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Plants, Soils, and Climate Faculty Publications

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Climate Of The Weakly-Forced Yet High-Impact Convective Storms Throughout The Ohio River Valley And Mid-Atlantic United States, Binod Pokharel, Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Jonathan D. Meyer, Robert R. Gillies, Yen-Heng Lin Sep 2018

Climate Of The Weakly-Forced Yet High-Impact Convective Storms Throughout The Ohio River Valley And Mid-Atlantic United States, Binod Pokharel, Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Jonathan D. Meyer, Robert R. Gillies, Yen-Heng Lin

Plants, Soils, and Climate Faculty Publications

The 1-in-1000-year precipitation event in late June 2016 over West Virginia caused tremendous flooding damage. Like the 2012 mid-Atlantic derecho that blacked out much of the DC area, similar events can be traced to small, mid-tropospheric perturbations (MPs) embedded in the large-scale ridge pattern. Under this “weakly-forced” pattern, severe weather outbreaks commonly occur alongside eastward propagating MPs acting as a triggering mechanism for progressive mesoscale convective systems, which move across the central and eastern US. Forecasting of such weakly-forced yet severe weather events is difficult in both weather and climate timescales. The present diagnostic analysis of the MP climatology is …