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Articles 1 - 30 of 1833

Full-Text Articles in Mathematics

Limit Theorems For L-Functions In Analytic Number Theory, Asher Roberts Sep 2024

Limit Theorems For L-Functions In Analytic Number Theory, Asher Roberts

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

We use the method of Radziwill and Soundararajan to prove Selberg’s central limit theorem for the real part of the logarithm of the Riemann zeta function on the critical line in the multivariate case. This gives an alternate proof of a result of Bourgade. An upshot of the method is to determine a rate of convergence in the sense of the Dudley distance. This is the same rate Selberg claims using the Kolmogorov distance. We also achieve the same rate of convergence in the case of Dirichlet L-functions. Assuming the Riemann hypothesis, we improve the rate of convergence by using …

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Mesenchymal Stem Cells In Autoimmune Disease: A Systematic Review And Meta-Analysis Of Pre-Clinical Studies, Hailey N. Swain, Parker D. Boyce, Bradley A. Bromet, Kaiden Barozinksy, Lacy Hance, Dakota Shields, Gayla R. Olbricht, Julie A. Semon Aug 2024

Mesenchymal Stem Cells In Autoimmune Disease: A Systematic Review And Meta-Analysis Of Pre-Clinical Studies, Hailey N. Swain, Parker D. Boyce, Bradley A. Bromet, Kaiden Barozinksy, Lacy Hance, Dakota Shields, Gayla R. Olbricht, Julie A. Semon

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

Mesenchymal Stem Cells (MSCs) Are of Interest in the Clinic Because of their Immunomodulation Capabilities, Capacity to Act Upstream of Inflammation, and Ability to Sense Metabolic Environments. in Standard Physiologic Conditions, They Play a Role in Maintaining the Homeostasis of Tissues and Organs; However, there is Evidence that They Can Contribute to Some Autoimmune Diseases. Gaining a Deeper Understanding of the Factors that Transition MSCs from their Physiological Function to a Pathological Role in their Native Environment, and Elucidating Mechanisms that Reduce their Therapeutic Relevance in Regenerative Medicine, is Essential. We Conducted a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Human MSCs …

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Supplementary Files For "Using Digitized Building And Weather Records To Improve The Accuracy Of Ground To Roof Snow Load Ratio Estimations", Gideon Parry, Brennan Bean Jun 2024

Supplementary Files For "Using Digitized Building And Weather Records To Improve The Accuracy Of Ground To Roof Snow Load Ratio Estimations", Gideon Parry, Brennan Bean

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Reliability targeted snow loads (RTLs) measure the weight in accumulated snow (i.e. snow load) that a roof is required to support to ensure the probability of failure is suf- ficiently low. This calculation has historically relied upon a probability distribution that characterizes the ratio between the annual maximum ground snow load to the annual max- imum roof snow load, a quantity referred to as Gr. The best available data for estimating Gr comes from Canadian case studies from the 1950s and 1960s. However, much of the data was never digitized, with only approximations of data being made available in scanned …

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Big Two And N-Card Poker Probabilities, Brian Wu, Chai Wah Wu Jun 2024

Big Two And N-Card Poker Probabilities, Brian Wu, Chai Wah Wu

Communications on Number Theory and Combinatorial Theory

Between the poker hands of straight, flush, and full house, which hand is more common? In standard 5-card poker, the order from most common to least common is straight, flush, full house. The same order is true for 7-card poker such as Texas hold'em. However, is the same true for n-card poker for larger n? We study the probability of obtaining these various hands for n-card poker for various values of n≥5. In particular, we derive closed expressions for the probabilities of flush, straight and full house and show that the probability of a flush is less than a straight …

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Supplementary Files For: "Interactive Modeling Of Bear Lake Elevations In A Future Climate", Benjamin D. Shaw, Scout Jarman, Brennan Bean, Kevin R. Moon, Wei Zhang, Nathan Butler, Tommy Bolton, April Knight, Emeline Haroldsen, Abby Funk, Rebecca Higbee Jun 2024

Supplementary Files For: "Interactive Modeling Of Bear Lake Elevations In A Future Climate", Benjamin D. Shaw, Scout Jarman, Brennan Bean, Kevin R. Moon, Wei Zhang, Nathan Butler, Tommy Bolton, April Knight, Emeline Haroldsen, Abby Funk, Rebecca Higbee

