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Full-Text Articles in Statistics and Probability
Uconn Baseball Batting Order Optimization, Gavin Rublewski, Gavin Rublewski
Uconn Baseball Batting Order Optimization, Gavin Rublewski, Gavin Rublewski
Honors Scholar Theses
Challenging conventional wisdom is at the very core of baseball analytics. Using data and statistical analysis, the sets of rules by which coaches make decisions can be justified, or possibly refuted. One of those sets of rules relates to the construction of a batting order. Through data collection, data adjustment, the construction of a baseball simulator, and the use of a Monte Carlo Simulation, I have assessed thousands of possible batting orders to determine the roster-specific strategies that lead to optimal run production for the 2023 UConn baseball team. This paper details a repeatable process in which basic player statistics …
Jmasm 57: Bayesian Survival Analysis Of Lomax Family Models With Stan (R), Mohammed H. A. Abujarad, Athar Ali Khan
Jmasm 57: Bayesian Survival Analysis Of Lomax Family Models With Stan (R), Mohammed H. A. Abujarad, Athar Ali Khan
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
An attempt is made to fit three distributions, the Lomax, exponential Lomax, and Weibull Lomax to implement Bayesian methods to analyze Myeloma patients using Stan. This model is applied to a real survival censored data so that all the concepts and computations will be around the same data. A code was developed and improved to implement censored mechanism throughout using rstan. Furthermore, parallel simulation tools are also implemented with an extensive use of rstan.
Assessing Robustness Of The Rasch Mixture Model To Detect Differential Item Functioning - A Monte Carlo Simulation Study, Jinjin Huang
Assessing Robustness Of The Rasch Mixture Model To Detect Differential Item Functioning - A Monte Carlo Simulation Study, Jinjin Huang
Electronic Theses and Dissertations
Measurement invariance is crucial for an effective and valid measure of a construct. Invariance holds when the latent trait varies consistently across subgroups; in other words, the mean differences among subgroups are only due to true latent ability differences. Differential item functioning (DIF) occurs when measurement invariance is violated. There are two kinds of traditional tools for DIF detection: non-parametric methods and parametric methods. Mantel Haenszel (MH), SIBTEST, and standardization are examples of non-parametric DIF detection methods. The majority of parametric DIF detection methods are item response theory (IRT) based. Both non-parametric methods and parametric methods compare differences among subgroups …
Jmasm 51: Bayesian Reliability Analysis Of Binomial Model – Application To Success/Failure Data, M. Tanwir Akhtar, Athar Ali Khan
Jmasm 51: Bayesian Reliability Analysis Of Binomial Model – Application To Success/Failure Data, M. Tanwir Akhtar, Athar Ali Khan
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Reliability data are generated in the form of success/failure. An attempt was made to model such type of data using binomial distribution in the Bayesian paradigm. For fitting the Bayesian model both analytic and simulation techniques are used. Laplace approximation was implemented for approximating posterior densities of the model parameters. Parallel simulation tools were implemented with an extensive use of R and JAGS. R and JAGS code are developed and provided. Real data sets are used for the purpose of illustration.
Performance Evaluation Of Confidence Intervals For Ordinal Coefficient Alpha, Heather J. Turner, Prathiba Natesan, Robin K. Henson
Performance Evaluation Of Confidence Intervals For Ordinal Coefficient Alpha, Heather J. Turner, Prathiba Natesan, Robin K. Henson
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
The aim of this study was to investigate the performance of the Fisher, Feldt, Bonner, and Hakstian and Whalen (HW) confidence intervals methods for the non-parametric reliability estimate, ordinal alpha. All methods yielded unacceptably low coverage rates and potentially increased Type-I error rates.
