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Articles 1 - 18 of 18
Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
Three Essays On Macroeconomics And Development, Guilherme Klein Martins
Three Essays On Macroeconomics And Development, Guilherme Klein Martins
Doctoral Dissertations
This dissertation is a collection of essays that relate, in different forms, macroeconomic policies to economic development. Essay 1 provides evidence that austerity shocks have longrun negative effects on GDP. Besides addressing the important gap in the growing fiscal research regarding the short time horizon of the estimations, the paper analyzes two other important assumptions made in the literature regarding the (i) symmetry of episodes of fiscal expansion and contraction and (ii) uniformity of fiscal multipliers for different sizes of shocks. We use narrative fiscal shocks and propensity score reweighting in a local projections setup to account for the potential …
Long-Run Effects Of Austerity, Guilherme Klein Martins
Long-Run Effects Of Austerity, Guilherme Klein Martins
Economics Department Working Paper Series
This paper provides evidence that austerity shocks have long-run negative effects on GDP. Besides addressing the important gap in the growing fiscal research regarding the short time horizon of the estimations, this paper analyzes two other important assumptions made in the literature regarding the (i) symmetry of episodes of fiscal expansion and con- traction and (ii) uniformity of fiscal multipliers for different sizes of shocks. We use narrative fiscal shocks and propensity score reweighting in a local projections setup to account for the potential endogeneity of austerity policies and the non-linearity of its effects over time. The estimation is also …
Public Education, The State, And The Crisis, Hakan Yilmaz
Public Education, The State, And The Crisis, Hakan Yilmaz
Publications and Research
This paper aims to construct a framework for understanding the causes and dynamics of the wave of teacher strikes that took place in 2018-19. To do this, the paper first analyzes the constraints under which the state managers function and describes the relationship between the state and public education. Second, it summarizes a theoretical framework for understanding the Great Recession and describes the influence of neoliberal policy orthodoxy on the reaction to the Great Recession. Third, it provides empirical evidence that displays how following the Great Recession, the constraints of the state actors and implementation of certain policies reduced spending …
Cold Comfort From Ireland: Marginal Independence & Austerity ., Brendan O'Rourke, John Hogan
Cold Comfort From Ireland: Marginal Independence & Austerity ., Brendan O'Rourke, John Hogan
Other
No abstract provided.
The Pitfalls And Possibilities Of Socialist Transformation: The Case Of Greece, Martin Hart-Landsberg
The Pitfalls And Possibilities Of Socialist Transformation: The Case Of Greece, Martin Hart-Landsberg
Class, Race and Corporate Power
With its 2015 electoral victory in Greece, Syriza became the first left political party to lead a European government since the founding of the European Union. As such, its eventual capitulation to the demands of the Troika was a bitter development, and not only for the people of Greece. Because the need for change remains as great as ever, and efforts at electoral-based transformations continue, especially in Europe, this paper seeks to assess the Greek experience, and in particular Syriza’s political options and choices, in order to help activists more effectively respond to the challenges faced when confronting capitalist power. …
Aggregate Demand, Functional Finance And Secular Stagnation, Peter Skott
Aggregate Demand, Functional Finance And Secular Stagnation, Peter Skott
Economics Department Working Paper Series
This paper makes three main points. Fiscal policy, first, may be needed in the long run to maintain full employment and avoid secular stagnation. If fiscal policy is used in this way, second, the long-run debt ratio depends (i) inversely on the rate of growth, (ii) inversely on government consumption, and (iii) directly on the degree of inequality. The analysis, third, suggests that policies and policy debates have been misguided. The recent rediscovery of ’secular stagnation’ by Summers and others should be welcomed, but the suggested theoretical redirection is unclear and does not go far enough.
