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Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering Commons

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Series

Adaptive systems

2015

Missouri University of Science and Technology

Articles 1 - 5 of 5

Full-Text Articles in Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering

Determination Of Rule Patterns In Complex Event Processing Using Machine Learning Techniques, Nijat Mehdiyev, Julian Krumeich, David Lee Enke, Dirk Werth, Peter Loos Nov 2015

Determination Of Rule Patterns In Complex Event Processing Using Machine Learning Techniques, Nijat Mehdiyev, Julian Krumeich, David Lee Enke, Dirk Werth, Peter Loos

Engineering Management and Systems Engineering Faculty Research & Creative Works

Complex Event Processing (CEP) is a novel and promising methodology that enables the real-time analysis of stream event data. The main purpose of CEP is detection of the complex event patterns from the atomic and semantically low-level events such as sensor, log, or RFID data. Determination of the rule patterns for matching these simple events based on the temporal, semantic, or spatial correlations is the central task of CEP systems. In the current design of the CEP systems, experts provide event rule patterns. Having reached maturity, the Big Data Systems and Internet of Things (IoT) technology require the implementation of …


Optimizing Macd Parameters Via Genetic Algorithms For Soybean Futures, Phoebe S. Wiles, David Lee Enke Nov 2015

Optimizing Macd Parameters Via Genetic Algorithms For Soybean Futures, Phoebe S. Wiles, David Lee Enke

Engineering Management and Systems Engineering Faculty Research & Creative Works

To create profits, traders must time the market correctly and enter and exit positions at ideal times. Finding the optimal time to enter the market can be quite daunting. The soybean market can be volatile and complex. Weather, sentiment, supply, and demand can all affect the price of soybeans. Traders typically use either fundamental analysis or technical analysis to predict the market for soybean futures' contracts. Every agricultural future's contract or security contract is different in its nature, volatility, and structure. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to optimize the moving average convergence divergence parameter values from traditionally used …


Analyzing Responses From Likert Surveys And Risk-Adjusted Ranking: A Data Analytics Perspective, Abhijit Gosavi Nov 2015

Analyzing Responses From Likert Surveys And Risk-Adjusted Ranking: A Data Analytics Perspective, Abhijit Gosavi

Engineering Management and Systems Engineering Faculty Research & Creative Works

We broadly consider the topic of ranking entities from surveys/opinions. Often, numerous ranks from different respondents are available for the same entity, e.g., a candidate from a pool, and yet an averaging of those ranks may not serve the purpose of identifying a consensus candidate. We first consider a risk-adjusted paradigm for ranking, where the rank is defined as the average (mean) rank plus a scalar times the risk in the rank; we use standard deviation as a risk metric. In case of a candidate being ranked either on the basis of opinions of a selection committee's members or on …


Noise Canceling In Volatility Forecasting Using An Adaptive Neural Network Filter, Soheil Almasi Monfared, David Lee Enke Nov 2015

Noise Canceling In Volatility Forecasting Using An Adaptive Neural Network Filter, Soheil Almasi Monfared, David Lee Enke

Engineering Management and Systems Engineering Faculty Research & Creative Works

Volatility forecasting models are becoming more accurate, but noise looks to be an inseparable part of these forecasts. Nonetheless, using adaptive filters to cancel the noise should help improve the performance of the forecasting models. Adaptive filters have the advantage of changing based on the environment. This feature is vital when they are used along with a model for volatility forecasting and error cancellation in the financial markets. Nonlinear Autoregressive (NAR) neural networks have simple structures, but they are efficient tools in error cancelation systems when working with non-stationary and random walk noise processes. For this research, an adaptive threshold …


Selecting Attributes, Rules, And Membership Functions For Fuzzy Sos Architecture Evaluation, Louis Pape, Siddhartha Agarwal, Cihan H. Dagli Nov 2015

Selecting Attributes, Rules, And Membership Functions For Fuzzy Sos Architecture Evaluation, Louis Pape, Siddhartha Agarwal, Cihan H. Dagli

Engineering Management and Systems Engineering Faculty Research & Creative Works

The development of the FILA-SoS meta-architecture approach to acknowledged systems of systems (SoS) analysis allows a relatively unbiased method for exploring a potential SoS architecture space. This paper delves more deeply into the process of building the lists of desirable fuzzy attributes of a SoS, developing rules for combining attribute values to an overall assessment, and discovering membership function shapes that work well. A wide range of options exist for all the individual elements of SoS assessment. Some recommendations for finding an appropriate combination for the adjustable parameters of fuzzy assessment models through random architecture chromosome testing and iteration are …