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Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering Commons

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Theses/Dissertations

Statistics and Probability

2010

Perception term(using prospect theory)in lotka-volterra epidemiology equations

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Observer-Dependent Model For Analyzing Subjective Parameters In Epidemiology, Milad Zarei Jan 2010

Observer-Dependent Model For Analyzing Subjective Parameters In Epidemiology, Milad Zarei

Open Access Theses & Dissertations

Although medical technologies for preventing the contagion and spread of infectious diseases have improved steadily throughout the last century, new infectious diseases are still emerging and spreading swiftly. The modeling of infectious disease spread is crucial in addressing the lack of predictive ability in epidemiology. Managing the spread of infectious diseases requires processing quantitative epidemiological data and the ability to capture the dynamics of the infectious disease in order to provide a measure of control.

In this thesis, I have introducing cognitive biases in diseases spread modeling. For the first time, to the author's knowledge, the human subjective experience has …