Public Debt, Secular Stagnation, And Functional Finance, Peter Skott
Public Debt, Secular Stagnation, And Functional Finance, Peter Skott
Economics Department Working Paper Series
Fiscal policy and public debt may be required to maintain full employment and avoid secular stagnation. This conclusion emerges from a range of different models, including OLG specifications and stock-flow consistent (post-) Keynesian models. One of the determinants of the required long-run debt ratio is the rate of economic growth. Low growth leads to high debt, and empirical correlations between growth and debt may reflect this causal effect of growth on debt, rather than negative effects of debt on growth. A second result relates directly to austerity policies. The level of government consumption and the structure of taxation influence the …
Fiscal And Monetary Policy Rules In An Unstable Economy, Soon Ryoo, Peter Skott
Fiscal And Monetary Policy Rules In An Unstable Economy, Soon Ryoo, Peter Skott
Economics Department Working Paper Series
This paper examines the implications of different monetary and fiscal policy rules in an economy characterized by Harrodian instability. We show that (i) a monetary rule along Taylor lines can be stabilizing for low debt ratios but becomes de-stabilizing if the debt ratio exceeds a certain threshold, (ii) a `Keynesian' fiscal policy rule can stabilize the economy at full employment, (iii) a fiscal `austerity' rule that links fiscal parameters to deviations from a target debt ratio fails to adjust the `warranted' to the `natural' growth rate and destabilizes the warranted path, (iv) instability may arise from a combination of fiscal …
Waiting For The Confidence Fairy: An Analysis Of European Sovereign Bond Spreads Before And After The Financial Crisis, David Uresti
Waiting For The Confidence Fairy: An Analysis Of European Sovereign Bond Spreads Before And After The Financial Crisis, David Uresti
Open Access Theses & Dissertations
The 2008 Financial Crisis that began in the United States caused widespread panic throughout the financial sector which resulted in the collapse of some companies and large losses for others. The availability of credit declined even as investor confidence continued to deteriorate. The European periphery concluded that the Financial Crisis would be relegated to the American economy. However, in 2009 Greece suffered a credit downgrade that signaled that the financial shock entered European shores. Shortly thereafter Spain suffered a credit downgrade followed by Italy in 2010. Suddenly the threat of default by a number of European countries became very real. …
Cyclical Downturn Or Structural Disease? The Decline Of The Italian Economy In The Last Twenty Years, Enrico Saltari, Giuseppe Ciccarone
Cyclical Downturn Or Structural Disease? The Decline Of The Italian Economy In The Last Twenty Years, Enrico Saltari, Giuseppe Ciccarone
Enrico Saltari
Italy is experiencing at present the most serious economic recession of the post-war period. Between 2008 and 2013 national income fell by 9 per cent, per capita incomes by 11 per cent, and industrial production by 25 per cent; and unemployment doubled. In this essay we argue that, while this dramatic situation has been made worse by the policies of ‘expansive austerity’, its origins can be traced back to changes that took place in the 1990s (notably globalization, competition for emerging new markets and the diffusion of new technologies – ICT) to which Italy failed to react speedily or effectively …
The Political Hindrances In Solving The European Sovereign Debt Crisis, C. Cole Fairbanks
The Political Hindrances In Solving The European Sovereign Debt Crisis, C. Cole Fairbanks
Claremont-UC Undergraduate Research Conference on the European Union
Once revered as a progressive supranational success story, the European Union now faces excessive public debt, unemployment, and stagnation partly due to its flawed institutional design. This has become apparent in southern Eurozone countries like Portugal and Greece, which continue to suffer from strict austerity measures imposed by the International Monetary Fund, European Commission, and European Central Bank (Troika). This report examines the politics behind the European Sovereign Debt Crisis, including the rise of Eurosceptic populist parties. Furthermore, it analyzes austerity in southern Europe, the ‘moral hazard’ argument, and the German government’s reluctance to lead Europe out the crisis. This …
The Boom Not The Slump: The Right Time For Austerity, Arjun Jayadev, Mike Konczal
The Boom Not The Slump: The Right Time For Austerity, Arjun Jayadev, Mike Konczal
Arjun Jayadev
Should the United States cut its deficit in the short term? This has been the subject of intense debate among politicians, policy analysts and thinkers over the past year. What are the consequences of cutting the deficit with interest rates low, unemployment high and growth uncertain?