Experimental Design And Data Analysis In Computer Simulation Studies In The Behavioral Sciences, Michael Harwell, Nidhi Kohli, Yadira Peralta
Experimental Design And Data Analysis In Computer Simulation Studies In The Behavioral Sciences, Michael Harwell, Nidhi Kohli, Yadira Peralta
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Treating computer simulation studies as statistical sampling experiments subject to established principles of experimental design and data analysis should further enhance their ability to inform statistical practice and a program of statistical research. Latin hypercube designs to enhance generalizability and meta-analytic methods to analyze simulation results are presented.
On Some Test Statistics For Testing The Population Skewness And Kurtosis: An Empirical Study, Yawen Guo
On Some Test Statistics For Testing The Population Skewness And Kurtosis: An Empirical Study, Yawen Guo
FIU Electronic Theses and Dissertations
The purpose of this thesis is to propose some test statistics for testing the skewness and kurtosis parameters of a distribution, not limited to a normal distribution. Since a theoretical comparison is not possible, a simulation study has been conducted to compare the performance of the test statistics. We have compared both parametric methods (classical method with normality assumption) and non-parametric methods (bootstrap in Bias Corrected Standard Method, Efron’s Percentile Method, Hall’s Percentile Method and Bias Corrected Percentile Method). Our simulation results for testing the skewness parameter indicate that the power of the tests differs significantly across sample sizes, the …
Jmasm35: A Percentile-Based Power Method: Simulating Multivariate Non-Normal Continuous Distributions (Sas), Jennifer Koran, Todd C. Headrick
Jmasm35: A Percentile-Based Power Method: Simulating Multivariate Non-Normal Continuous Distributions (Sas), Jennifer Koran, Todd C. Headrick
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
The conventional power method transformation is a moment-matching technique that simulates non-normal distributions with controlled measures of skew and kurtosis. The percentile-based power method is an alternative that uses the percentiles of a distribution in lieu of moments. This article presents a SAS/IML macro that implements the percentile-based power method.
Spss Programs For Addressing Two Forms Of Power For Multiple Regression Coefficients, Christopher Aberson
Spss Programs For Addressing Two Forms Of Power For Multiple Regression Coefficients, Christopher Aberson
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
This paper presents power analysis tools for multiple regression. The first takes input of correlations between variables and sample size and outputs power for multiple predictors. The second addresses power to detect significant effects for all of the predictors in the model. Both employ user-friendly SPSS Custom Dialogs.
Ridge Regression And Ill-Conditioning, Ghadban Khalaf, Mohamed Iguernane
Ridge Regression And Ill-Conditioning, Ghadban Khalaf, Mohamed Iguernane
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Hoerl and Kennard (1970) suggested the ridge regression estimator as an alternative to the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimator in the presence of multicollinearity. This article proposes new methods for estimating the ridge parameter in case of ordinary ridge regression. A simulation study evaluates the performance of the proposed estimators based on the Mean Squared Error (MSE) criterion and indicates that, under certain conditions, the proposed estimators perform well compared to the OLS estimator and another well-known estimator reviewed.
Some General Guidelines For Choosing Missing Data Handling Methods In Educational Research, Jehanzeb R. Cheema
Some General Guidelines For Choosing Missing Data Handling Methods In Educational Research, Jehanzeb R. Cheema
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
The effect of a number of factors, such as the choice of analytical method, the handling method for missing data, sample size, and proportion of missing data, were examined to evaluate the effect of missing data treatment on accuracy of estimation. A methodological approach involving simulated data was adopted. One outcome of the statistical analyses undertaken in this study is the formulation of easy-to-implement guidelines for educational researchers that allows one to choose one of the following factors when all others are given: sample size, proportion of missing data in the sample, method of analysis, and missing data handling method.
Double Bootstrap Confidence Interval Estimates With Censored And Truncated Data, Jayanthi Arasan, Mohd B. Adam
Double Bootstrap Confidence Interval Estimates With Censored And Truncated Data, Jayanthi Arasan, Mohd B. Adam
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Traditional inferential procedures often fail with censored and truncated data, especially when sample sizes are small. In this paper we evaluate the performances of the double and single bootstrap interval estimates by comparing the double percentile (DB-p), double percentile-t (DB-t), single percentile (B-p), and percentile-t (B-t) bootstrap interval estimation methods via a coverage probability study when the data is censored using the log logistic model. We then apply the double bootstrap intervals to real right censored lifetime data on 32 women with breast cancer and failure data on 98 brake pads where all the observations were left truncated.
