Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

A Self-Organized Learning Model For Anomalies Detection: Application To Elderly People, Nicolas R. Verstaevel, Jean-Pierre George, Carole Bernon, Marie-Pierre Gleizes

SMART Infrastructure Facility - Papers

In a context of a rapidly growing population of elderly people, this paper introduces a novel method for behavioural anomaly detection relying on a self-organized learning process. This method first models the Circadian Activity Rhythm of a set of sensors and compares it to a nominal profile to determine variations in patients' activities. The anomalies are detected by a multi-agent system as a linear relation of those variations, weighted by influence parameters. The problem of adaptation to a particular patient then becomes the problem of learning the adequate influence parameters. Those influence parameters are self-adjusted, using feedback provided at any …

A Dynamic Behavioural Traffic Assignment Model With Strategic Agents, Johan Barthelemy, Timoteo Carletti

SMART Infrastructure Facility - Papers

Foresee traffic conditions and demand is a major issue nowadays that is very often approached using simulation tools. The aim of this work is to propose an innovative strategy to tackle such problem, relying on the presentation and analysis of a behavioural dynamic traffic assignment. The proposal relies on the assumption that travellers take routing policies rather than paths, leading us to introduce the possibility for each simulated agent to apply, in real time, a strategy allowing him to possibly re-route his path depending on the perceived local traffic conditions, jam and/or time already spent in his journey. The re-routing …

Railnet: A Simulation Model For Operational Planning Of Rail Freight, Guillaume Michal, Nam N. Huynh, Nagesh Shukla, Albert Munoz, Johan Barthelemy

SMART Infrastructure Facility - Papers

In many rail networks, infrastructure constraints force the shared usage of lines between passenger and freight movements. Scheduling additional freight movements around existing passenger services and peak traffic based curfews presents significant challenges to commodity industries eager to increase export volumes. This paper addresses the problem of inserting additional freight movements in a constrained railway network. To this end, a railway operations planning model was developed to simulate and insert feasible rail movements in a non-periodic timetable. The simulation modelling platform developed in this paper is called RailNet, which simulates the existing railway network constraints and is capable of adding …

Individual-Level Simulation Model For Cost Benefit Analysis In Healthcare, Nagesh Shukla, Vu Lam Cao, Van Hoang Phuong, Marian D. Shanahan, Alison Ritter, Pascal Perez

SMART Infrastructure Facility - Papers

Illicit drug use creates significant burden at societal, family and personal levels. Every year substantial resources are allocated for treatment and the consequences of illicit drug use in Australia and around the world. Heroin is one of the major forms of illicit drugs. Several independent heroin treatment strategies or interventions exist and state-of-the art research demonstrates their efficacy and relative costeffectiveness. However, assessing total potential gains and burden from providing all treatment interventions or varying the mix of heroin treatments has never been attempted. This paper proposed an individual-level simulation model (ISM) which addresses net social benefit over a lifetime …

Case Study: A Model Based Systems Engineering (Mbse) Framework For Characterising Transportation Systems Over The Full Life Cycle, William R. Scott, Richard Fullalove, Gary Arabian, Allan P. Campbell

SMART Infrastructure Facility - Papers

Development of transport infrastructure has significant challenges including acquisition lag, phased evolution, multiple disparate stakeholders and environment-specific issues. The Asset Standards Authority (ASA) at TfNSW is introducing MBSE to address these challenges. Instrumental to the introduction is the development of a framework that structures the available data and provides guidance and traceability between the data sets. This framework combines the enterprise-level drivers with the lower level drivers such as standards to outline a generic conceptual design for a transport system. This conceptual design is then used to guide future system development. The outcome is future project information based on greater, …

A Stochastic And Flexible Activity Based Model For Large Population Application To Belgium, Johan Barthelemy, Philippe L. Toint

SMART Infrastructure Facility - Papers

The VirtualBelgium project aims at developing an understanding of the evolution of the Belgian population using agent-based simulations and considering various aspects of this evolution such as demographics, residential choices, activity patterns, mobility, etc. This simulation is based on a validated synthetic population consisting of approximately 10,000,000 individuals and 4,350,000 households located in the 589 municipalities of Belgium. The work presented in this paper focuses only on the mobility behaviour of such large populations and this is simulated using an activity-based approach in which the travel demand is derived from the activities performed by the individuals. The proposed model is …

Microscopic Model For Exchange Bias From Grain-Boundary Disorder In A Ferromagnet/Antiferromagnet Thin Film With A Nanocrystalline Microstructure, David L. Cortie, A G. Biternas, R W. Chantrell, Xiaolin Wang, Frank Klose

