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Articles 1 - 30 of 84
Full-Text Articles in Statistics and Probability
Statistical Inference For The Mean Outcome Under A Possibly Non-Unique Optimal Treatment Strategy, Alexander R. Luedtke, Mark J. Van Der Laan
Statistical Inference For The Mean Outcome Under A Possibly Non-Unique Optimal Treatment Strategy, Alexander R. Luedtke, Mark J. Van Der Laan
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
We consider challenges that arise in the estimation of the value of an optimal individualized treatment strategy defined as the treatment rule that maximizes the population mean outcome, where the candidate treatment rules are restricted to depend on baseline covariates. We prove a necessary and sufficient condition for the pathwise differentiability of the optimal value, a key condition needed to develop a regular asymptotically linear (RAL) estimator of this parameter. The stated condition is slightly more general than the previous condition implied in the literature. We then describe an approach to obtain root-n rate confidence intervals for the optimal value …
Higher-Order Targeted Minimum Loss-Based Estimation, Marco Carone, Iván Díaz, Mark J. Van Der Laan
Higher-Order Targeted Minimum Loss-Based Estimation, Marco Carone, Iván Díaz, Mark J. Van Der Laan
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
Common approaches to parametric statistical inference often encounter difficulties in the context of infinite-dimensional models. The framework of targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE), introduced in van der Laan & Rubin (2006), is a principled approach for constructing asymptotically linear and efficient substitution estimators in rich infinite-dimensional models. The mechanics of TMLE hinge upon first-order approximations of the parameter of interest as a mapping on the space of probability distributions. For such approximations to hold, a second-order remainder term must tend to zero sufficiently fast. In practice, this means an initial estimator of the underlying data-generating distribution with a sufficiently large …
An Alternative Goodness-Of-Fit Test For Normality With Unknown Parameters, Weiling Shi
An Alternative Goodness-Of-Fit Test For Normality With Unknown Parameters, Weiling Shi
FIU Electronic Theses and Dissertations
Goodness-of-fit tests have been studied by many researchers. Among them, an alternative statistical test for uniformity was proposed by Chen and Ye (2009). The test was used by Xiong (2010) to test normality for the case that both location parameter and scale parameter of the normal distribution are known. The purpose of the present thesis is to extend the result to the case that the parameters are unknown. A table for the critical values of the test statistic is obtained using Monte Carlo simulation. The performance of the proposed test is compared with the Shapiro-Wilk test and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. …
Ridge Regression And Ill-Conditioning, Ghadban Khalaf, Mohamed Iguernane
Ridge Regression And Ill-Conditioning, Ghadban Khalaf, Mohamed Iguernane
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Hoerl and Kennard (1970) suggested the ridge regression estimator as an alternative to the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimator in the presence of multicollinearity. This article proposes new methods for estimating the ridge parameter in case of ordinary ridge regression. A simulation study evaluates the performance of the proposed estimators based on the Mean Squared Error (MSE) criterion and indicates that, under certain conditions, the proposed estimators perform well compared to the OLS estimator and another well-known estimator reviewed.
Optimal Location Design For Prediction Of Spatial Correlated Environmental Functional Data, Mahdi Rasekhi, B. Jamshidi, F. Rivaz
Optimal Location Design For Prediction Of Spatial Correlated Environmental Functional Data, Mahdi Rasekhi, B. Jamshidi, F. Rivaz
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
The optimal choice of sites to make spatial prediction is critical for a better understanding of really spatio-temporal data. It is important to obtain the essential spatio-temporal variability of the process in determining optimal design, because these data tend to exhibit both spatial and temporal variability. Two new methods of prediction for spatially correlated functional data are considered. The first method models spatial dependency by fitting variogram to empirical variogram, similar to ordinary kriging (univariate approach). The second method models spatial dependency by linear model co-regionalization (multivariate approach). The variance of prediction method was chosen as the optimization design criterion. …
Missing Data And The Statistical Modeling Of Adolescent Pregnancy, Dudley L. Poston Dr., Eugenia Conde Dr.
Missing Data And The Statistical Modeling Of Adolescent Pregnancy, Dudley L. Poston Dr., Eugenia Conde Dr.
