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Electrical and Computer Engineering

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2015

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Full-Text Articles in Engineering

Modeling And Experimental Demonstration Of A Hopfield Network Analog-To-Digital Converter With Hybrid Cmos/Memristor Circuits, Xinjie Guo, Farnood Merrikh-Bayat, Ligang Gao, Brian D. Hoskins, Fabien Alibart, Bernabe Linares-Barranco, Luke Theogarajan, Christof Teuscher, Dmitri B. Strukov Dec 2015

Modeling And Experimental Demonstration Of A Hopfield Network Analog-To-Digital Converter With Hybrid Cmos/Memristor Circuits, Xinjie Guo, Farnood Merrikh-Bayat, Ligang Gao, Brian D. Hoskins, Fabien Alibart, Bernabe Linares-Barranco, Luke Theogarajan, Christof Teuscher, Dmitri B. Strukov

Electrical and Computer Engineering Faculty Publications and Presentations

The purpose of this work was to demonstrate the feasibility of building recurrent artificial neural networks with hybrid complementary metal oxide semiconductor (CMOS)/memristor circuits. To do so, we modeled a Hopfield network implementing an analog-to-digital converter (ADC) with up to 8 bits of precision. Major shortcomings affecting the ADC's precision, such as the non-ideal behavior of CMOS circuitry and the specific limitations of memristors, were investigated and an effective solution was proposed, capitalizing on the in-field programmability of memristors. The theoretical work was validated experimentally by demonstrating the successful operation of a 4-bit ADC circuit implemented with discrete Pt/TiO2− …


From Boolean Equalities To Constraints, Sergio Antoy, Michael Hanus Dec 2015

From Boolean Equalities To Constraints, Sergio Antoy, Michael Hanus

Computer Science Faculty Publications and Presentations

Although functional as well as logic languages use equality to discriminate between logically different cases, the operational meaning of equality is different in such languages. Functional languages reduce equational expressions to their Boolean values, True or False, logic languages use unification to check the validity only and fail otherwise. Consequently, the language Curry, which amalgamates functional and logic programming features, offers two kinds of equational expressions so that the programmer has to distinguish between these uses. We show that this distinction can be avoided by providing an analysis and transformation method that automatically selects the appropriate operation. Without this distinction …


Electrical & Computer Engineering News, Georgia Southern University Dec 2015

Electrical & Computer Engineering News, Georgia Southern University

Electrical & Computer Engineering News (2014-2023)

  • Intelligent Vehicles Research Presented at 2015 GURC Conference


Pathological Brain Detection By A Novel Image Feature—Fractional Fourier Entropy, Shuihua Wang, Yudong Zhang, Xiaojun Yang, Ping Sun, Zhengchao Dong, Aijun Lu, Ti-Fei Yuan Dec 2015

Pathological Brain Detection By A Novel Image Feature—Fractional Fourier Entropy, Shuihua Wang, Yudong Zhang, Xiaojun Yang, Ping Sun, Zhengchao Dong, Aijun Lu, Ti-Fei Yuan

Publications and Research

Aim: To detect pathological brain conditions early is a core procedure for patients so as to have enough time for treatment. Traditional manual detection is either cumbersome, or expensive, or time-consuming. We aim to offer a system that can automatically identify pathological brain images in this paper.Method: We propose a novel image feature, viz., Fractional Fourier Entropy (FRFE), which is based on the combination of Fractional Fourier Transform(FRFT) and Shannon entropy. Afterwards, the Welch’s t-test (WTT) and Mahalanobis distance (MD) were harnessed to select distinguishing features. Finally, we introduced an advanced classifier: twin support vector machine (TSVM). Results: A 10 …


Digital Energy Networks: A Post Occupancy Evaluation And Appraisal Of An Intelligent Low Energy Lighting System, Anthony Colohan, Joseph Teehan, Keith Sunderland, Martin Barrett, James Preston Dec 2015

Digital Energy Networks: A Post Occupancy Evaluation And Appraisal Of An Intelligent Low Energy Lighting System, Anthony Colohan, Joseph Teehan, Keith Sunderland, Martin Barrett, James Preston

