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Supreme Court of the United States

2016

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Circuit Splits And Empiricism In The Supreme Court, Karen M. Gebbia Apr 2016

Circuit Splits And Empiricism In The Supreme Court, Karen M. Gebbia

Publications

This Article demonstrates, empirically rather than merely in theory, how a failure to apply accurate data to test carefully constructed hypotheses leads to unreliable conclusions concerning the relationship between the Supreme Court and the circuit courts of appeal. Specifically, commentators routinely misapply facially accurate raw data regarding the rate at which the Court reverses circuit court decisions to support unreliable conclusions regarding the comparative degree of accord between the Court and individual circuits. Commentators and the popular press then employ these unreliable conclusions to draw unsupported inferences regarding the reasons for supposed discord between the Court and the circuits, and …