Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®
Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering Commons™
Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®
Missouri University of Science and Technology
Engineering Management and Systems Engineering Faculty Research & Creative Works
Articles 1 - 1 of 1
Full-Text Articles in Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering
A Time Series Sustainability Assessment Of A Partial Energy Portfolio Transition, Jacob Hale, Suzanna Long
A Time Series Sustainability Assessment Of A Partial Energy Portfolio Transition, Jacob Hale, Suzanna Long
Engineering Management and Systems Engineering Faculty Research & Creative Works
Energy portfolios are overwhelmingly dependent on fossil fuel resources that perpetuate the consequences associated with climate change. Therefore, it is imperative to transition to more renewable alternatives to limit further harm to the environment. This study presents a univariate time series prediction model that evaluates sustainability outcomes of partial energy transitions. Future electricity generation at the state-level is predicted using exponential smoothing and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). The best prediction results are then used as an input for a sustainability assessment of a proposed transition by calculating carbon, water, land, and cost footprints. Missouri, USA was selected as a …