Conference Papers

The reduction in the electrical power requirements of LED lighting and the coinciding advancements in digital technology have now enabled luminaires to be powered and controlled exclusively over safety extra low voltage (SELV) wiring systems. The implementation of LED luminaires powered via a centralised 48 Volt DC low-latency communication network, with the capability to gather real-time data, has provided the potential to yield considerable electrical energy savings within a building. This paper will present an appraisal of this technology and will examine the technologies potential to make electrical energy savings, improve the quality of lighting and achieve cost savings on …


Ellipsometric Characterization Of Silicon And Carbon Junctions For Advanced Electronics, Alexander G. Boosalis Dec 2015

Ellipsometric Characterization Of Silicon And Carbon Junctions For Advanced Electronics, Alexander G. Boosalis

Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Research

Ellipsometry has long been a valuable technique for the optical characterization of layered systems and thin films. While simple systems like epitaxial silicon dioxide are easily characterized, complex systems of silicon and carbon junctions have proven difficult to analyze. Traditional model dielectric functions for layered silicon homojunctions, a system with a similar structure to modern transistors, often have correlated parameters during ellipsometric data analysis. Similarly, epitaxial graphene as grown from thermal sublimation of silicon from silicon carbide or through chemical vapor deposition, tend to have model dielectric function parameters that correlate with the optical thickness of the graphene due to …


Optical Approach To Resin Formulation For 3d Printed Microfluidics, Hua Gong, Michael Beauchamp, Steven Perry, Adam T. Woolley, Gregory P. Nordin Dec 2015

Optical Approach To Resin Formulation For 3d Printed Microfluidics, Hua Gong, Michael Beauchamp, Steven Perry, Adam T. Woolley, Gregory P. Nordin

Faculty Publications

Microfluidics imposes different requirements on 3D printing compared to many applications because the critical features for microfluidics consist of internal microvoids. Resins for general 3D printing applications, however, are not necessarily formulated to meet the requirements of microfluidics and minimize the size of fabricated voids. In this paper we use an optical approach to guide custom formulation of resins to minimize the cross sectional size of fabricated flow channels as exemplars of such voids. We focus on stereolithgraphy (SL) 3D printing with Digital Light Processing (DLP) based on a micromirror array and use a commercially available 3D printer. We develop …


College Of Engineering Senior Design Competition Fall 2015, University Of Nevada, Las Vegas Dec 2015

College Of Engineering Senior Design Competition Fall 2015, University Of Nevada, Las Vegas

Fred and Harriet Cox Senior Design Competition Projects

Part of every UNLV engineering student’s academic experience, the senior design project stimulates engineering innovation and entrepreneurship. Each student in their senior year chooses, plans, designs, and prototypes a product in this required element of the curriculum. A capstone to the student’s educational career, the senior design project encourages the student to use everything learned in the engineering program to create a practical, real world solution to an engineering challenge. The senior design competition helps focus the senior students in increasing the quality and potential for commercial application for their design projects. Judges from local industry evaluate the projects on …


Novel Time Domain Integral Equation Method Hybridized With The Macromodels Of Circuits, Huan Huan Zhang, He Ming Yao, Li (Lijun) Jun Jiang Dec 2015

Novel Time Domain Integral Equation Method Hybridized With The Macromodels Of Circuits, Huan Huan Zhang, He Ming Yao, Li (Lijun) Jun Jiang

Electrical and Computer Engineering Faculty Research & Creative Works

This work presents a novel transient field-circuit simulation method based on the time-domain integral equation (TDIE) and circuit macromodels. The traditional field-circuit simulation method constructs the Kirchoff's equations for lumped circuits with SPICE models, but they cannot handle problems with unknown circuit structures. The proposed method creates parametric macromodels to represent the port constitutive relations of the unknown circuits. Then the obtained macromodel is coupled with TDIE to enable the transient field-circuit cosimulation. Numerical examples are given to demonstrate the validity of the proposed method. The proposed method is targeted to solve unknown I/O modeling issues in general signal integrity …


Plasmonic Field Confinement For Separate Absorption-Multiplication In Ingaas Nanopillar Avalanche Photodiodes, Alan C. Farrell, Pradeep Senanayake, Chung-Hong Hung, George El-Howayek, Abhejit Rajagopal, Marc Currie, Majeed M. Hayat, Diana L. Huffaker Dec 2015

