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A Kuramoto Model Approach To Predicting Chaotic Systems With Echo State Networks, Sophie Wu, Jackson Howe Aug 2022

A Kuramoto Model Approach To Predicting Chaotic Systems With Echo State Networks, Sophie Wu, Jackson Howe

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An Echo State Network (ESN) with an activation function based on the Kuramoto model (Kuramoto ESN) is implemented, which can successfully predict the logistic map for a non-trivial number of time steps. The reservoir in the prediction stage exhibits binary dynamics when a good prediction is made, but the oscillators in the reservoir display a larger variability in states as the ESN’s prediction becomes worse. Analytical approaches to quantify how the Kuramoto ESN’s dynamics relate to its prediction are explored, as well as how the dynamics of the Kuramoto ESN relate to another widely studied physical model, the Ising model.