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How To Minimize The Attack Rate During Multiple Influenza Outbreaks In A Heterogeneous Population, Isaac Chun-Hai Fung, Rustom Antia, Andreas Handel

Isaac Chun-Hai Fung

Background: If repeated interventions against multiple outbreaks are not feasible, there is an optimal level of control during the first outbreak. Any control measures above that optimal level will lead to an outcome that may be as sub-optimal as that achieved by an intervention that is too weak. We studied this scenario in more detail.
Method: An age-stratified ordinary-differential-equation model was constructed to study infectious disease outbreaks and control in a population made up of two groups, adults and children. The model was parameterized using influenza as an example. This model was used to simulate two consecutive outbreaks of the …