Plasmonic Field Confinement For Separate Absorption-Multiplication In Ingaas Nanopillar Avalanche Photodiodes, Alan C. Farrell, Pradeep Senanayake, Chung-Hong Hung, George El-Howayek, Abhejit Rajagopal, Marc Currie, Majeed M. Hayat, Diana L. Huffaker

Electrical and Computer Engineering Faculty Research and Publications

Avalanche photodiodes (APDs) are essential components in quantum key distribution systems and active imaging systems requiring both ultrafast response time to measure photon time of flight and high gain to detect low photon flux. The internal gain of an APD can improve system signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). Excess noise is typically kept low through the selection of material with intrinsically low excess noise, using separate-absorption-multiplication (SAM) heterostructures, or taking advantage of the dead-space effect using thin multiplication regions. In this work we demonstrate the first measurement of excess noise and gain-bandwidth product in III–V nanopillars exhibiting substantially lower excess noise factors …


An Organic Mixed Ion-Electron Conductor For Power Electronics, Abdellah Malti, Jesper Edberg, Hjalmar Granberg, Zia Ullah Khan, Jens W. Andreasen, Xianjie Liu, Dan Zhao, Hao Zhang, Yulong Yao, Joseph W. Brill, Isak Engquist, Mats Fahlman, Lars Wågberg, Xavier Crispin, Magnus Berggren Dec 2015

An Organic Mixed Ion-Electron Conductor For Power Electronics, Abdellah Malti, Jesper Edberg, Hjalmar Granberg, Zia Ullah Khan, Jens W. Andreasen, Xianjie Liu, Dan Zhao, Hao Zhang, Yulong Yao, Joseph W. Brill, Isak Engquist, Mats Fahlman, Lars Wågberg, Xavier Crispin, Magnus Berggren

Physics and Astronomy Faculty Publications

A mixed ionic–electronic conductor based on nanofibrillated cellulose composited with poly(3,4-ethylene-dioxythio­phene):­poly(styrene-sulfonate) along with high boiling point solvents is demonstrated in bulky electrochemical devices. The high electronic and ionic conductivities of the resulting nanopaper are exploited in devices which exhibit record values for the charge storage capacitance (1F) in supercapacitors and transconductance (1S) in electrochemical transistors.


Broadband High Gain Siw Ring Slot Antenna, Zhi Shen, Kirti Dhwaj, Hanseung Lee, Tatsuo Itoh, Li (Lijun) Jun Jiang Dec 2015

Broadband High Gain Siw Ring Slot Antenna, Zhi Shen, Kirti Dhwaj, Hanseung Lee, Tatsuo Itoh, Li (Lijun) Jun Jiang

Electrical and Computer Engineering Faculty Research & Creative Works

The slot antenna backed by the substrate integrated waveguide (SIW) cavity usually demonstrates very narrow bandwidth. In this paper, we extend the interpretation to our original dual mode SIW ring slot antenna so that a broadband radiation property based on the TE102 mode is unveiled for the first time. Through the experimental verification, over 12% bandwidth is conveniently achieved. The realized gain reaches over 7 dB. Its broadband working principle is studied in details. Simulated and measured data are both presented to verify the proposed ideas.


On Reliability Of Smart Grid Neighborhood Area Networks, Shengjie Xu, Yi Qian, Rose Qingyang Hu Dec 2015

On Reliability Of Smart Grid Neighborhood Area Networks, Shengjie Xu, Yi Qian, Rose Qingyang Hu

Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering: Faculty Publications

With the integration of the advanced computing and communication technologies, smart grid system is dedicated to enhance the efficiency and the reliability of future power systems greatly through renewable energy resources, as well as distributed communication intelligence and demand response. Along with advanced features of smart grid, the reliability of smart grid communication system emerges to be a critical issue, since millions of smart devices are interconnected through communication networks throughout critical power facilities, which has an immediate and direct impact on the reliability of the entire power infrastructure. In this paper, we present a comprehensive survey of reliability issues …


Energy Forecasting For Event Venues: Big Data And Prediction Accuracy, Katarina Grolinger, Alexandra L'Heureux, Miriam Am Capretz, Luke Seewald Dec 2015

