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Full-Text Articles in Physics
Evolution And Distribution Of Record-Breaking High And Low Monthly Mean Temperatures, Amalia Anderson, Alexander Kostinski
Evolution And Distribution Of Record-Breaking High And Low Monthly Mean Temperatures, Amalia Anderson, Alexander Kostinski
Department of Physics Publications
The ratio of record highs to record lows is examined with respect to extent of time series for monthly mean temperatures within the continental United States for 1900–2006. In counting the number of records that occur in a single year, the authors find a ratio greater than unity in 2006, increasing nearly monotonically as the time series increases in length via a variable first year over 1900–76. For example, in 2006, the ratio of record highs to record lows ≈ 13:1 with 1950 as the first year and ≈ 25:1 with 1900 as the first year; both ratios are an …
Reversible Record Breaking And Variability: Temperature Distributions Across The Globe, Amalia Anderson, Alexander Kostinski
Reversible Record Breaking And Variability: Temperature Distributions Across The Globe, Amalia Anderson, Alexander Kostinski
Department of Physics Publications
Based on counts of record highs and lows, and employing reversibility in time, an approach to examining natural variability is proposed. The focus is on intrinsic variability; that is, variance separated from the trend in the mean. A variability index α is suggested and studied for an ensemble of monthly temperature time series around the globe. Deviation of 〈α〉 (mean α) from zero, for an ensemble of time series, signifies a variance trend in a distribution-independent manner. For 15 635 monthly temperature time series from different geographical locations (Global Historical Climatology Network), each time series about a …