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The water level, or elevation, of Bear Lake has a significant impact on agriculture, power, infrastructure, and recreation for communities around the lake. Climatological variables, such as precipitation, temperature, and snowfall, all have an impact on the elevation of Bear Lake. As the climate changes due to greenhouse gas emissions, the typical behaviors of these climate variables change, leading to new behaviors in Bear Lake elevation. Because of the importance of Bear Lake, it is vital to be able to model and understand how Bear Lake's elevation may change in the face of different climate scenarios and to gain further …

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Exchangeability And A Model Of Biological Evolution, Renee Haddad May 2024

Exchangeability And A Model Of Biological Evolution, Renee Haddad

Honors Scholar Theses

A sequence of random variables (RVs) is exchangeable if its distribution is invariant under permutations. For example, every sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) RVs is exchangeable. The main result on exchangeable sequences of random variables is de Finetti's theorem, which identifies exchangeable sequences as conditionally IID. In this thesis, we explore exchangeability, provide an elementary proof of de Finetti's theorem, and present two applications: the classical Polya's urn model and a toy model for biological evolution.

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Calculations From On The Existence Of Periodic Traveling-Wave Solutions To Certain Systems Of Nonlinear, Dispersive Wave Equations, Jacob Daniels May 2024

Calculations From On The Existence Of Periodic Traveling-Wave Solutions To Certain Systems Of Nonlinear, Dispersive Wave Equations, Jacob Daniels

Mathematics and Statistics Student Research and Class Projects

In the field of nonlinear waves, particular interest is given to periodic traveling-wave solutions of nonlinear, dispersive wave equations. This thesis aims to determine the existence of periodic traveling-wave solutions for several systems of water wave equations. These systems are the Schr¨odinger KdV-KdV, Schr¨odinger BBM-BBM, Schr¨odinger KdV-BBM, and Schr¨odinger BBM-KdV systems, and the abcd-system. In particular, it is shown that periodic traveling-wave solutions exist and are explicitly given in terms of cnoidal, the Jacobi elliptic function. Certain solitary-wave solutions are also established as a limiting case of the periodic traveling-wave solutions, that is, as the elliptic modulus approaches one.

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Markov Chain Model Of Three-Dimensional Daphnia Magna Movement, Helen L. Kafka May 2024

Markov Chain Model Of Three-Dimensional Daphnia Magna Movement, Helen L. Kafka

Theses and Dissertations

Daphnia magna make turns through an antennae-whipping action. This action occursevery few seconds, hence, during the intervening time, the animal either remains in place or continues movement roughly along its current course. We view their movement in three dimensions. We divide the movement in the three dimensions into the movement on a two-dimensional lattice and the movement between the different planes. For the movement on the lattice, we construct a second-order Markov chain model to make predictions about which region of the lattice the animal moves to based on where it was at the last two time points. The movement …

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Utilizing Arma Models For Non-Independent Replications Of Point Processes, Lucas M. Fellmeth May 2024

Utilizing Arma Models For Non-Independent Replications Of Point Processes, Lucas M. Fellmeth

Theses and Dissertations

The use of a functional principal component analysis (FPCA) approach for estimatingintensity functions from prior work allows us to obtain component scores of replicated point processes under the assumption of independent replications. We show these component scores can be modeled using classical autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models, thus allowing us to also apply the FPCA model to non-independent replications. The Divvy bike-sharing system in the city of Chicago is showcased as an application.

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Bayesian Change Point Detection In Segmented Multi-Group Autoregressive Moving-Average Data For The Study Of Covid-19 In Wisconsin, Russell Latterman May 2024

Bayesian Change Point Detection In Segmented Multi-Group Autoregressive Moving-Average Data For The Study Of Covid-19 In Wisconsin, Russell Latterman

Theses and Dissertations

Changepoint detection involves the discovery of abrupt fluctuations in population dynamics over time. We take a Bayesian approach to estimating points in time at which the parameters of an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) change, applying a Markov chain Monte Carlo method. We specifically assume that data may originate from one of two groups. We provide estimates of all multi-group parameters of a model of this form for both simulated and real-world data sets. We include a provision to resolve the problem of confounding ARMA parameter estimates and variance of segment data. We apply our model to identify points in time …