Energy Forecasting For Event Venues: Big Data And Prediction Accuracy, Katarina Grolinger, Alexandra L'Heureux, Miriam Am Capretz, Luke Seewald

Electrical and Computer Engineering Publications

Advances in sensor technologies and the proliferation of smart meters have resulted in an explosion of energy-related data sets. These Big Data have created opportunities for development of new energy services and a promise of better energy management and conservation. Sensor-based energy forecasting has been researched in the context of office buildings, schools, and residential buildings. This paper investigates sensor-based forecasting in the context of event-organizing venues, which present an especially difficult scenario due to large variations in consumption caused by the hosted events. Moreover, the significance of the data set size, specifically the impact of temporal granularity, on energy …


Libsbolj 2.0: A Java Library To Support Sbol 2.0, Zhen Zhang, Tramy Nguyen, Nicholas Roehner, Goksel Misirli, Matthew Pocock, Ernst Oberortner, Meher Samineni, Zach Zundel, Jacob Beal, Kevin Clancy, Anil Wipat, Chris J. Myers Dec 2015

Libsbolj 2.0: A Java Library To Support Sbol 2.0, Zhen Zhang, Tramy Nguyen, Nicholas Roehner, Goksel Misirli, Matthew Pocock, Ernst Oberortner, Meher Samineni, Zach Zundel, Jacob Beal, Kevin Clancy, Anil Wipat, Chris J. Myers

Electrical and Computer Engineering Faculty Publications

The Synthetic Biology Open Language (SBOL) is an emerging data standard for representing synthetic biology designs. The goal of SBOL is to improve the reproducibility of these designs and their electronic exchange between researchers and/or genetic design


Hvdc Systems Fault Analysis Using Various Signal Processing Techniques, Benish Paily Dec 2015

Hvdc Systems Fault Analysis Using Various Signal Processing Techniques, Benish Paily

Doctoral

The detection and fast clearance of faults are important for the safe and optimal operation of HVDC systems. In HVDC systems, various types of AC faults (rectifier & inverter side) and DC faults can occur. It is therefore necessary to detect the faults and classify them for better protection and diagnostics purposes. Various techniques for fault detection and classification in HVDC systems using signal processing techniques are presented and investigated in this research work. In this research work, it is shown that the wavelet transformation can effectively detect abrupt changes in system signals which are indicative of a fault. This …


Dgtd Analysis Of Electromagnetic Scattering From Penetrable Conductive Objects With Ibc, Ping Li, Yifei Shi, Li (Lijun) Jun Jiang, Hakan Bagci Dec 2015

Dgtd Analysis Of Electromagnetic Scattering From Penetrable Conductive Objects With Ibc, Ping Li, Yifei Shi, Li (Lijun) Jun Jiang, Hakan Bagci

Electrical and Computer Engineering Faculty Research & Creative Works

To avoid straightforward volumetric discretization, a discontinuous Galerkin time-domain (DGTD) method integrated with the impedance boundary condition (IBC) is presented in this paper to analyze the scattering from objects with finite conductivity. Two situations are considered. 1) The skin depth is smaller than the thickness of the conductive volume. 2) The skin depth is larger than the thickness of a thin conductive sheet. For the first situation, a surface impedance boundary condition (SIBC) is employed, wherein the surface impedance usually exhibits a complex relation with the frequency. To incorporate the SIBC into DGTD, the surface impedance is first approximated by …


Electrical & Computer Engineering News, Georgia Southern University Nov 2015

Electrical & Computer Engineering News, Georgia Southern University

Electrical & Computer Engineering News (2014-2023)

  • Dr. Danda B. Rawat was Recognized as Outstanding Research Faculty 2015


The Battery Energy Storage System (Bess) Design Option For On-Campus Photovoltaic Charging Station (Pv-Cs), Ayda Esfandyari, Brian Norton, Michael Conlon, Sarah Mccormack Nov 2015

The Battery Energy Storage System (Bess) Design Option For On-Campus Photovoltaic Charging Station (Pv-Cs), Ayda Esfandyari, Brian Norton, Michael Conlon, Sarah Mccormack

