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Load Hindcasting: A Retrospective Regional Load Prediction Method Using Reanalysis Weather Data, Jonathan D. Black
Load Hindcasting: A Retrospective Regional Load Prediction Method Using Reanalysis Weather Data, Jonathan D. Black
Masters Theses 1911 - February 2014
The capacity value (CV) of a power generation unit indicates the extent to which it contributes to the generation system adequacy of a region’s bulk power system. Given the capricious nature of the wind resource, determining wind generation’s CV is nontrivial, but can be understood simply as how well its power output temporally correlates with a region’s electricity load during times of system need. Both wind generation and load are governed by weather phenomena that exhibit variability across all timescales, including low frequency weather cycles that span decades. Thus, a data-driven determination of wind’s CV should involve the use of …