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Missing data is a pervasive problem in social science research. Many techniques have been developed to handle the problem. Different ways of handling missing data were shown to lead to different results in statistical models. A demonstration was given based on statistical modeling of the likelihood of a woman reporting having had an adolescent pregnancy by handling missing data with several different approaches. Results indicate that many of the independent variables in the model vary in whether they are, or are not, statistically significant in predicting the log odds of a woman having a teen pregnancy, and in the ranking …
Some General Guidelines For Choosing Missing Data Handling Methods In Educational Research, Jehanzeb R. Cheema
Some General Guidelines For Choosing Missing Data Handling Methods In Educational Research, Jehanzeb R. Cheema
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
The effect of a number of factors, such as the choice of analytical method, the handling method for missing data, sample size, and proportion of missing data, were examined to evaluate the effect of missing data treatment on accuracy of estimation. A methodological approach involving simulated data was adopted. One outcome of the statistical analyses undertaken in this study is the formulation of easy-to-implement guidelines for educational researchers that allows one to choose one of the following factors when all others are given: sample size, proportion of missing data in the sample, method of analysis, and missing data handling method.
A Comparison Of Methods For Group Prediction With High Dimensional Data, Holmes Finch
A Comparison Of Methods For Group Prediction With High Dimensional Data, Holmes Finch
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
High dimensional data is the situation in which the number of variables included in an analysis approaches or exceeds the sample size. In the context of group classification, researchers are typically interested in finding a model that can be used to correctly place an individual into their appropriate group; e.g. correctly diagnose individuals with depression. However, when the size of the training sample is small and the number of predictors used to differentiate the groups is larger, standard approaches such as discriminant analysis may not work well. In order to address this issue, statisticians have developed a number of tools …
Robust Winsorized Shrinkage Estimators For Linear Regression Model, Nileshkumar H. Jadhav, D N. Kashid
Robust Winsorized Shrinkage Estimators For Linear Regression Model, Nileshkumar H. Jadhav, D N. Kashid
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
In multiple linear regression, the ordinary least squares estimator is very sensitive to the presence of multicollinearity and outliers in the response variable. To handle these problems in the data, Winsorized shrinkage estimators are proposed and the performance of these estimators is evaluated through mean square error sense.
Pairwise Comparison In Repeated Measures, I.C.A. Oyeka, C. C. Nnanatu
Pairwise Comparison In Repeated Measures, I.C.A. Oyeka, C. C. Nnanatu
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Sometimes a random sample of subjects or patients may be exposed to a battery of diagnostic tests or medication over time and interest is on determining whether there is progressive remission of condition, disease or symptom. Also perhaps early in a program or experiment, subjects or candidates may be required to significantly improve in their performance rates at the current trial relative to an immediately preceding trial, otherwise they may have to withdraw from or drop out. The research interest would then be to determine some critical minimum marginal success rate to guide the management in decision making as well …
Retained-Components Factor Transformation: Factor Loadings And Factor Score Predictors In The Column Space Of Retained Components, André Beauducel, Frank Spohn
Retained-Components Factor Transformation: Factor Loadings And Factor Score Predictors In The Column Space Of Retained Components, André Beauducel, Frank Spohn
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Factor loadings optimally account for the non-diagonal elements of the covariance matrix of observed variables. Principal component analysis leads to components accounting for a maximum of the variance of the observed variables. Retained-components factor transformation is proposed in order to combine the advantages of factor analysis and principal component analysis.
Comparison Of Estimators In Glm With Binary Data, D. M. Sakate, D. N. Kashid
Comparison Of Estimators In Glm With Binary Data, D. M. Sakate, D. N. Kashid
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) of regression parameters in the generalized linear models (GLM) are biased and their bias is non negligible when sample size is small. This study focuses on the GLM with binary data with multiple observations on response for each predictor value when sample size is small. The performance of the estimation methods in Cordeiro and McCullagh (1991), Firth (1993) and Pardo et al. (2005) are compared for GLM with binary data using an extensive Monte Carlo simulation study. Performance of these methods for three real data sets is also compared.
Objective Priors For Estimation Of Extended Exponential Geometric Distribution, Pedro L. Ramos, Fernando A. Moala, Jorge A. Achcar
Objective Priors For Estimation Of Extended Exponential Geometric Distribution, Pedro L. Ramos, Fernando A. Moala, Jorge A. Achcar
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
A Bayesian analysis was developed with different noninformative prior distributions such as Jeffreys, Maximal Data Information, and Reference. The aim was to investigate the effects of each prior distribution on the posterior estimates of the parameters of the extended exponential geometric distribution, based on simulated data and a real application.
Bayesian Estimation Of The Parameters Of Two-Component Mixture Of Rayleigh Distribution Under Doubly Censoring, Tahassum N. Sindhu, Navid Feroze, Muhammad Aslam
Bayesian Estimation Of The Parameters Of Two-Component Mixture Of Rayleigh Distribution Under Doubly Censoring, Tahassum N. Sindhu, Navid Feroze, Muhammad Aslam
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Recently, the Bayesian analysis of the two-component mixture of lifetime models under singly type I censored samples was discussed. The Bayes estimation of the parameters of mixture of two Rayleigh distributions (MTRD) is developed under doubly censoring. Different informative priors, under squared error loss function and k-loss function, have been assumed for the posterior estimation. The performance of different estimators has been compared in terms of posterior risks by analyzing the simulated and real life data sets.