Conference Papers

As the application of Light weight Electric Vehicles (LEVs) increase in communities, Technological University Dublin (DIT) uses these small vehicles for short distance journeys around its 78 acre campus of “Grangegorman” located in inner Dublin city, Ireland. This paper presents an introduction to the campus Photovoltaic Charging Station (PV-CS) that generates clean electricity from the sun and charges the LEVs batteries which can lead to reduction of CO2 emissions, along with fulfillment of national and international green sustainability targets. Based on the evaluation of possible options for PV-CS design, the optimal design configuration was chosen as a "Battery Energy Storage …


Electrical & Computer Engineering News, Georgia Southern University Nov 2015

Electrical & Computer Engineering News, Georgia Southern University

Electrical & Computer Engineering News (2014-2023)

  • Power Systems Research presented at GURC 2015


Cobalt Ferrite Nanoparticles Fabricated Via Co-Precipitation In Air: Overview Of Size Control And Magnetic Properties, Dennis Toledo Nov 2015

Cobalt Ferrite Nanoparticles Fabricated Via Co-Precipitation In Air: Overview Of Size Control And Magnetic Properties, Dennis Toledo

FIU Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Cobalt Ferrite has important, size-dependent magnetic properties. Consequently, an overview of particle size is important. Co-precipitation in air was the fabrication method used because it is comparatively simple and safe. The effects of three different reaction times including 1, 2, 3 hour(s) on particle size were compared. Also, the effectiveness of three different capping agents (Oleic Acid, Polyvinylpyrollidone (PVP), and Trisodium Citrate) in reducing aggregation and correspondingly particle size were examined. Using Welch’s analysis of variance (ANOVA) and the relevant post hoc tests, there was no significant difference (p=0.05) between reaction times of 1 hour and 2 hours, but there …


Next Generation Of Product Search And Discovery, Kaiman Zeng Nov 2015

Next Generation Of Product Search And Discovery, Kaiman Zeng

FIU Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Online shopping has become an important part of people’s daily life with the rapid development of e-commerce. In some domains such as books, electronics, and CD/DVDs, online shopping has surpassed or even replaced the traditional shopping method. Compared with traditional retailing, e-commerce is information intensive. One of the key factors to succeed in e-business is how to facilitate the consumers’ approaches to discover a product. Conventionally a product search engine based on a keyword search or category browser is provided to help users find the product information they need. The general goal of a product search system is to enable …


Optical Imaging Of Finger For Blood Pressure Monitoring Of The Driver, Mohammad Motasim Bellah, Mohammad Raziul Hasan, Samir M. Iqbal Nov 2015

Optical Imaging Of Finger For Blood Pressure Monitoring Of The Driver, Mohammad Motasim Bellah, Mohammad Raziul Hasan, Samir M. Iqbal

Electrical and Computer Engineering Faculty Publications and Presentations

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are number one reason for human mortality around the world (Fig. 1) [1]. Pulse pressure (PP) and pulse rate (PR) are considered as the two most vital physiological markers for CVDs like myocardial infarction, cardiac arrhythmia, and heart failure. Currently, long-term PP and PR analysis is not possible due to the lack of systems that can frequently measure the data over a period of time. Motor vehicle drivers with known CVDs are at higher risk due to traffic air pollution.

This paper presents our work on an inexpensive and readily deployable approach that keeps track of PP …


Cultural Change Through Bim: Driving Lean Transformation In Education, Avril Behan, Malachy Mathews, Kevin Furlong, Ciara Ahern, Una Beagon, Peter Brennan, Colin Conway, Lee Corcoran, Pierce Fahy, Alan Hore, Barry Mcauley, Trevor Woods Nov 2015

Cultural Change Through Bim: Driving Lean Transformation In Education, Avril Behan, Malachy Mathews, Kevin Furlong, Ciara Ahern, Una Beagon, Peter Brennan, Colin Conway, Lee Corcoran, Pierce Fahy, Alan Hore, Barry Mcauley, Trevor Woods

Conference papers

This paper presents a case study of how the adoption of BIM-based practices in the AECO industry is being reflected by cultural change in higher education in Ireland. The silo-mentality that has dominated the AECO sector for more than a century has, despite numerous reorganisations, been replicated in the structures of educational institutions, including in Dublin Institute of Technology since the inception of its founding colleges in the late 1800s. Most AECO programmes must include content that is external to the programme’s specific discipline. Through the School structures of the Institute, delivery of such content is known as "service teaching" …