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The Future Of Brain Tumor Diagnosis: Cnn And Transfer Learning Innovations, Shengyuan Wang May 2024

The Future Of Brain Tumor Diagnosis: Cnn And Transfer Learning Innovations, Shengyuan Wang

Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science Honors Projects

For the purpose of improving patient survival rates and facilitating efficient treatment planning, brain tumors need to be identified early and accurately classified. This research investigates the application of transfer learning and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) to create an automated, high-precision brain tumor segmentation and classification framework. Utilizing large-scale datasets, which comprise MRI images from open-accessible archives, the model exhibits the effectiveness of the method in various kinds of tumors and imaging scenarios. Our approach utilizes transfer learning techniques along with CNN architectures strengths to tackle the intrinsic difficulties of brain tumor diagnosis, namely significant tumor appearance variability and difficult …

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Modeling Prices In Limit Order Book Using Univariate Hawkes Point Process, Wenqing Jiang May 2024

Modeling Prices In Limit Order Book Using Univariate Hawkes Point Process, Wenqing Jiang

University of New Orleans Theses and Dissertations

This thesis presents a time-changed geometric Brownian price model with the univariate Hawkes processes to trace the price changes in a limit order book. Limit order books are the core mechanism for trading in modern financial markets, continuously collecting outstanding buy and sell orders from market participants. The arrival of orders causes fluctuations in prices over time. A Hawkes process is a type of point process that exhibits self-exciting behavior, where the occurrence of one event increases the probability of other events happening in the near future. This makes Hawkes processes well-suited for capturing the clustered arrival patterns of orders …

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Deterministic Global 3d Fractal Cloud Model For Synthetic Scene Generation, Aaron M. Schinder, Shannon R. Young, Bryan J. Steward, Michael L. Dexter, Andrew Kondrath, Stephen Hinton, Ricardo Davila May 2024

Deterministic Global 3d Fractal Cloud Model For Synthetic Scene Generation, Aaron M. Schinder, Shannon R. Young, Bryan J. Steward, Michael L. Dexter, Andrew Kondrath, Stephen Hinton, Ricardo Davila

Faculty Publications

This paper describes the creation of a fast, deterministic, 3D fractal cloud renderer for the AFIT Sensor and Scene Emulation Tool (ASSET). The renderer generates 3D clouds by ray marching through a volume and sampling the level-set of a fractal function. The fractal function is distorted by a displacement map, which is generated using horizontal wind data from a Global Forecast System (GFS) weather file. The vertical windspeed and relative humidity are used to mask the creation of clouds to match realistic large-scale weather patterns over the Earth. Small-scale detail is provided by the fractal functions which are tuned to …

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Information Based Approach For Detecting Change Points In Inverse Gaussian Model With Applications, Alexis Anne Wallace May 2024

Information Based Approach For Detecting Change Points In Inverse Gaussian Model With Applications, Alexis Anne Wallace

Electronic Theses, Projects, and Dissertations

Change point analysis is a method used to estimate the time point at which a change in the mean or variance of data occurs. It is widely used as changes appear in various datasets such as the stock market, temperature, and quality control, allowing statisticians to take appropriate measures to mitigate financial losses, operational disruptions, or other adverse impacts. In this thesis, we develop a change point detection procedure in the Inverse Gaussian (IG) model using the Modified Information Criterion (MIC). The IG distribution, originating as the distribution of the first passage time of Brownian motion with positive drift, offers …

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On The Existence Of Periodic Traveling-Wave Solutions To Certain Systems Of Nonlinear, Dispersive Wave Equations, Jacob Daniels May 2024

On The Existence Of Periodic Traveling-Wave Solutions To Certain Systems Of Nonlinear, Dispersive Wave Equations, Jacob Daniels

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Fall 2023 to Present

A variety of physical phenomena can be modeled by systems of nonlinear, dispersive wave equations. Such examples include the propagation of a wave through a canal, deep ocean waves with small amplitude and long wavelength, and even the propagation of long-crested waves on the surface of lakes. An important task in the study of water wave equations is to determine whether a solution exists. This thesis aims to determine whether there exists solutions that both travel at a constant speed and are periodic for several systems of water wave equations. The work done in this thesis contributes to the subfields …