Public Debt In An Olg Model With Imperfect Competition: Long-Run Effects Of Austerity Programs And Changes In The Growth Rate, Peter Skott, Soon Ryoo
Public Debt In An Olg Model With Imperfect Competition: Long-Run Effects Of Austerity Programs And Changes In The Growth Rate, Peter Skott, Soon Ryoo
Economics Department Working Paper Series
We show that (i) dynamic inefficiency may be empirically relevant in a modified Diamond model with imperfect competition, (ii) if fiscal policy is used to avoid inefficiency and maintain an optimal capital intensity, the required debt ratio will be inversely related to the growth rate, and (iii) austerity policies reductions in government consumption and entitlement programs for the old generation raise the required debt ratio.
From Financing Social Insurance To Insuring Financial Markets: The Socialisation Of Risk And The Privatisation Of Profit In An Age Of Irresponsibility, Simon Lee, Richard Woodward
From Financing Social Insurance To Insuring Financial Markets: The Socialisation Of Risk And The Privatisation Of Profit In An Age Of Irresponsibility, Simon Lee, Richard Woodward
Books/Book Chapters
Commentaries on the financial meltdown that began with Lehman Brothers’ collapse in September 2008 trace its origins to greedy bankers exploiting lax regulatory practices to take excessive risks through exotic and arcane financial instruments. While not wishing to demur from this analysis this chapter takes issue with the frequent failure to acknowledge that this has come about as a consequence of the (mis)application of state power over the past 50 years (see Helleiner 1994). Starting with the tacit support for the development of the Euromarkets in the 1960s and culminating with the responses to the turmoil of 2008-2010 the chapter …
The Origins Of The Italian Sovereign Debt Crisis, David M. Henningsen
The Origins Of The Italian Sovereign Debt Crisis, David M. Henningsen
CMC Senior Theses
Over the past decade, the European Union has been characterized by an explosion of expenditure, insufficient revenue, high deficits and a lack of budget discipline. Financial markets in Europe are currently dealing with enormous government debts, poor government balance sheets and a weakening banking system. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the origins of the current Euro-crisis and specifically identify the extent to which it will affect the nation of Italy going forward. To understand Italy's stance amid the Euro-crisis, we proceed as follows: First, a historical background section will develop the fundamental issues that have developed in …
The Great Austerity War: What Caused The Deficit Crisis And Who Should Pay To Fix It?, James Crotty
The Great Austerity War: What Caused The Deficit Crisis And Who Should Pay To Fix It?, James Crotty
James Crotty
Rapidly rising deficits at both the federal and state and local government levels, along with long-term financing problems in the Social Security and Medicare programs, have triggered a one-sided austerity-focused class war in the US. Similar class conflicts have broken out around the globe. A coalition of the richest and most economically powerful segments of society and conservative politicians who represent their interests has demanded that deficits be eliminated by public-sector austerity - severe cuts at all levels of government in spending that either supports the poor and the middle class or funds crucial public investment. These demands constitute a …
The Great Austerity War: What Caused The Deficit Crisis And Who Should Pay To Fix It?, James Crotty
The Great Austerity War: What Caused The Deficit Crisis And Who Should Pay To Fix It?, James Crotty
Economics Department Working Paper Series
Rapidly rising deficits at both the federal and state and local government levels, along with long-term financing problems in the Social Security and Medicare programs, have triggered a one-sided austerity focused class war in the US. Similar class conflicts have broken out around the globe. A coalition of the richest and most economically powerful segments of society and conservative politicians who represent their interests has demanded that deficits be eliminated by public-sector austerity - severe cuts at all levels of government in spending that either supports the poor and the middle class or funds crucial public investment. These demands constitute …
The Boom Not The Slump: The Right Time For Austerity, Arjun Jayadev, Mike Konczal
The Boom Not The Slump: The Right Time For Austerity, Arjun Jayadev, Mike Konczal
Economics Faculty Publication Series
Should the United States cut its deficit in the short term? This has been the subject of intense debate among politicians, policy analysts and thinkers over the past year. What are the consequences of cutting the deficit with interest rates low, unemployment high and growth uncertain?