Centellas
Miguel Centellas
Recent discussions of teaching research methods have focused on understand- ing the relationship between methods courses and the broader discipline, including the need to integrate qualitative methods and other approaches beyond the traditional statis- tical approaches still common in the majority of undergraduate research methods courses. This article contributes to this conversation by arguing that the basic elements of research design and qualitative techniques should be integrated into substantive (or “non-methods”) courses across the discipline. To accomplish this aim, I offer a brief outline of methodolog- ical benchmark skills—drawn from the pool of skills necessary for a successful thesis—that can …
La Agenda Internacional De América Latina: Entre Nuevas Y Viejas Alianzas, Günther Maihold
La Agenda Internacional De América Latina: Entre Nuevas Y Viejas Alianzas, Günther Maihold
Günther Maihold
A pesar de la retórica internacional de calificar cualquier vínculo interestatal de importancia como asociación estratégica, la relación entre América Latina y sus socios tradicionales, como Estados Unidos y la Unión Europea, parece haber atravesado una etapa de desencanto. El interés de estos últimos en profundizar la cooperación económica y política con América Latina ha sufrido un debilitamiento, ya que otras regiones del mundo acapararon más su atención y sus intereses económicos, políticos o militares. Al mismo tiempo, otros actores mundiales, como China y Rusia, han tomado en consideración el importante potencial político y económico de América Latina y han …
Santos, Marcelo. O Conflito Colombiano E O Plano Colômbia. Senhoras, E. M.; Camargo, J. F. (Orgs). Coleção Relações Internacionais, Vol. 3, Prof. Dr. Eloi Martins Senhoras
Santos, Marcelo. O Conflito Colombiano E O Plano Colômbia. Senhoras, E. M.; Camargo, J. F. (Orgs). Coleção Relações Internacionais, Vol. 3, Prof. Dr. Eloi Martins Senhoras
Elói Martins Senhoras
No abstract provided.
Renta Básica Y Emancipación Social: Principios, Diseños Y Coaliciones, David Casassas, Jurgen De Wispelaere
Renta Básica Y Emancipación Social: Principios, Diseños Y Coaliciones, David Casassas, Jurgen De Wispelaere
Jurgen De Wispelaere
¿Constituye la renta básica una medida potencialmente emancipatoria? ¿Se halla dicho potencial emancipatorio presente en cualquier proyecto de renta básica que podamos alumbrar? Este artículo nace del convencimiento de que el primer interrogante merece una respuesta afirmativa y de que el se- gundo ha de ser contestado con una cautelosa negación. En efecto, estas páginas aspiran a mostrar que el potencial emancipatorio de la renta básica no es algo que venga dado de forma necesaria por su propia definición como política de transferencia de rentas de carácter universal e incondicional, sino que depende de la naturaleza del contexto social e …
Unanswered Questions Of A Minority People In International Law: A Comparative Study Between Southern Cameroons & South Sudan, Bernard Sama Mr
Unanswered Questions Of A Minority People In International Law: A Comparative Study Between Southern Cameroons & South Sudan, Bernard Sama Mr
Bernard Sama
The month July of 2011 marked the birth of another nation in the World. The distressful journey of a minority people under the watchful eyes of the international community finally paid off with a new nation called the South Sudan . As I watched the South Sudanese celebrate independence on 9 July 2011, I was filled with joy as though they have finally landed. On a promising note, I read the UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon saying “[t]ogether, we welcome the Republic of South Sudan to the community of nations. Together, we affirm our commitment to helping it meet its …
El Costo De Pasar: Gobiernos De Coalición Y Gobiernos De Partido En El Proceso Legislativo Uruguayo, Daniel Chasquetti
El Costo De Pasar: Gobiernos De Coalición Y Gobiernos De Partido En El Proceso Legislativo Uruguayo, Daniel Chasquetti
Daniel Chasquetti
El artículo analiza y compara los costos adicionales de transacción que impuso el proceso legislativo a los gobiernos de Jorge Batlle (2000-2005, gobierno de coalición) y de Tabaré Vázquez (2005-2008, gobierno de partido) en Uruguay. La teoría sostiene que los gobiernos de coalición suelen ser más costosos que los gobiernos de partido (Laver y Schofield, 1991) pues su proceso de formación implica una compleja transacción en torno a políticas, cargos y apoyos legislativos, donde participan múltiples actores. Normalmente, como el acuerdo no satisface las preferencias de los socios en todas las policies, el proceso legislativo determina costos adicionales en materia …