Bias And Precision Of The Squared Canonical Correlation Coefficient Under Nonnormal Data Condition, Lesley F. Leach, Robin K. Henson
Bias And Precision Of The Squared Canonical Correlation Coefficient Under Nonnormal Data Condition, Lesley F. Leach, Robin K. Henson
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Monte Carlo methods were employed to investigate the effect of nonnormality on the bias associated with the squared canonical correlation coefficient (Rc2). The majority of Rc2 estimates were found to be extremely biased, but the magnitude of bias was impacted little by the degree of nonnormality.
Comparison Of Different Methods For Estimating Log-Normal Means, Qi Tang
Comparison Of Different Methods For Estimating Log-Normal Means, Qi Tang
Electronic Theses and Dissertations
The log-normal distribution is a popular model in many areas, especially in biostatistics and survival analysis where the data tend to be right skewed. In our research, a total of ten different estimators of log-normal means are compared theoretically. Simulations are done using different values of parameters and sample size. As a result of comparison, ``A degree of freedom adjusted" maximum likelihood estimator and Bayesian estimator under quadratic loss are the best when using the mean square error (MSE) as a criterion. The ten estimators are applied to a real dataset, an environmental study from Naval Construction Battalion Center (NCBC), …
Testing The Population Coefficient Of Variation, Shipra Banik, B. M. Golam Kibria, Dinesh Sharma
Testing The Population Coefficient Of Variation, Shipra Banik, B. M. Golam Kibria, Dinesh Sharma
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
The coefficient of variation (CV), which is used in many scientific areas, measures the variability of a population relative to its mean and standard deviation. Several methods exist for testing the population CV. This article compares a proposed bootstrap method to existing methods. A simulation study was conducted under both symmetric and skewed distributions to compare the performance of test statistics with respect to empirical size and power. Results indicate that some of the proposed methods are useful and can be recommended to practitioners.
Using The R Library Rpanel For Gui-Based Simulations In Introductory Statistics Courses, Ryan M. Allison
Using The R Library Rpanel For Gui-Based Simulations In Introductory Statistics Courses, Ryan M. Allison
Statistics
As a student, I noticed that the statistical package R (http://www.r-project.org) would have several benefits of its usage in the classroom. One benefit to the package is its free and open-source nature. This would be a great benefit for instructors and students alike since it would be of no cost to use, unlike other statistical packages. Due to this, students could continue using the program after their statistical courses and into their professional careers. It would be good to expose students while they are in school to a tool that professionals use in industry. R also has powerful …
Statistical Inferences For Lomax Distribution Based On Record Values (Bayesian And Classical), Parviz Nasiri, Saman Hosseini
Statistical Inferences For Lomax Distribution Based On Record Values (Bayesian And Classical), Parviz Nasiri, Saman Hosseini
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
A maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) based on records is obtained and a proper prior distribution to attain a Bayes estimation (both informative and non-informative) based on records for quadratic loss and squared error loss functions is also calculated. The study considers the shortest confidence interval and Highest Posterior Distribution confidence interval based on records, and using Mean Square Error MSE criteria for point estimation and length criteria for interval estimation, their appropriateness to each other is examined.
