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Applied Mathematics Commons

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Full-Text Articles in Applied Mathematics

A Regression Model To Predict Stock Market Mega Movements And/Or Volatility Using Both Macroeconomic Indicators & Fed Bank Variables, Timothy A. Smith, Alcuin Rajan Sep 2017

A Regression Model To Predict Stock Market Mega Movements And/Or Volatility Using Both Macroeconomic Indicators & Fed Bank Variables, Timothy A. Smith, Alcuin Rajan

Publications

In finance, regression models or time series moving averages can be used to determine the value of an asset based on its underlying traits. In prior work we built a regression model to predict the value of the S&P 500 based on macroeconomic indicators such as gross domestic product, money supply, produce price and consumer price indices. In this present work this model is updated both with more data and an adjustment in the input variables to improve the coefficient of determination. A scheme is also laid out to alternately define volatility rather than using common tools such as the …


A Numerical Study Of Construction Of Honey Bee Comb, Pamela Guerrero, Pamela C. Guerrero Jan 2017

A Numerical Study Of Construction Of Honey Bee Comb, Pamela Guerrero, Pamela C. Guerrero

Murray State Theses and Dissertations

We use finite difference methods in the treatment of an existing system of partial differential equations that captures the dynamics of parallel honeycomb construction in a bee hive. We conduct an uncertainty analysis by calculating the partial rank correlation coefficient for the parameters to find which are most important to the outcomes of the model. We then use an eFAST method to determine both the individual and total sensitivity index for the parameters. Afterwards we examine our numerical model under varying initial conditions and parameter values, and compare ratios found from local data with the golden mean by fitting images …