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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Analysis Of Hurricane Track Forecast Accuracy During The 2018 Season, Jonathan D. Unger
Analysis Of Hurricane Track Forecast Accuracy During The 2018 Season, Jonathan D. Unger
Pursuit - The Journal of Undergraduate Research at The University of Tennessee
Hurricane track forecasting has become more accurate in recent years due to technological advances in modeling methods. However, due to the complex nature of the relationship between oceanic and atmospheric variables and hurricane tracks, noteworthy errors in track prediction, especially for predictions several days into the future, still remain. In this study, two different methods of forecasting hurricane tracks are compared. Using the four United States landfalling hurricanes of the 2018 season as a sample, the official forecast tracks published by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and hypothetical tracks based purely on climatology were mapped simultaneously with the preliminary best …
Analysis Of Hurricane Track Forecast Accuracy During The 2018 Season, Jonathan Unger
Analysis Of Hurricane Track Forecast Accuracy During The 2018 Season, Jonathan Unger
Chancellor’s Honors Program Projects
No abstract provided.
Movement Of Lifetime Maximum Intensity Locations During The North Atlantic Hurricane Season, Morgan Steckler
Movement Of Lifetime Maximum Intensity Locations During The North Atlantic Hurricane Season, Morgan Steckler
EURēCA: Exhibition of Undergraduate Research and Creative Achievement
Where a storm reaches its lifetime maximum intensity (LMI) can be a powerful indicator of tropical cyclone intensification patterns. Any changes in this location may demonstrate how hurricanes are affected by climate change. Studies on the annual and decadal trends in LMI location have shown that the latitude where storms are reaching their LMI is shifting, but at different rates and in different directions depending on the ocean basin. In the North Atlantic, for example, LMI location seems to be moving slightly closer to the equator, especially for those storms with the greatest intensities. LMI location patterns have yet to …