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Full-Text Articles in Statistics and Probability
A Deep Learning Approach To Uncertainty Quantification, Mst Afroja Akter
A Deep Learning Approach To Uncertainty Quantification, Mst Afroja Akter
Mathematics & Statistics ETDs
In this thesis we consider ordinary differential equations (ODEs) with random parameters. We focus on Monte Carlo (MC) sampling for computing the statistics of some quantities of interest (QoIs) given by the solution of the ODE problems. We use the 4th order accurate Runge-Kutta (RK4) method as the deterministic ODE solver. We then develop a hybrid MC sampling method that combines RK4 with neural network models to efficiently compute the statistics of QoIs within a desired accuracy. We present several numerical examples to verify the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed hybrid method compared to classical MC sampling. The hybrid …
An Epidemiological Model With Simultaneous Recoveries, Ariel B. Farber
An Epidemiological Model With Simultaneous Recoveries, Ariel B. Farber
Electronic Theses and Dissertations
Epidemiological models are an essential tool in understanding how infection spreads throughout a population. Exploring the effects of varying parameters provides insight into the driving forces of an outbreak. In this thesis, an SIS (susceptible-infectious-susceptible) model is built partnering simulation methods, differential equations, and transition matrices with the intent to describe how simultaneous recoveries influence the spread of a disease in a well-mixed population. Individuals in the model transition between only two states; an individual is either susceptible — able to be infected, or infectious — able to infect others. Events in this model (infections and recoveries) occur by way …