Simulating Non-Normal Distributions With Specified L-Moments And L-Correlations, Todd C. Headrick, Mohan D. Pant
Simulating Non-Normal Distributions With Specified L-Moments And L-Correlations, Todd C. Headrick, Mohan D. Pant
Todd Christopher Headrick
This paper derives a procedure for simulating continuous non-normal distributions with specified L-moments and L-correlations in the context of power method polynomials of order three. It is demonstrated that the proposed procedure has computational advantages over the traditional product-moment procedure in terms of solving for intermediate correlations. Simulation results also demonstrate that the proposed L-moment-based procedure is an attractive alternative to the traditional procedure when distributions with more severe departures from normality are considered. Specifically, estimates of L-skew and L-kurtosis are superior to the conventional estimates of skew and kurtosis in terms of both relative bias and relative standard error. …
The Quotient Of The Beta-Weibull Distribution, Nonhle Channon Mdziniso
The Quotient Of The Beta-Weibull Distribution, Nonhle Channon Mdziniso
Theses, Dissertations and Capstones
A new class of distributions recently developed involves the logit of the beta distribution. Among this class of distributions are, the beta-Normal (Eugene et al. [15]); beta-Gumbel (Nadarajah and Kotz [18]); beta-Exponential (Nadarajah and Kotz [19]); beta-Weibull (Famoye et al. [6]); beta-Rayleigh (Akinsete and Lowe [3]); beta-Laplace (Kozubowshi and Nadarajah [20]); and beta-Pareto (Akinsete et al. [4]), among a few others. Many useful statistical properties arising from these distributions and their applications to real life data have been discussed in literature. One approach by which a new statistical distribution is generated is by the transformation of random variables having known …
Bayesian Threshold Moving Average Models, Mahmoud M. Smadi, M. T. Alodat
Bayesian Threshold Moving Average Models, Mahmoud M. Smadi, M. T. Alodat
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
A Bayesian approach in threshold moving average model for time series with two regimes is provided. The posterior distribution of the delay and threshold parameters are used to examine and investigate the intrinsic characteristics of this nonlinear time series model. The proposed approach is applied to both simulated data and a real data set obtained from a chemical system. Key words: Threshold time series, moving average model, Bayesian
Maximum Likelihood Solution For The Linear Structural Relationship With Three Parameters Known, Androulla Michaeloudis
Maximum Likelihood Solution For The Linear Structural Relationship With Three Parameters Known, Androulla Michaeloudis
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
A maximum likelihood solution is obtained for the simple linear structural relation model where the underlying incidental distribution and one error variance are assumed known. Expressions for the asymptotic standard errors of the maximum likelihood estimates are obtained and these are verified using a simulation study.
Estimating The Non-Existent Mean And Variance Of The F-Distribution By Simulation, Hamid Reza Kamali, Parisa Shahnazari-Shahrezaei
Estimating The Non-Existent Mean And Variance Of The F-Distribution By Simulation, Hamid Reza Kamali, Parisa Shahnazari-Shahrezaei
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
In theory, all moments of some probability distributions do not necessarily exist. In the other words, they may be infinite or undefined. One of these distributions is the F-distribution whose mean and variance have not been defined for the second degree of freedom less than 3 and 5, respectively. In some cases, a large statistical population having an F-distribution may exist and the aim is to obtain its mean and variance which are an estimation of the non-existent mean and variance of F-distribution. This article considers a large sample F-distribution to estimate its non-existent mean and variance using Simul8 simulation …
Statistical Simulation: Power Method Polynomials And Other Transformations, Todd C. Headrick
Statistical Simulation: Power Method Polynomials And Other Transformations, Todd C. Headrick
Todd Christopher Headrick
Although power method polynomials based on the standard normal distributions have been used in many different contexts for the past 30 years, it was not until recently that the probability density function (pdf) and cumulative distribution function (cdf) were derived and made available. Focusing on both univariate and multivariate nonnormal data generation, Statistical Simulation: Power Method Polynomials and Other Transformations presents techniques for conducting a Monte Carlo simulation study. It shows how to use power method polynomials for simulating univariate and multivariate nonnormal distributions with specified cumulants and correlation matrices. The book first explores the methodology underlying the power method, …
Assessing Trends: Monte Carlo Trials With Four Different Regression Methods, Daniel R. Thompson
Assessing Trends: Monte Carlo Trials With Four Different Regression Methods, Daniel R. Thompson
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Poisson, Negative Binomial, and Quasi-Poisson Regression methods were assessed for testing the statistical significance of a trend by performing 10,000 simulations. The Poisson method should be used when data follow a Poisson distribution. The other methods should be used when data follow a normal distribution.
