Mechanical Engineering Commons^™

Evaluation Of Wind Energy Forecasts: The Undervalued Importance Of Data Preparation, Gianni Goretti, Aidan Duffy

Conference papers

The evaluation of wind energy forecasts is a key task for those involved in the wind power sector, and the accurate evaluation of forecasts is fundamental to make informed decisions both in business and research. To evaluate the accuracy of a forecast, observed values must be compared against forecast values over a test period. At times, however, the actual generation of a wind farm can be affected by factors that are outside the scope of the forecast model. Evaluating a forecast using a data set that includes such out-of-scope observations might give a biased or inconsistent assessment. In the data …