Australian Institute for Innovative Materials - Papers

Monte Carlo spin simulations were coupled to a Voronoi microstructure-generator to predict the magnitude and behavior of exchange bias in a ferromagnet/antiferromagnet (AF) thin film bilayer with a nanocrystalline microstructure. Our model accounts for the effects of irregular grain-shapes, finite-sized particles, and the possible presence of local random-fields originating from the antiferromagnet's grain-boundary regions. As the grain-boundary represents a crystal-structure distortion, we model the local effect on the exchange constants in the Gaussian approximation which can cause regions resembling a spin glass confined to an unusual 2D topology. Although an ensemble of completely disconnected AF grains isolated by non-magnetic barriers …

Modelling The Rejection Of N-Nitrosamines By A Spiral-Wound Reverse Osmosis System: Mathematical Model Development And Validation, Takahiro Fujioka, Stuart J. Khan, James A. Mcdonald, Annalie Roux, Yvan Poussade, Jorg E. Drewes, Long D. Nghiem

SMART Infrastructure Facility - Papers

A mathematical model was developed based on the irreversible thermodynamic principle and hydro- dynamic calculation to predict the rejection of N-nitrosamines by spiral-wound reverse osmosis (RO) membrane systems. The developed model is able to accurately describe the rejection of N-nitrosamines under a range of permeate flux and system recovery conditions. The modelled N-nitrosamine rejections were in good agreement with values obtained experimentally using a pilot-scale RO filtration system. Simulation from the model revealed that an increase in permeate flux from10 to 30L/m2h led to an increase in the rejection of low molecular weight N-nitrosamines such as N-nitrosodimethylamine (NDMA) (from31% to …

A Model Based Study Of Concept Development For Hospital Wayfinding To Improve Operational Efficiency, Peter Peter Campbell, William R. Scott

SMART Infrastructure Facility - Papers

No abstract provided.

Levetiracetam-Loaded Biodegradable Polymer Implants In The Tetanus Toxin Model Of Temporal Lobe Epilepsy In Rats, Amy J. Halliday, Toni E. Campbell, Timothy S. Nelson, Karen J. Mclean, Gordon G. Wallace, Mark J. Cook

Australian Institute for Innovative Materials - Papers

Approximately one-third of people with epilepsy receive insufficient benefit from currently available anticonvulsant medication, and some evidence suggests that this may be due to a lack of effective penetration into brain parenchyma. The current study investigated the ability of biodegradable polymer implants loaded with levetiracetam to ameliorate seizures following implantation above the motor cortex in the tetanus toxin model of temporal lobe epilepsy in rats. The implants led to significantly shorter seizures and a trend towards fewer seizures for up to 1 week. The results of this study indicate that drug-eluting polymer implants represent a promising evolving treatment option for …

Combining Outputs From The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program By Using A Bayesian Hierarchical Model, Emily L. Kang, Noel Cressie, Stephan R. Sain

Faculty of Informatics - Papers (Archive)

We investigate the 20-year-average boreal winter temperatures generated by an ensemble of six regional climate models (RCMs) in phase I of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program. We use the long-run average (20-year integration) to smooth out variability and to capture the climate properties from the RCM outputs. We find that, although the RCMs capture the large-scale climate variation from coast to coast and from south to north similarly, their outputs can differ substantially in some regions. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model to synthesize information from the ensemble of RCMs, and we construct a consensus climate signal …

Atmospheric Greenhouse Gases Retrieved From Sciamachy: Comparison To Ground-Based Fts Measurements And Model Results, O Schneising, P Bergamaschi, H Bovensmann, M Buchwitz, J P. Burrows, N M. Deutscher, D W. T Griffith, J Heymann, R Macatangay, J Messerschmidt, J Notholt, M Rettinger, M Reuter, R Sussmann, Voltaire A. Velazco, T Warneke, P O. Wennberg, D Wunch

Faculty of Science - Papers (Archive)

SCIAMACHY onboard ENVISAT (launched in 2002) enables the retrieval of global long-term columnaveraged dry air mole fractions of the two most important anthropogenic greenhouse gases carbon dioxide and methane (denoted XCO₂ and XCH₄). In order to assess the quality of the greenhouse gas data obtained with the recently introduced v2 of the scientific retrieval algorithm WFM-DOAS, we present validations with ground-based Fourier Transform Spectrometer (FTS) measurements and comparisons with model results at eight Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) sites providing realistic error estimates of the satellite data. Such validation is a prerequisite to assess the suitability …

Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Retrieved From The Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite (Gosat): Comparison With Ground-Based Tccon Observations And Geos-Chem Model Calculations, A Cogan, H Boesch, R Parker, L Feng, Paul Palmer, J-F Blavier, Nicholas M. Deutscher, Ronald Macatangay, Justus Notholt, C M. Roehl, Thorsten Warneke, Debra Wunch

Faculty of Science - Papers (Archive)

We retrieved column-averaged dry air mole fractions of atmospheric carbon dioxide (XCO 2) from backscattered short-wave infrared (SWIR) sunlight measured by the Japanese Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite (GOSAT). Over two years of XCO 2 retrieved from GOSAT is compared with XCO 2 inferred from collocated SWIR measurements by seven ground-based Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) stations. The average difference between GOSAT and TCCON XCO 2 for individual TCCON sites ranges from -0.87 ppm to 0.77 ppm with a mean value of 0.1 ppm and standard deviation of 0.56 ppm. We find an average bias between all GOSAT and TCCON …

Departure Time Choice Analysis Using Ordered Response Probit Model: Journey To Work Trip In Dhaka City Of Bangladesh, Ahm Mehbub Anwar

SMART Infrastructure Facility - Papers

No abstract provided.

Theory Of Gaussian Variational Approximation For A Poisson Mixed Model, Peter Hall, J T. Ormerod, M P. Wand

Faculty of Informatics - Papers (Archive)

Likelihood-based inference for the parameters of generalized linear mixed models is hindered by the presence of intractable integrals. Gaussian variational approximation provides a fast and effective means of approximate inference. We provide some theory for this type of approximation for a simple Poisson mixed model. In particular, we establish consistency at rate m^−1/2 +n⁻¹, where m is the number of groups and n is the number of repeated measurements.

Statistical Analysis Model Predicting Computer Use In Mathematics, Rebecca Hudson, Anne Porter, Mark Nelson

Faculty of Informatics - Papers (Archive)

This paper is a report of a doctoral thesis that investigated the factors that were associated with the use of computers in secondary mathematics teaching, the choices made by teachers and learning theories guiding their teaching. Mixed methods approaches were used to triangulate the results of the study. The study was divided into three stages, the first a questionnaire completed by 114 teachers, the second was examination of current accredited courses in teacher preparation for mathematics teaching to identify what learning theories were included in subjects, and the third were interviews with 8 teachers in training and 6 experienced teachers. …

Asymptotic And Numerical Results For A Model Of Solvent-Dependent Drug Diffusion Through Polymeric Spheres, Scott Mccue, Mike Hsieh, Timothy J. Moroney, Mark I. Nelson

Faculty of Informatics - Papers (Archive)

A model for drug diffusion from a spherical polymeric drug delivery device is considered. The model contains two key features. The first is that solvent diffuses into the polymer, which then transitions from a glassy to a rubbery state. The interface between the two states of polymer is modeled as a moving boundary, whose speed is governed by a kinetic law; the same moving boundary problem arises in the one-phase limit of a Stefan problem with kinetic undercooling. The second feature is that drug diffuses only through the rubbery region, with a nonlinear diffusion coefficient that depends on the concentration …

A Mathematical Model For The Biological Treatment Of Industrial Wastewaters In A Cascade Of Four Reactors, Annette L. Worthy, Mark I. Nelson, Rubayyi Turki Alqahtani

Faculty of Informatics - Papers (Archive)

Many industrial processes, particularly in the food industry, produce slurriesor wastewaters containing high concentrations of biodegradable organicmaterials. Before these contaminated wastewaters can be dischargedthe concentration of these pollutants must be reduced. A method which has beenextensively employed to remove biodegradable organic matter is biologicaltreatment. In this process the wastewater (or slurry) is passed through abioreactor containing biomass which grows through consumption of thepollutants.The industrial treatment of wastewaters typically employs a reactor cascade.In a reactor cascade of n reactors the effluent stream from the ith reactor inthe cascade acts as the feed stream for the (i+1)th reactor, i.e. the nextreactor. The …

A Preliminary Investigation Of Complex Adaptive Systems As A Model For Explaining Organisational Change Caused By The Introduction Of Health Information Systems, Kieren Diment, Ping Yu, Karin Garrety

Faculty of Informatics - Papers (Archive)

This paper documents the preliminary development of a framework for evaluating organisational change processes during the implementation of an electronic nursing documentation system in residential aged care facilities. It starts with a brief outline of organisational change processes. This is followed by a more detailed exposition of the principles underlying complex adaptive systems (CAS) theory, where we explain how mathematical concepts can be used to illuminate qualitative research approaches. Finally we present some preliminary findings on the facilitators and barriers for the introduction of the electronic documentation system, explained with reference to the CAS theory, based on analysis of interviews …

