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Seasonal Prediction Of Climate Extremes For The Pacific: Tropical Cyclones And Extreme Ocean Temperatures, Yuriy Kuleshov, Claire Spillman, Yan Wang, Andrew Charles, Roald De Wit, Kay Shelton, David Jones, Harry Hendon, Catherine Ganter, Andrew Watkins, Jemishabye Apajee, Aurel Griesser

Journal of Marine Science and Technology

Climate change and climate extremes have a major impact on Australia and Pacific Island countries. Of particular concern are tropical cyclones and extreme ocean temperatures. As a practical response to climate change, through the Pacific Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation planning Program (PACCSAP), enhanced web-based information tools to provide seasonal forecasts for climatic extremes in the Western Pacific have been developed. Using the dynamical seasonal prediction model POAMA (Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia), we aim to improve accuracy of seasonal forecasts of tropical cyclone activity and extreme sea surface temperatures for the Western Pacific. Since the PACCSAP has …