Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

An Inferential Method For Determining Which Of Two Independent Variables Is Most Important When There Is Curvature, Rand Wilcox

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Consider three random variables Y, X₁ and X₂, where the typical value of Y, given X₁ and X₂, is given by some unknown function m(X₁, X₂). A goal is to determine which of the two independent variables is most important when both variables are included in the model. Let τ₁ denote the strength of the association associated with Y and X₁, when X₂ is included in the model, and let τ₂ be defined in an analogous manner. If it is assumed …

Single Missing Data Imputation In Pls-Based Structural Equation Modeling, Ned Kock

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Missing data, a source of bias in structural equation modeling (SEM) employing the partial least squares method (PLS), are commonly handled with deletion methods such as listwise and pairwise deletion. Missing data imputation methods do not resort to deletion. Five single missing data imputation methods are considered employing the PLS Mode A algorithm of which two hierarchical methods are new. The results of a Monte Carlo experiment suggest that Multiple Regression Imputation yielded the least biased mean path coefficient estimates, followed by Arithmetic Mean Imputation. With respect to mean loading estimates, Arithmetic Mean Imputation yielded the least biased results, followed …

The Transmuted Exponentiated Additive Weibull Distribution: Properties And Applications, Zohdy M. Nofal, Ahmed Z. Afify, Haitham M. Yousof, Daniele Cristina Tita Granzotto, Francisco Louzada

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A new generalization of the transmuted additive Weibull distribution is proposed by using the quadratic rank transmutation map, the so-called transmuted exponentiated additive Weibull distribution. It retains the characteristics of a good model. It is more flexible, being able to analyze more complex data; it includes twenty-seven sub-models as special cases and it is interpretable. Several mathematical properties of the new distribution as closed forms for ordinary and incomplete moments, quantiles, and moment generating function are presented, as well as the MLEs. The usefulness of the model is illustrated by using two real data sets.

Modeling Insurance Claims Using Flexible Skewed And Mixture Probability Distributions, Aaron J. Leinwander, Mohammad A. Aziz

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The normal distribution comes as a first choice when fitting real data, but it may not be suitable if the assumed distribution deviates from normality. Flexible skewed distributions are capable of including skewness and taking into account multimodality. They may be applied to find appropriate distributions for describing the claim amounts in insurance. The objective is to model insurance claims using a set of flexible skewed and mixture probability distributions, and to test how well they fit the claims. Results indicate the skew-t distribution and alpha-skew Laplace distribution are able to describe unimodal claims accurately, whereas scale mixture of …

Letter To The Editor: Regarding A Possible Non-Null Interpretation Of The Michelson-Morley Experiment, Maurizio Consoli

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The author writes in response to Sawilowsky in JMASM 2(2) and 4(1).

Deep Learning Analysis Of Limit Order Book, Xin Xu

Arts & Sciences Electronic Theses and Dissertations

In this paper, we build a deep neural network for modeling spatial structure in limit order book and make prediction for future best ask or best bid price based on ideas of (Sirignano 2016). We propose an intuitive data processing method to approximate the data is non-available for us based only on level I data that is more widely available. The model is based on the idea that there is local dependence for best ask or best bid price and sizes of related orders. First we use logistic regression to prove that this approach is reasonable. To show the advantages …

Evaluation Of Using The Bootstrap Procedure To Estimate The Population Variance, Nghia Trong Nguyen

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

The bootstrap procedure is widely used in nonparametric statistics to generate an empirical sampling distribution from a given sample data set for a statistic of interest. Generally, the results are good for location parameters such as population mean, median, and even for estimating a population correlation. However, the results for a population variance, which is a spread parameter, are not as good due to the resampling nature of the bootstrap method. Bootstrap samples are constructed using sampling with replacement; consequently, groups of observations with zero variance manifest in these samples. As a result, a bootstrap variance estimator will carry a …

Nonparametric Estimation Of Time Series Volatility Model Estimation, Teng Tu

Arts & Sciences Electronic Theses and Dissertations

In this article we consider two estimation methods of a non-parametric volatility model with autoregressive error of order two. The first estimation method based on the two- lag difference. To get a better result, we consider the second approach based on the general quadratic forms. For illustration, we provided several data sets from different simulation models to support the procedures of both two methods, and prove that the second approach can make a better estimation.

Evaluating The Efficacy Of Conditional Analysis Of Variance Under Heterogeneity And Non-Normality, Yan Wang, Thanh Pham, Diep Nguyen, Eun Sook Kim, Yi-Hsin Chen, Jeffrey Kromrey, Zhiyao Yi, Yue Yin

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A simulation study was conducted to examine the efficacy of conditional analysis of variance (ANOVA) methods where the initial homogeneity of variance screening leads to the choice between the ANOVA F test and robust ANOVA methods. Type I error control and statistical power were investigated under various conditions.

On The Performance Of Some Poisson Ridge Regression Estimators, Cynthia Zaldivar

FIU Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Multiple regression models play an important role in analyzing and making predictions about data. Prediction accuracy becomes lower when two or more explanatory variables in the model are highly correlated. One solution is to use ridge regression. The purpose of this thesis is to study the performance of available ridge regression estimators for Poisson regression models in the presence of moderately to highly correlated variables. As performance criteria, we use mean square error (MSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and percentage of times the maximum likelihood (ML) estimator produces a higher MSE than the ridge regression estimator. A Monte Carlo …

Modelling The Common Risk Among Equities Using A New Time Series Model, Jingjia Chu

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

A new additive structure of multivariate GARCH model is proposed where the dynamic changes of the conditional correlation between the stocks are aggregated by the common risk term. The observable sequence is divided into two parts, a common risk term and an individual risk term, both following a GARCH type structure. The conditional volatility of each stock will be the sum of these two conditional variance terms. All the conditional volatility of the stock can shoot up together because a sudden peak of the common volatility is a sign of the system shock.

We provide sufficient conditions for strict stationarity …

The Family Of Conditional Penalized Methods With Their Application In Sufficient Variable Selection, Jin Xie

Theses and Dissertations--Statistics

When scientists know in advance that some features (variables) are important in modeling a data, then these important features should be kept in the model. How can we utilize this prior information to effectively find other important features? This dissertation is to provide a solution, using such prior information. We propose the Conditional Adaptive Lasso (CAL) estimates to exploit this knowledge. By choosing a meaningful conditioning set, namely the prior information, CAL shows better performance in both variable selection and model estimation. We also propose Sufficient Conditional Adaptive Lasso Variable Screening (SCAL-VS) and Conditioning Set Sufficient Conditional Adaptive Lasso Variable …

Effect Of Neuromodulation Of Short-Term Plasticity On Information Processing In Hippocampal Interneuron Synapses, Elham Bayat Mokhtari

Graduate Student Theses, Dissertations, & Professional Papers

Neurons convey information about the complex dynamic environment in the form of signals. Computational neuroscience provides a theoretical foundation toward enhancing our understanding of nervous system. The aim of this dissertation is to present techniques to study the brain and how it processes information in particular neurons in hippocampus.

We begin with a brief review of the history of neuroscience and biological background of basic neurons. To appreciate the importance of information theory, familiarity with the information theoretic basics is required, these basics are presented in Chapter 2. In Chapter 3, we use information theory to estimate the amount of …