Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering Commons™

Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

Management Sciences and Quantitative Methods

Jeffrey Keisler

Articles 1 - 5 of 5

Full-Text Articles in Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering

Research Methodologies And The Field Of Decision Analysis.Pdf, Jeffrey Keisler Oct 2018

Research Methodologies And The Field Of Decision Analysis.Pdf, Jeffrey Keisler

Jeffrey Keisler

This presentation considers three questions. (1) What is a research methodology as opposed to any old methodology and what is the role of research methodologies in scholarship? (2) In what ways do and in what ways can decision analysis scholars incorporate common research methodologies? (3) How and why might we think of decision analysis itself as a research methodology?

Go to article

In Memoriam: Howard Raiffa, Jeffrey Keisler Aug 2016

In Memoriam: Howard Raiffa, Jeffrey Keisler

Jeffrey Keisler

No abstract provided.

Go to article

Project Management Decisions With Uncertain Targets, Jeffrey Keisler, Robert Bordley Dec 2014

Project Management Decisions With Uncertain Targets, Jeffrey Keisler, Robert Bordley

Jeffrey Keisler

Project management decision rules presume that fixed and inflexible targets have been defined for the project. If a project's slack is defined as the difference between actual project performance and these targets, then these decision rules can be characterized as maximizing the probability that slack is non-negative (i.e., maximizing the probability of meeting the targets). These rules rely on z-scores to compare uncertain performance to target levels. Following these decision rules will not always suffice for the project manager to act consistently with customer preferences. In particular, actual requirements may be uncertain or subject to change, and customers may have …

Go to article

Enhanced Adaptive Management: Integrating Decision Analysis, Scenario Analysis And Environmental Modeling For The Everglades, Matteo Convertino, Christy Foran, Jeffrey Keisler, Lynn Scarlett, Andrew Loschiavo, Greg Kiker, Igor Linkov Sep 2013

Enhanced Adaptive Management: Integrating Decision Analysis, Scenario Analysis And Environmental Modeling For The Everglades, Matteo Convertino, Christy Foran, Jeffrey Keisler, Lynn Scarlett, Andrew Loschiavo, Greg Kiker, Igor Linkov

Jeffrey Keisler

We propose to enhance existing adaptive management efforts with a decision-analytical approach that can
guide the initial selection of robust restoration alternative plans and inform the need to adjust these
alternatives in the course of action based on continuously acquired monitoring information and changing
stakeholder values. We demonstrate an application of enhanced adaptive management for a wetland
restoration case study inspired by the Florida Everglades restoration effort. We find that alternatives
designed to reconstruct the pre-drainage flow may have a positive ecological impact, but may also have high
operational costs and only marginally contribute to meeting other objectives such as …

Go to article

Combining Multi-Attribute Utility And Geographic Information For Boundary Decisions: An Application To Park Planning, Jeffrey Keisler, Ronald Sundell Nov 1997

Combining Multi-Attribute Utility And Geographic Information For Boundary Decisions: An Application To Park Planning, Jeffrey Keisler, Ronald Sundell

Jeffrey Keisler

The quality and value of an area depend primarily on what is found within
its designated boundaries. To determine the value of such areas in terms of boundaries,
we have developed a methodology for integrating multi-attribute utility functions with
spatial analysis so that desirable, or appropriate, boundaries can be determined on the
basis of the goals and objectives for the park. The key to successful evaluation is the
development of measures for what decision makers value, rather than merely using
what is easily measured. In a detailed example for planning of national parks, the
fundamental objectives are conservation and societal …

Go to article