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Full-Text Articles in Statistics and Probability

Embアルゴリズムの新たな応用による多重比率補定(高橋将宜), Masayoshi Takahashi Sep 2015

Embアルゴリズムの新たな応用による多重比率補定(高橋将宜), Masayoshi Takahashi

Masayoshi Takahashi

No abstract provided.


Cv, Lorán Chollete Jan 2011

Cv, Lorán Chollete

Lorán Chollete

No abstract provided.


International Diversification: An Extreme Value Approach, Lorán Chollete, Victor De La Peña, Ching-Chih Lu Jan 2011

International Diversification: An Extreme Value Approach, Lorán Chollete, Victor De La Peña, Ching-Chih Lu

Lorán Chollete

No abstract provided.


International Diversification: A Copula Approach, Lorán Chollete, Victor De La Pena, Ching-Chih Lu Jan 2010

International Diversification: A Copula Approach, Lorán Chollete, Victor De La Pena, Ching-Chih Lu

Lorán Chollete

No abstract provided.


Participation And Engagement In Sport: A Double Hurdle Approach For The United Kingdom, Babatunde Buraimo, Brad Humphreys, Rob Simmons Jan 2010

Participation And Engagement In Sport: A Double Hurdle Approach For The United Kingdom, Babatunde Buraimo, Brad Humphreys, Rob Simmons

Dr Babatunde Buraimo

This paper uses pooled cross-section data from four waves of the United Kingdom’s Taking Part Survey, 2005 to 2009, in order to investigate determinants of probability of participation and levels of engagement in sports. The two rival modelling approaches considered here are the double-hurdle approach and the Heckman sample selection model. The Heckman model proves to be deficient in several key respects. The double-hurdle approach offers more reliable estimates than the Heckman sample selection model, at least for this particular survey. The distinction is more than just statistical nuance as there are substantive differences in qualitative results from the two …


Sphet: Spatial Models With Heteroskedastic Innovations In R, Gianfranco Piras Jan 2010

Sphet: Spatial Models With Heteroskedastic Innovations In R, Gianfranco Piras

Gianfranco Piras

No abstract provided.


Event Studies In Finance: Discussion, Carlo Drago Dec 2009

Event Studies In Finance: Discussion, Carlo Drago

Carlo Drago

No abstract provided.


Ceo Compensation And Performance In Family Firms By Barontini And Bozzi: Discussion, Carlo Drago Dec 2009

Ceo Compensation And Performance In Family Firms By Barontini And Bozzi: Discussion, Carlo Drago

Carlo Drago

No abstract provided.


Exploring Persistence In The Forward Rate Series, Derek Bond Feb 2009

Exploring Persistence In The Forward Rate Series, Derek Bond

Derek Bond

This presentation reviews the use of tests for non-linearity based on semi-parametric estimates of the fractional difference parameter


Financial Distress And Idiosyncratic Volatility: An Empirical Investigation, Lorán Chollete, Jing Chen, Rina Ray Jan 2009

Financial Distress And Idiosyncratic Volatility: An Empirical Investigation, Lorán Chollete, Jing Chen, Rina Ray

Lorán Chollete

No abstract provided.


Financial Implications Of Extreme And Rare Events, Lorán Chollete, Dwight Jaffee Jan 2009

Financial Implications Of Extreme And Rare Events, Lorán Chollete, Dwight Jaffee

Lorán Chollete

No abstract provided.


Dependence Of Macro Variables In The Us Economy, Lorán Chollete, Cathy Ning Jan 2009

Dependence Of Macro Variables In The Us Economy, Lorán Chollete, Cathy Ning

Lorán Chollete

No abstract provided.


Modeling International Financial Returns With A Multivariate Regime-Switching Copula, Lorán Chollete, Andreas Heinen, Alfonso Valdesogo Jan 2009

Modeling International Financial Returns With A Multivariate Regime-Switching Copula, Lorán Chollete, Andreas Heinen, Alfonso Valdesogo

Lorán Chollete

No abstract provided.


Economic Implications Of Copulas And Extremes, Lorán Chollete Jan 2008

Economic Implications Of Copulas And Extremes, Lorán Chollete

Lorán Chollete

No abstract provided.