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A Comprehensive Uncertainty Quantification Methodology For Metrology Calibration And Method Comparison Problems Via Numeric Solutions To Maximum Likelihood Estimation And Parametric Bootstrapping, Aloka B. S. N. Dayarathne May 2024

A Comprehensive Uncertainty Quantification Methodology For Metrology Calibration And Method Comparison Problems Via Numeric Solutions To Maximum Likelihood Estimation And Parametric Bootstrapping, Aloka B. S. N. Dayarathne

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Fall 2023 to Present

In metrology, the science of measurements, straight line calibration models are frequently employed. These models help understand the instrumental response to an analyte, whose chemical constituents are unknown, and predict the analyte’s concentration in a sample. Techniques such as ordinary least squares and generalized least squares are commonly used to fit these calibration curves. However, these methods may yield biased estimates of slope and intercept when the calibrant, substance used to calibrate an analytical procedure with known chemical constituents (x-values), carries uncertainty. To address this, Ripley and Thompson (1987) proposed functional relationship estimation by maximum likelihood (FREML), which considers uncertainties …

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Statistical Modeling Of Right-Censored Spatial Data Using Gaussian Random Fields, Fathima Z. Sainul Abdeen, Akim Adekpedjou, Sophie Dabo Niang May 2024

Statistical Modeling Of Right-Censored Spatial Data Using Gaussian Random Fields, Fathima Z. Sainul Abdeen, Akim Adekpedjou, Sophie Dabo Niang

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

Consider a Fixed Number of Clustered Areas Identified by their Geographical Coordinates that Are Monitored for the Occurrences of an Event Such as a Pandemic, Epidemic, or Migration. Data Collected on Units at All Areas Include Covariates and Environmental Factors. We Apply a Probit Transformation to the Time to Event and Embed an Isotropic Spatial Correlation Function into Our Models for Better Modeling as Compared to Existing Methodologies that Use Frailty or Copula. Composite Likelihood Technique is Employed for the Construction of a Multivariate Gaussian Random Field that Preserves the Spatial Correlation Function. the Data Are Analyzed using Counting Process …

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An Investigation Into The Causes Of Home Field Advantage In Professional Soccer, Paige E. Tomer Apr 2024

An Investigation Into The Causes Of Home Field Advantage In Professional Soccer, Paige E. Tomer

Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science Honors Projects

Home-field advantage is the sporting phenomenon in which the home team outperforms the away team. Despite its widespread occurrence across sports, the underlying reasons for home-field advantage remain uncertain. In this paper, we employ a range of statistical methods to explore the causal relationships of potential determinants of home-field advantage. We measure home-field advantage using match outcomes and differential metrics (e.g., differences in yellow cards received). In an attempt to narrow the research disparity between men’s and women’s sports, we utilize data from the National Women’s Soccer League (NWSL) and the English Premier League (EPL) to investigate potential causes of …

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How Generative Ai Models Such As Chatgpt Can Be (Mis)Used In Spc Practice, Education, And Research? An Exploratory Study, Fadel M. Megahed, Ying-Ju (Tessa) Chen, Joshua A. Ferris, Sven Knoth, L. Allison Jones-Farmer Apr 2024

How Generative Ai Models Such As Chatgpt Can Be (Mis)Used In Spc Practice, Education, And Research? An Exploratory Study, Fadel M. Megahed, Ying-Ju (Tessa) Chen, Joshua A. Ferris, Sven Knoth, L. Allison Jones-Farmer

Mathematics Faculty Publications

Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) models such as OpenAI's ChatGPT have the potential to revolutionize Statistical Process Control (SPC) practice, learning, and research. However, these tools are in the early stages of development and can be easily misused or misunderstood. In this paper, we give an overview of the development of Generative AI. Specifically, we explore ChatGPT's ability to provide code, explain basic concepts, and create knowledge related to SPC practice, learning, and research. By investigating responses to structured prompts, we highlight the benefits and limitations of the results. Our study indicates that the current version of ChatGPT performs well for …

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Variable-Order Fractional Laplacian And Its Accurate And Efficient Computations With Meshfree Methods, Yixuan Wu, Yanzhi Zhang Apr 2024

Variable-Order Fractional Laplacian And Its Accurate And Efficient Computations With Meshfree Methods, Yixuan Wu, Yanzhi Zhang

