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Non Bayesian Conditioning And Deconditioning, Jean Dezert, Florentin Smarandache
Non Bayesian Conditioning And Deconditioning, Jean Dezert, Florentin Smarandache
Branch Mathematics and Statistics Faculty and Staff Publications
In this paper, we present a Non-Bayesian conditioning rule for belief revision. This rule is truly Non-Bayesian in the sense that it doesn’t satisfy the common adopted principle that when a prior belief is Bayesian, after conditioning by X, Bel(X|X) must be equal to one. Our new conditioning rule for belief revision is based on the proportional conflict redistribution rule of combination developed in DSmT (Dezert-Smarandache Theory) which abandons Bayes’ conditioning principle. Such Non-Bayesian conditioning allows to take into account judiciously the level of conflict between the prior belief available and the conditional evidence. We also introduce the deconditioning problem …