Daily And 3-Hourly Variability In Global Fire Emissions And Consequences For Atmospheric Model Predictions Of Carbon Monoxide, M Mu, James Randerson, G R. Van Der Werf, L Giglio, Prasad Kasibhatla, D Morton, G J. Collatz, R S. Defries, E J. Hyer, E M. Prins, David W. Griffith, Debra Wunch, G C. Toon, V Sherlock, Paul O. Wennberg

Faculty of Science - Papers (Archive)

"Attribution of the causes of atmospheric trace gas and aerosol variability often requires the use of high resolution time series of anthropogenic and natural emissions inventories. Here we developed an approach for representing synoptic-and diurnal-scale temporal variability in fire emissions for the Global Fire Emissions Database version 3 (GFED3). We disaggregated monthly GFED3 emissions during 2003-2009 to a daily time step using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)-derived measurements of active fires from Terra and Aqua satellites. In parallel, mean diurnal cycles were constructed from Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) Wildfire Automated Biomass Burning Algorithm (WF_ABBA) active fire observations. Daily variability …

Methane Observations From The Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite: Comparison To Ground-Based Tccon Data And Model Calculations, Robert Parker, Hartmut Boesch, Austin Cogan, Annemarie Fraser, Liang Feng, Paul Palmer, Janina Messerschmidt, Nicholas M. Deutscher, David W. Griffith, Justus Notholt, Paul O. Wennberg, Debra Wunch

Faculty of Science - Papers (Archive)

We report new short-wave infrared (SWIR) column retrievals of atmospheric methane (X CH4) from the Japanese Greenhouse Gases Observing SATellite (GOSAT) and compare observed spatial and temporal variations with correlative ground-based measurements from the Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) and with the global 3-D GEOS-Chem chemistry transport model. GOSAT X CH4 retrievals are compared with daily TCCON observations at six sites between April 2009 and July 2010 (Bialystok, Park Falls, Lamont, Orleans, Darwin and Wollongong). GOSAT reproduces the site-dependent seasonal cycles as observed by TCCON with correlations typically between 0.5 and 0.7 with an estimated single-sounding precision between 0.4-0.8%. …

Retrieval Of Atmospheric Co2 With Enhanced Accuracy And Precision From Sciamachy: Validation With Fts Measurements And Comparison With Model Results, M Reuter, H Bovensmann, M Buchwitz, Jp Burrows, B Connor, Nicholas M. Deutscher, David W. Griffith, J Heymann, Gretchen Keppel-Aleks, Janina Messerschmidt, Justus Notholt, Christof Petri, J Robinson, O Schneising, V Sherlock, Voltaire A. Velazco, Thorsten Warneke, Paul O. Wennberg, Debra Wunch

Faculty of Science - Papers (Archive)

The Bremen Optimal Estimation differential optical absorption spectroscopy (DOAS) (BESD) algorithm for satellite based retrievals of XCO 2 (the column-average dry-air mole fraction of atmospheric CO 2) has been applied to Scanning Imaging Absorption Spectrometer for Atmospheric Cartography (SCIAMACHY) data. It uses measurements in the O 2-A absorption band to correct for scattering of undetected clouds and aerosols. Comparisons with precise and accurate ground-based Fourier transform spectrometer (FTS) measurements at four Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) sites have been used to quantify the quality of the new SCIAMACHY XCO 2 data set. Additionally, the results have been compared to …

The Australian Methane Budget: Interpreting Surface And Train-Borne Measurements Using A Chemistry Transport Model, A Fraser, C C. Miller, Paul Palmer, Nicholas M. Deutscher, Nicholas B. Jones, David W. Griffith

Faculty of Science - Papers (Archive)

We investigate the Australian methane budget from 2005-2008 using the GEOS-Chem 3D chemistry transport model, focusing on the relative contribution of emissions from different sectors and the influence of long-range transport. To evaluate the model, we use in situ surface measurements of methane, methane dry air column average (XCH 4) from ground-based Fourier transform spectrometers (FTSs), and train-borne surface concentration measurements from an in situ FTS along the north-south continental transect. We use gravity anomaly data from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment to describe the spatial and temporal distribution of wetland emissions and scale it to a prior emission estimate, …

An Assessment Tool For E-Government System Performance: A Citizen-Centric Model, Shatha A. Al-Haddad, Peter Hyland, Geoffrey Hubona

Faculty of Informatics - Papers (Archive)