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

The variable-order fractional Laplacian plays an important role in the study of heterogeneous systems. In this paper, we propose the first numerical methods for the variable-order Laplacian (-Δ) α (x) / 2 with 0 < α (x) ≤ 2, which will also be referred as the variable-order fractional Laplacian if α(x) is strictly less than 2. We present a class of hypergeometric functions whose variable-order Laplacian can be analytically expressed. Building on these analytical results, we design the meshfree methods based on globally supported radial basis functions (RBFs), including Gaussian, generalized inverse multiquadric, and Bessel-type RBFs, to approximate the variable-order Laplacian (-Δ) α (x) / 2. Our meshfree methods integrate the advantages of both pseudo-differential and hypersingular integral forms of the variable-order fractional Laplacian, and thus avoid numerically approximating the hypersingular integral. Moreover, our methods are simple and flexible of domain geometry, and their computer implementation remains the same for any dimension d ≥ 1. Compared to finite difference methods, our methods can achieve a desired accuracy with much fewer points. This fact makes our method much attractive for problems involving variable-order fractional Laplacian where the number of points required is a critical cost. We then apply our method to study solution behaviors of variable-order fractional PDEs arising in different fields, including transition of waves between classical and fractional media, and coexistence of anomalous and normal diffusion in both diffusion equation and the Allen–Cahn equation. These results would provide insights for further understanding and applications of variable-order fractional derivatives.

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Thermal Performance Of Forced Convection Of Water- Nepcm Nanofluid Over A Semi-Cylinder Heat Source, Xiaoming Wang, Rassol H. Rasheed, Babak Keivani, Dheyaa J. Jasim, Abbas J. Sultan, Sajad Hamedi, Hamed Kazemi-Varnamkhasti, Soheil Salahshour, Davood Toghraie Mar 2024

Thermal Performance Of Forced Convection Of Water- Nepcm Nanofluid Over A Semi-Cylinder Heat Source, Xiaoming Wang, Rassol H. Rasheed, Babak Keivani, Dheyaa J. Jasim, Abbas J. Sultan, Sajad Hamedi, Hamed Kazemi-Varnamkhasti, Soheil Salahshour, Davood Toghraie

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

1) Background: Phase change materials (PCMs) have been used statically, which has caused the use of these materials to face challenges. Encapsulating PCMs and combining them with the base fluid can significantly solve the problem of using PCMs in BTM systems. In the present study, based on computational fluid dynamics, forced convection heat transfer of nano-encapsulated phase change materials (NEPCM) in a BTM system are simulated. The main aim of the present research is to reduce the temperature at the surface of the hot cylinder. 2) Methods: In this research, we simulated lithium battery thermal management systems in both steady …

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Optimizing Buying Strategies In Dominion, Nikolas A. Koutroulakis Feb 2024

Optimizing Buying Strategies In Dominion, Nikolas A. Koutroulakis

Rose-Hulman Undergraduate Mathematics Journal

Dominion is a deck-building card game that simulates competing lords growing their kingdoms. Here we wish to optimize a strategy called Big Money by modeling the game as a Markov chain and utilizing the associated transition matrices to simulate the game. We provide additional analysis of a variation on this strategy known as Big Money Terminal Draw. Our results show that player's should prioritize buying provinces over improving their deck. Furthermore, we derive heuristics to guide a player's decision making for a Big Money Terminal Draw Deck. In particular, we show that buying a second Smithy is always more optimal …

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A Causal Inference Approach For Spike Train Interactions, Zach Saccomano Feb 2024

A Causal Inference Approach For Spike Train Interactions, Zach Saccomano

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

Since the 1960s, neuroscientists have worked on the problem of estimating synaptic properties, such as connectivity and strength, from simultaneously recorded spike trains. Recent years have seen renewed interest in the problem coinciding with rapid advances in experimental technologies, including an approximate exponential increase in the number of neurons that can be recorded in parallel and perturbation techniques such as optogenetics that can be used to calibrate and validate causal hypotheses about functional connectivity. This thesis presents a mathematical examination of synaptic inference from two perspectives: (1) using in vivo data and biophysical models, we ask in what cases the …

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Model Selection Through Cross-Validation For Supervised Learning Tasks With Manifold Data, Derek Brown Jan 2024

Model Selection Through Cross-Validation For Supervised Learning Tasks With Manifold Data, Derek Brown

The Journal of Purdue Undergraduate Research

No abstract provided.