Application Of The Truncated Skew Laplace Probability Distribution In Maintenance System, Gokarna R. Aryal, Chris P. Tsokos
Application Of The Truncated Skew Laplace Probability Distribution In Maintenance System, Gokarna R. Aryal, Chris P. Tsokos
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
A random variable X is said to have the skew-Laplace probability distribution if its pdf is given by f(x) = 2g(x)G(λx), where g (.) and G (.), respectively, denote the pdf and the cdf of the Laplace distribution. When the skew Laplace distribution is truncated on the left at 0 it is called it the truncated skew Laplace (TSL) distribution. This article provides a comparison of TSL distribution with twoparameter gamma model and the hypoexponential model, and an application of the subject model in maintenance system is studied.
Least Absolute Value Vs. Least Squares Estimation And Inference Procedures In Regression Models With Asymmetric Error Distributions, Terry E. Dielman
Least Absolute Value Vs. Least Squares Estimation And Inference Procedures In Regression Models With Asymmetric Error Distributions, Terry E. Dielman
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
A Monte Carlo simulation is used to compare estimation and inference procedures in least absolute value (LAV) and least squares (LS) regression models with asymmetric error distributions. Mean square errors (MSE) of coefficient estimates are used to assess the relative efficiency of the estimators. Hypothesis tests for coefficients are compared on the basis of empirical level of significance and power.
The Power Method Transformation: Its Probability Density Function, Distribution Function, And Its Further Use For Fitting Data, Todd C. Headrick, Rhonda K. Kowalchuk
The Power Method Transformation: Its Probability Density Function, Distribution Function, And Its Further Use For Fitting Data, Todd C. Headrick, Rhonda K. Kowalchuk
Todd Christopher Headrick
The power method polynomial transformation is a popular algorithm used for simulating non-normal distributions because of its simplicity and ease of execution. The primary limitations of the power method transformation are that its probability density function (pdf) and cumulative distribution function (cdf) are unknown. In view of this, the power method’s pdf and cdf are derived in general form. More specific properties are also derived for determining if a given transformation will also have an associated pdf in the context of polynomials of order three and five. Numerical examples and parametric plots of power method densities are provided to confirm …
Choosing Smoothing Parameters For Exponential Smoothing: Minimizing Sums Of Squared Versus Sums Of Absolute Errors, Terry E. Dielman
Choosing Smoothing Parameters For Exponential Smoothing: Minimizing Sums Of Squared Versus Sums Of Absolute Errors, Terry E. Dielman
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
When choosing smoothing parameters in exponential smoothing, the choice can be made by either minimizing the sum of squared one-step-ahead forecast errors or minimizing the sum of the absolute onestep- ahead forecast errors. In this article, the resulting forecast accuracy is used to compare these two options.
Jmasm16: Pseudo-Random Number Generation In R For Some Univariate Distributions, Hakan Demirtas
Jmasm16: Pseudo-Random Number Generation In R For Some Univariate Distributions, Hakan Demirtas
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
An increasing number of practitioners and applied researchers started using the R programming system in recent years for their computing and data analysis needs. As far as pseudo-random number generation is concerned, the built-in generator in R does not contain some important univariate distributions. In this article, complementary R routines that could potentially be useful for simulation and computation purposes are provided.
Pseudo-Random Number Generation In R For Commonly Used Multivariate Distributions, Hakan Demirtas
Pseudo-Random Number Generation In R For Commonly Used Multivariate Distributions, Hakan Demirtas
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
An increasing number of practitioners and applied statisticians have started using the R programming system in recent years for their computing and data analysis needs. As far as pseudo-random number generation is concerned, the built-in generator in R does not contain multivariate distributions. In this article, R routines for widely used multivariate distributions are presented.