Governments worldwide have, increasingly, implemented e-government initiatives for their potential significant benefits; among which, delivering better services to citizens through increasing citizens' convenience, satisfaction, and independence; and saving their time, effort, and cost. Achieving each benefit is an objective to these governments and fulfilling each objective is considered a critical success factors. Hence, governments need to assess the extent to which they were able to obtain their preset goals. This study merely focuses on the citizens' perspective of the evaluation. However, the literature seems to lack studies that propose such a sufficient evaluation tool that has been reliably validated. Therefore, …

Using Singularity Theory To Analyse A Spatially Uniform Model Of Self-Heating In Compost Piles, Thiansiri Luangwilai, Harvinder Sidhu, Mark Nelson, Xiao Dong Chen

Faculty of Informatics - Papers (Archive)

Fires at industrial composting facilities, such as those storing industrial waste products like municipal solid waste (NSW) and landfills are fairly common. In most cases these are manageable and such incidents are not destructive enough to attract attention beyond these facilities. However, over the years there have been a few notable devastating fires at such facilities.

In each of these industrial processes there is an inherent increase in temperature as a consequence of the biological activity. Indeed such a temperature increase is one of the goals of the composting waste. Elevated temperatures of the order of 70-90 degrees celsius have …

Pbtrust: A Priority-Based Trust Model For Service Selection In General Service-Oriented Environments, Xing Su, Minjie Zhang, Yi Mu, Kwang Mong Sim

Faculty of Informatics - Papers (Archive)

How to choose the best service provider (agent), which a service consumer can trust in terms of the quality and success rate of the service in an open and dynamic environment, is a challenging problem in many service-oriented applications such as Internet-based grid systems, e-trading systems, as well as service-oriented computing systems. This paper presents a Priority-Based Trust (PBTrust) model for service selection in general service-oriented environments. The PBTrust is robust and novel from several perspectives. (1) The reputation of a service provider is derived from referees who are third parties and had interactions with the provider in a rich …

Dynamic Trust Model For Federated Identity Management, Hao Gao, Jun Yan, Yi Mu

Faculty of Informatics - Papers (Archive)

The goal of federated identity management is to allow principals, such as identities and attributes, to be shared across trust boundaries based on established policies. Since current Single Sign-On (SSO) mechanism excessively relies on the specifications of Circle of Trust (CoT), the need for service collaboration from different domains is being addressed on CoT. For the motivating issue of the cross-domain SSO mechanism, we need an emergent dynamic trust list for calculating the trust parties, thus, the CoT specifications require an initial effort on enrolling members automatically to adapt to the dynamic open environment. In this paper, we propose a …

Application Of A Simple Hydrodynamic Model To Estuary Entrance Management, Errol J. Mclean, Jon B. Hinwood

Faculty of Science - Papers (Archive)

Tidal inlets which link a tidal basin to the sea via a constricted entrance are common on the south-east Australian coast. Closure, or even significant constriction, raises water levels but restricts tidal range within the basin, while open entrances provide regular and significant tidal exchange with the ocean. A rapid assessment procedure with minimal data requirements has been shown to be informative for monitoring and a useful component of any Decision Support System set up as part of a management structure. Such a system is presented in this paper. It is based on one permanent water level gauge inside the …

A Spatial Agent-Based Model To Explore Scenarios Of Adaptation To Climate Change In An Alpine Tourism Destination, Stefano Balbi, Pascal Perez, Carlo Giupponi

SMART Infrastructure Facility - Papers

A vast body of literature suggests that the European Alpine region may be one of the most sensitive to climate change impacts. Adaptation to climate change of Alpine socioecosystems is increasingly becoming an issue of interest for the scientific community while the people of the Alps are often unaware of or simply ignore the problem. ClimAlpTour is a European research project of the Alpine Space Programme, bringing together institutions and scholars from all countries of the Alpine arch, in view of dealing with the expected decrease in snow and ice cover, which may lead to a rethinking of tourism development …

Intelligent Negotiation Behaviour Model For An Open Railway Access Market, S K. Wong, T K. Ho

SMART Infrastructure Facility - Papers

In an open railway access market, the provisions of railway infrastructures and train services are separated and independent. Negotiations between the track owner and train service providers are thus required for the allocation of the track capacity and the formulation of the services timetables, in which each party, i.e. a stakeholder, exhibits intelligence from the previous negotiation experience to obtain the favourable terms and conditions for the track access. In order to analyse the realistic interacting behaviour among the stakeholders in the open railway access market schedule negotiations, intelligent learning capability should be included in the behaviour modelling. This paper …