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Full-Text Articles in Life Sciences

Coastal Wetland Response To Sea-Level Rise In A Fluvial Estuarine System, Karim Alizad, Scott C. Hagen, James T. Morris, Stephen C. Medeiros, Matthew V. Bilskie, John F. Weishampel Nov 2016

Coastal Wetland Response To Sea-Level Rise In A Fluvial Estuarine System, Karim Alizad, Scott C. Hagen, James T. Morris, Stephen C. Medeiros, Matthew V. Bilskie, John F. Weishampel

Faculty Publications

Coastal wetlands are likely to lose productivity under increasing rates of sea-level rise (SLR). This study assessed a fluvial estuarine salt marsh system using the Hydro-MEM model under four SLR scenarios. The Hydro-MEM model was developed to apply the dynamics of SLR as well as capture the effects associated with the rate of SLR in the simulation. Additionally, the model uses constants derived from a 2-year bioassay in the Apalachicola marsh system. In order to increase accuracy, the lidar-based marsh platform topography was adjusted using Real Time Kinematic survey data. A river inflow boundary condition was also imposed to simulate …


Coastal Wetland Response To Sea-Level Rise In A Fluvial Estuarine System, Karim Alizad, Scott C. Hagen, James T. Morris, Stephen C. Medeiros, Matthew V. Bilskie, John F. Weishampel Oct 2016

Coastal Wetland Response To Sea-Level Rise In A Fluvial Estuarine System, Karim Alizad, Scott C. Hagen, James T. Morris, Stephen C. Medeiros, Matthew V. Bilskie, John F. Weishampel

Faculty Publications

Coastal wetlands are likely to lose productivity under increasing rates of sea-level rise (SLR). This study assessed a fluvial estuarine salt marsh system using the Hydro-MEM model under four SLR scenarios. The Hydro-MEM model was developed to apply the dynamics of SLR as well as capture the effects associated with the rate of SLR in the simulation. Additionally, the model uses constants derived from a 2-year bioassay in the Apalachicola marsh system. In order to increase accuracy, the lidar-based marsh platform topography was adjusted using Real Time Kinematic survey data. A river inflow boundary condition was also imposed to simulate …


Dynamic Simulation And Numerical Analysis Of Hurricane Storm Surge Under Sea Level Rise With Geomorphologic Changes Along The Northern Gulf Of Mexico, Matthew V. Bilskie, S. C. Hagen, Karim Alizad, S. C. Medeiros, D. L. Passeri, H. F. Needham, A. Cox May 2016

Dynamic Simulation And Numerical Analysis Of Hurricane Storm Surge Under Sea Level Rise With Geomorphologic Changes Along The Northern Gulf Of Mexico, Matthew V. Bilskie, S. C. Hagen, Karim Alizad, S. C. Medeiros, D. L. Passeri, H. F. Needham, A. Cox

Faculty Publications

This work outlines a dynamic modeling framework to examine the effects of global climate change, and sea level rise (SLR) in particular, on tropical cyclone-driven storm surge inundation. The methodology, applied across the northern Gulf of Mexico, adapts a present day large-domain, high resolution, tide, wind-wave, and hurricane storm surge model to characterize the potential outlook of the coastal landscape under four SLR scenarios for the year 2100. The modifications include shoreline and barrier island morphology, marsh migration, and land use land cover change. Hydrodynamics of 10 historic hurricanes were simulated through each of the five model configurations (present day …


Tidal Hydrodynamics Under Future Sea Level Rise And Coastal Morphology In The Northern Gulf Of Mexico, Davina L. Passeri, Scott C. Hagen, Nathaniel G. Plant, Matthew V. Bilskie, Stephen C. Medeiros, Karim Alizad Apr 2016

Tidal Hydrodynamics Under Future Sea Level Rise And Coastal Morphology In The Northern Gulf Of Mexico, Davina L. Passeri, Scott C. Hagen, Nathaniel G. Plant, Matthew V. Bilskie, Stephen C. Medeiros, Karim Alizad

Faculty Publications

This study examines the integrated influence of sea level rise (SLR) and future morphology on tidal hydrodynamics along the Northern Gulf of Mexico (NGOM) coast including seven embayments and three ecologically and economically significant estuaries. A large-domain hydrodynamic model was used to simulate astronomic tides for present and future conditions (circa 2050 and 2100). Future conditions were simulated by imposing four SLR scenarios to alter hydrodynamic boundary conditions and updating shoreline position and dune heights using a probabilistic model that is coupled to SLR. Under the highest SLR scenario, tidal amplitudes within the bays increased as much as 67% (10.0 …


The Response Of Runoff And Sediment Loading In The Apalachicola River, Florida To Climate And Land Use Land Cover Change, Paige A. Hovenga, Dingbao Wang, Stephen C. Medeiros, Scott C. Hagen, Karim Alizad Apr 2016

The Response Of Runoff And Sediment Loading In The Apalachicola River, Florida To Climate And Land Use Land Cover Change, Paige A. Hovenga, Dingbao Wang, Stephen C. Medeiros, Scott C. Hagen, Karim Alizad

Faculty Publications

The response of runoff and sediment loading in the Apalachicola River under projected climate change scenarios and land use land cover (LULC) change is evaluated. A hydrologic model using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool was developed for the Apalachicola region to simulate daily runoff and sediment load under present (circa 2000) and future conditions (2100) to understand how parameters respond over a seasonal time frame to changes in climate, LULC, and coupled climate/LULC. The Long Ashton Research Station-Weather Generator was used to downscale temperature and precipitation from three general circulation models, each under Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) …