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Other Applied Mathematics Commons

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Applied Statistics

Theses/Dissertations

2021

Public policy

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Spatio-Temporal Modeling Of Crime In Chicago, Illinois, Shelby Scott May 2021

Spatio-Temporal Modeling Of Crime In Chicago, Illinois, Shelby Scott

Doctoral Dissertations

Gun crime is a major public health concern in the United States. In Chicago, Illinois, gun crime incurs a significant cost of life along with monetary costs and community unrest. Due to past legislation, there is limited research applying quantitative methods to gun crime in Chicago. The overall purpose of this work is to create a cellular automata model to observe and project the epidemic spread of gun crime in Chicago. To create that model, t-test analyses of temporal patterns, a Bayesian point process model, a negative binomial Bayesian subset selection, and a k-selection algorithm are used. The cellular automata …