Gone In 60 Seconds: The Absorption Of News In A High-Frequency Betting Market, Babatunde Buraimo, David Peel, Rob Simmons Jan 2008

Gone In 60 Seconds: The Absorption Of News In A High-Frequency Betting Market, Babatunde Buraimo, David Peel, Rob Simmons

Dr Babatunde Buraimo

This paper tests for efficiency in a betting market that offers high-frequency data, the Betfair betting exchange for wagering on outcomes of English Premier League soccer matches. We find clear evidence of rapid adjustment of prices to large disturbances (news). Full adjustment takes place within a one minute interval after the news. This suggests that this particular wagering market is not just efficient at pre-match prices but is also efficient in the face of events within games.


Investigating Omitted Variable Bias In Regression Parameter Estimation: A Genetic Algorithm Approach, Lonnie K. Stevans, David N. Sessions Jan 2006

Investigating Omitted Variable Bias In Regression Parameter Estimation: A Genetic Algorithm Approach, Lonnie K. Stevans, David N. Sessions

Lonnie K. Stevans

Bias in regression estimates resulting from the omission of a correlated relevant variable is a well known phenomenon. In this study, we apply a genetic algorithm to estimate the missing variable and, using that estimated variable, demonstrate that significant bias in regression estimates can be substantially corrected with relatively high confidence in effective models. Our interest is restricted to the case of a missing binary indicator variable and the analytical properties of bias and MSE dominance of the resulting dependent error generated vector process. These findings are compared to prior results for the independent error proxy process. Simulations are run …


Stochastic Convergence Among European Economies, Mauro Costantini, Claudio Lupi Jan 2005

Stochastic Convergence Among European Economies, Mauro Costantini, Claudio Lupi

Claudio Lupi

The aim of this paper is to test the stochastic convergence in real per capita GDP for 15 European countries using non−stationary panel data approaches over the period 1950−2003. Cross−sectional dependence is assumed due to the existence of strong linkages among European economies. However, tests derived under the assumption of cross−sectional independence are also carried out for completeness and comparison. We also split the whole sample into two sub−periods (1950−1976, 1977−2003) in order to take into account the effects of the first oil crisis (1973−1974) and to evaluate the robustness of the statistical analysis. Our results offer little support to …


Unemployment Scarring In High Unemployment Regions, Claudio Lupi, Patrizia Ordine Jan 2002

Unemployment Scarring In High Unemployment Regions, Claudio Lupi, Patrizia Ordine

Claudio Lupi

This paper investigates the effect of individual unemployment experiences on re-employment wages. The empirical analysis is carried out on a panel of Italian individuals. The main result is that while in the northern regions the effect is similar to the one estimated for the UK, in the southern area of the country the impact is not significant. We link this result to the particular socio-economic environment in which the unemployment spells are experienced. We argue that this might be due to the fact that in a high unemployment environment individual unemployment experiences are perceived as "normal" and do not necessarily …


Testing For Asymmetry In Economic Time Series Using Bootstrap Methods, Claudio Lupi, Patrizia Ordine Jan 2001

Testing For Asymmetry In Economic Time Series Using Bootstrap Methods, Claudio Lupi, Patrizia Ordine

Claudio Lupi

In this paper we show that phase-scrambling bootstrap offers a natural framework for asymmetry testing in economic time series. A comparison with other bootstrap schemes is also sketched. A Monte Carlo analysis is carried out to evaluate the size and power properties of the phase-scrambling bootstrap-based test.


Direct Tests Of The Rational Expectations Hypothesis: A Study Of Italian Entrepreneurs’ Inflationary Expectations (1980-1988), Claudio Lupi Jan 1989

Direct Tests Of The Rational Expectations Hypothesis: A Study Of Italian Entrepreneurs’ Inflationary Expectations (1980-1988), Claudio Lupi

Claudio Lupi

The primary concern of this paper is to test the rational expectations hypothesis for Italian entrepreneurs' inflationary expectations between 1980 and 1988 using monthly observed expectations. Particular care is devoted to analyzing the problems arising when multiperiod expectations and a nonwhite noise measurement error in the expectations series are considered. The empirical analysis is carried out using cross correlations on ARIMA residuals and transfer function models. This technique seems to be particularly appealing for rationality testing.