Life Testing Analysis Of Failure Censored Generalized Exponentiated Data, Anwar Hassan, Mehraj Ahmad
Life Testing Analysis Of Failure Censored Generalized Exponentiated Data, Anwar Hassan, Mehraj Ahmad
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
A generalized exponential distribution is considered for analyzing lifetime data; such statistical models are applicable when the observations are available in an ordered manner. This study examines failure censored data, which consist of testing n items and terminating the experiment when a pre-assigned number of items, for example r ( < n), have failed. Due to scale and shape parameters, both have flexibility for analyzing different types of lifetime data. This distribution has increasing, decreasing and a constant hazard rate depending on the shape parameter. This study provides maximum likelihood estimation and uniformly minimum variance unbiased techniques for the estimation of reliability of a component. Numerical computation was conducted on a data set and a comparison of the performance of two different techniques is presented.
Discrete Generalized Burr-Type Xii Distribution, B. A. Para, T. R. Jan
Discrete Generalized Burr-Type Xii Distribution, B. A. Para, T. R. Jan
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
A discrete analogue of generalized Burr-type XII distribution is introduced using a general approach of discretizing a continuous distribution. It may be worth exploring the possibility of developing a discrete version of the six parameter generalized Burr-type XII distribution for use in modeling a discrete data. This distribution is suggested as a suitable reliability model to fit a range of discrete lifetime data, as it is shown that hazard rate function can attain monotonic increasing (deceasing) shape for certain values of parameters. The equivalence of discrete generalized Burr-type XII (DGBD-XII) and continuous generalized Burr-type XII (GBD-XII) distributions has been established. …
Some Methods Of Estimation From Censored Samples In Exponential And Gamma Models, R R. L Kantam, B Sriram
Some Methods Of Estimation From Censored Samples In Exponential And Gamma Models, R R. L Kantam, B Sriram
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Two popular life testing models exponential and one where its generalization is gamma are considered. Estimation of scale parameter from a general Type-II doubly censored sample is attempted by the principle of maximum likelihood method. Resulting equations found to be giving iterative solutions. As an alternative to iterative solution certain admissible modifications to the estimating equations are suggested in special cases. The resulting estimates are compared with the exact maximum likelihood estimates analytically or through simulation. The results are also extended for reliability estimation.
Double Bootstrap Confidence Interval Estimates With Censored And Truncated Data, Jayanthi Arasan, Mohd B. Adam
Double Bootstrap Confidence Interval Estimates With Censored And Truncated Data, Jayanthi Arasan, Mohd B. Adam
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Traditional inferential procedures often fail with censored and truncated data, especially when sample sizes are small. In this paper we evaluate the performances of the double and single bootstrap interval estimates by comparing the double percentile (DB-p), double percentile-t (DB-t), single percentile (B-p), and percentile-t (B-t) bootstrap interval estimation methods via a coverage probability study when the data is censored using the log logistic model. We then apply the double bootstrap intervals to real right censored lifetime data on 32 women with breast cancer and failure data on 98 brake pads where all the observations were left truncated.
Contrast Of Bayesian And Classical Sample Size Determination, Farhana Sadia, Syed S. Hossain
Contrast Of Bayesian And Classical Sample Size Determination, Farhana Sadia, Syed S. Hossain
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Sample size determination is a prerequisite for statistical surveys. A comprehensive overview of the Bayesian approach for computation of the sample size, and a comparison with classical approaches, is presented. Two surveys are taken as example to illustrate the accuracy and efficiency of each approach, and to make recommendations about which method is preferred. The Bayesian approach of sample size determination may require fewer subjects if proper prior information is available.
Estimation Of Gumbel Parameters Under Ranked Set Sampling, Omar M. Yousef, Sameer A. Al-Subh
Estimation Of Gumbel Parameters Under Ranked Set Sampling, Omar M. Yousef, Sameer A. Al-Subh
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Consider the MLEs (maximum likelihood estimators) of the parameters of the Gumbel distribution using SRS (simple random sample) and RSS (ranked set sample) and the MOMEs (method of moment estimators) and REGs (regression estimators) based on SRS. A comparison between these estimators using bias and MSE (mean square error) was performed using simulation. It appears that the MLE based on RSS can be a robust competitor to the MLE based on SRS.