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Time Scale Theory On Stability Of Explicit And Implicit Discrete Epidemic Models: Applications To Swine Flu Outbreak, Gülşah Yeni, Elvan Akın, Naveen K. Vaidya Jan 2024

Time Scale Theory On Stability Of Explicit And Implicit Discrete Epidemic Models: Applications To Swine Flu Outbreak, Gülşah Yeni, Elvan Akın, Naveen K. Vaidya

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

Time scales theory has been in use since the 1980s with many applications. Only very recently, it has been used to describe within-host and between-hosts dynamics of infectious diseases. In this study, we present explicit and implicit discrete epidemic models motivated by the time scales modeling approach. We use these models to formulate the basic reproduction number, which determines whether an outbreak occurs, or the disease dies out. We discuss the stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points using the linearization method and Lyapunov function. Furthermore, we apply our models to swine flu outbreak data to demonstrate that the …

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On A Multivalued Prescribed Mean Curvature Problem And Inclusions Defined On Dual Spaces, Vy Khoi Le Jan 2024

On A Multivalued Prescribed Mean Curvature Problem And Inclusions Defined On Dual Spaces, Vy Khoi Le

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

This article addresses two main objectives. First, it establishes a functional analytic framework and presents existence results for a quasilinear inclusion describing a prescribed mean curvature problem with homogeneous Dirichlet boundary conditions, involving a multivalued lower order term. The formulation of the problem is done in the space of functions with bounded variation. The second objective is to introduce a general existence theory for inclusions defined on nonreflexive Banach spaces, which is specifically applicable to the aforementioned prescribed mean curvature problem. This problem can be formulated as a multivalued variational inequality in the space of functions with bounded variation, which, …

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Existence Of Solutions By Coincidence Degree Theory For Hadamard Fractional Differential Equations At Resonance, Martin Bohner, Alexander Domoshnitsky, Seshadev Padhi, Satyam Narayan Srivastava Jan 2024

Existence Of Solutions By Coincidence Degree Theory For Hadamard Fractional Differential Equations At Resonance, Martin Bohner, Alexander Domoshnitsky, Seshadev Padhi, Satyam Narayan Srivastava

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

Using the Coincidence Degree Theory of Mawhin and Constructing Appropriate Operators, We Investigate the Existence of Solutions to Hadamard Fractional Differential Equations (FRDEs) at Resonance

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Contrastive Learning, With Application To Forensic Identification Of Source, Cole Ryan Patten Jan 2024

Contrastive Learning, With Application To Forensic Identification Of Source, Cole Ryan Patten

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Forensic identification of source problems often fall under the category of verification problems, where recent advances in deep learning have been made by contrastive learning methods. Many forensic identification of source problems deal with a scarcity of data, an issue addressed by few-shot learning. In this work, we make specific what makes a neural network a contrastive network. We then consider the use of contrastive neural networks for few-shot learning classification problems and compare them to other statistical and deep learning methods. Our findings indicate similar performance between models trained by contrastive loss and models trained by cross-entropy loss. We …

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Open Diameter Maps On Suspensions, Hussam Abobaker, Włodzimierz J. Charatonik, Robert Paul Roe Jan 2024

Open Diameter Maps On Suspensions, Hussam Abobaker, Włodzimierz J. Charatonik, Robert Paul Roe

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

It is shown that if X is a metric continuum, which admits an open diameter map, then the suspension of X, admits an open diameter map. As a corollary, we have that all spheres admit open diameter maps.

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Modeling The Development & Expression Of Political Opinion: A Zallerian Approach, Avery C. Ellis Jan 2024

Modeling The Development & Expression Of Political Opinion: A Zallerian Approach, Avery C. Ellis

Honors Projects

Research focused on John Zaller's famous RAS model of political opinion formation and change from "The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion" (1992). Analyzed the mathematical and psychological underpinnings of the model, the first paper to do so in over fifteen years and the first to do so through an analysis of motivated reasoning and Bayesian reasoning. Synthesized existing critiques of Zaller's model and other literature to suggest ways to build on Zaller, utilizing fundamental reunderstandings of opinions and messages from political and mathematical perspectives. Found verification for Zaller's model, confirming its value, but also found support for the proposed …

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