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Risk Realization, Emotion, And Policy Making, Chris Guthrie
Risk Realization, Emotion, And Policy Making, Chris Guthrie
Vanderbilt Law School Faculty Publications
In their study of terrorism and SARS, Professor Feigenson and his colleagues report "significant positive correlations between people's risk perceptions and their negative affect." In their review of the judgment and decision-making literature, Professor Slovic and his colleagues document the interplay between reason and emotion in assessing risk. And in the context of a soldier's concerns for himself and his family, Professor Moran provides a powerful narrative of fear. But what happens when such threats are actually realized? Do we accurately predict the emotional impact of such events? Or are there meaningful and predictable differences between the feelings we forecast …
Mortality Effects Of Regulatory Costs And Policy Evaluation Criteria, W. Kip Viscusi
Mortality Effects Of Regulatory Costs And Policy Evaluation Criteria, W. Kip Viscusi
Vanderbilt Law School Faculty Publications
Risk regulations directly reduce risks, but they may produce offsetting risk increases. Regulated risks generate a substitution effect, as individuals' risk-averting actions will diminish. Recognition of these effects alters benefit-cost criteria and the value-of-life estimates pertinent to policy analysis. Particularly expensive risk regulations may be counterproductive. The expenditure level that will lead to the loss of one statistical life equals the value of life divided by the marginal propensity to spend on health. Regulations with a cost of $30 million to $70 million per life saved will, on balance, have a net adverse effect on mortality because of these linkages.