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Development And Initial Validation Of A Simple Clinical Decision Tool To Predict The Presence Of Heart Failure In Primary Care: The Mice (Male, Infarction, Crepitations, Edema) Rule, Andrea Roalfe, Jonathan Mant, Jenny Doust, Pelham Barton, Martin Cowie, Paul Glasziou, David Mant, Richard Mcmanus, Roger Holder, Jonathon Deeks, Robert Doughty, Arno Hoes, Kate Fletcher, F.D.Richard Hobbs
Development And Initial Validation Of A Simple Clinical Decision Tool To Predict The Presence Of Heart Failure In Primary Care: The Mice (Male, Infarction, Crepitations, Edema) Rule, Andrea Roalfe, Jonathan Mant, Jenny Doust, Pelham Barton, Martin Cowie, Paul Glasziou, David Mant, Richard Mcmanus, Roger Holder, Jonathon Deeks, Robert Doughty, Arno Hoes, Kate Fletcher, F.D.Richard Hobbs
Jenny Doust
Aims: Diagnosis of heart failure in primary care is often inaccurate, and access to and use of echocardiography is suboptimal. This study aimed to develop and provisionally validate a clinical prediction rule to optimize referral for echocardiography of people identified in primary care with suspected heart failure. Methods and results: A systematic review identified studies of diagnosis of heart failure set in primary care. The individual patient data for five of these studies were obtained. Logistic regression models to predict heart failure were developed on one of the data sets and validated on the others using area under the receiver …