Estimates And Forecasts Of Garch Model Under Misspecified Probability Distributions: A Monte Carlo Simulation Approach, Olaoluwa S. Yaya, Olusanya E. Olubusoye, Oluwadare O. Ojo
Estimates And Forecasts Of Garch Model Under Misspecified Probability Distributions: A Monte Carlo Simulation Approach, Olaoluwa S. Yaya, Olusanya E. Olubusoye, Oluwadare O. Ojo
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
The effect of misspecification of correct sampling probability distribution of Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroscedastic (GARCH) processes is considered. The three assumed distributions are the normal, Student t, and generalized error distributions. The GARCH process is sampled using one of the distributions and the model is estimated based on the three distributions in each sample. Parameter estimates and forecast performance are used to judge the estimated model for performance. The AR-GARCH-GED performed better on the three assumed distributions; even, when Student t distribution is assumed, AR-GARCH-Student t does not perform as the best model.
Local Bandwidths For Improving Performance Statistics Of Model-Robust Regression 2, Efosa Edionwe, Julian L. Mbegbu
Local Bandwidths For Improving Performance Statistics Of Model-Robust Regression 2, Efosa Edionwe, Julian L. Mbegbu
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Model-Robust Regression 2 (MRR2) method is a semi-parametric regression approach that combines parametric and nonparametric fits. The bandwidth controls the smoothness of the nonparametric portion. We present a methodology for deriving data-driven local bandwidth that enhances the performance of MRR2 method for fitting curves to data generated from designed experiments.
Bayesian Inference For Volatility Of Stock Prices, Juliet G. D'Cunha, K. A. Rao
Bayesian Inference For Volatility Of Stock Prices, Juliet G. D'Cunha, K. A. Rao
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Lognormal distribution is widely used in the analysis of failure time data and stock prices. Maximum likelihood and Bayes estimator of the coefficient of variation of lognormal distribution along with confidence/credible intervals are developed. The utility of Bayes procedure is illustrated by analyzing prices of selected stocks.
Front Matter, Jmasm Editors
End Matter, Jmasm Editors
Vol. 13, No. 2 (Full Issue), Jmasm Editors
Vol. 13, No. 2 (Full Issue), Jmasm Editors
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
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Improved Randomization Tests For A Class Of Single-Case Intervention Designs, Joel R. Levin, John M. Ferron, Boris S. Gafurov
Improved Randomization Tests For A Class Of Single-Case Intervention Designs, Joel R. Levin, John M. Ferron, Boris S. Gafurov
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Forty years ago, Eugene Edgington developed a single-case AB intervention design-and-analysis procedure based on a random determination of the point at which the B phase would start. In the present simulation studies encompassing a variety of AB-type contexts, it is demonstrated that by also randomizing the order in which the A and B phases are administered, a researcher can markedly increase the procedure’s statistical power.
Conover’S F Test As An Alternative To Durbin’S Test, Donald J. Best, John Charles Rayner
Conover’S F Test As An Alternative To Durbin’S Test, Donald J. Best, John Charles Rayner
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Data consisting of ranks within blocks are considered for balanced incomplete block designs. An F test statistic from ANOVA is better approximated by an F distribution than the Durbin statistic is approximated by a chi-squared distribution. Indicative powers demonstrate that the F test is generally superior to Durbin’s test.
A Bivariate Distribution With Conditional Gamma And Its Multivariate Form, Sumen Sen, Rajan Lamichhane, Norou Diawara
A Bivariate Distribution With Conditional Gamma And Its Multivariate Form, Sumen Sen, Rajan Lamichhane, Norou Diawara
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
A bivariate distribution whose marginal are gamma and beta prime distribution is introduced. The distribution is derived and the generation of such bivariate sample is shown. Extension of the results are given in the multivariate case under a joint independent component analysis method. Simulated applications are given and they show consistency of our approach. Estimation procedures for the bivariate case are provided.
Gumbel-Weibull Distribution: Properties And Applications, Raid Al-Aqtash, Carl Lee, Felix Famoye
Gumbel-Weibull Distribution: Properties And Applications, Raid Al-Aqtash, Carl Lee, Felix Famoye
Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods
Some properties of the Gumbel-Weibull distribution including the mean deviations and modes are studied. A detailed discussion of regions of unimodality and bimodality is given. The method of maximum likelihood is proposed for estimating the distribution parameters and a simulation is conducted to study the performance of the method. Three tests are given for testing the significance of a distribution parameter. The applications of Gumbel-Weibull distribution are emphasized. Five data sets are used to illustrate the flexibility of the distribution in fitting unimodal and bimodal data sets.