Spatial Domain Management And Massive Mimo Coordination In 5g Sdn, Songlin Sun, Bo Rong, Rose Qingyang Hu, Yi Qian Nov 2015

Spatial Domain Management And Massive Mimo Coordination In 5g Sdn, Songlin Sun, Bo Rong, Rose Qingyang Hu, Yi Qian

Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering: Faculty Publications

In 5G mobile communication systems, massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) and heterogeneous networks (HetNets) play crucial roles to achieve expected coverage and capacity across venues. This paper correspondingly addresses software-defined network (SDN) as the central controller of radio resource management in massive MIMO HetNets. In particular, we identify the huge spatial domain information management and complicated MIMO coordination as the grand challenges in 5G systems. Our work accordingly distinguishes itself by considering more network MIMO aspects, including flexibility and complexity of spatial coordination. In our proposed scheme, SDN controller first collects the user channel state information in an effective way, and …


Manipulating Electromagnetic Local Density Of States By Graphene Plasmonics, Yongpin P. Chen, Wei E.I. Sha, Li (Lijun) Jun Jiang, Jun Hu Nov 2015

Manipulating Electromagnetic Local Density Of States By Graphene Plasmonics, Yongpin P. Chen, Wei E.I. Sha, Li (Lijun) Jun Jiang, Jun Hu

Electrical and Computer Engineering Faculty Research & Creative Works

Electromagnetic local density of states (ELDOS) counts the number of electromagnetic modes at a spatial point where a particle (atom, molecule, and quantum dot) spontaneously emits electromagnetic waves. ELDOS can be interpreted as a density of vacuum fluctuations of electromagnetic fields. Moreover, ELDOS is essential to control spontaneous decay rate (SDR) of particles; and thus plays a critical role in modern optical and quantum devices. Having a great degree of freedom to tune permittivity, graphene is an emerging building block to manipulate the ELDOS. In this work, we study SDR of a particle near a metallic split-ring resonator, which is …


Communications System, William C. Barott Nov 2015

Communications System, William C. Barott

Publications

A communication method and system for communication utilizing modulation of digital signals, such as by targets and/or by use of low-complexity tags is presented. Targets may include any device or object that may alter signals, and tags can include a device with the ability to reflect and/or alter the properties of the signals and, in doing so, impose specific modulations on or alterations of such signals. Modulations can be sensed or detected using a receiver or receivers imple­menting processing algorithms derived from passive radar detection operations or other processes.


Fizzy: Feature Subset Selection For Metagenomics., Gregory Ditzler, J Calvin Morrison, Yemin Lan, Gail L Rosen Nov 2015

Fizzy: Feature Subset Selection For Metagenomics., Gregory Ditzler, J Calvin Morrison, Yemin Lan, Gail L Rosen

Henry M. Rowan College of Engineering Faculty Scholarship

BACKGROUND: Some of the current software tools for comparative metagenomics provide ecologists with the ability to investigate and explore bacterial communities using α- & β-diversity. Feature subset selection--a sub-field of machine learning--can also provide a unique insight into the differences between metagenomic or 16S phenotypes. In particular, feature subset selection methods can obtain the operational taxonomic units (OTUs), or functional features, that have a high-level of influence on the condition being studied. For example, in a previous study we have used information-theoretic feature selection to understand the differences between protein family abundances that best discriminate between age groups in the …


Capillary Wall Coupled Whispering Gallery Mode Microresonator, Hai Xiao, Wang Hanzheng Nov 2015

Capillary Wall Coupled Whispering Gallery Mode Microresonator, Hai Xiao, Wang Hanzheng

Electrical and Computer Engineering Faculty Research & Creative Works

A microresonator structure comprises a waveguide and a microsphere. The waveguide is of elongated cylindrical shape and includes a first section of optical transmission material and a cavity section axially aligned with the first section. The cavity section includes a first cavity and a second cavity. The first cavity is adjacent to the first section and includes a first sidewall of optical transmission material with an inner surface that tapers inward to an apex positioned adjacent to the first section. The second cavity is positioned adjacent to the first cavity of hollow cylindrical shape and includes a circumferential second sidewall …


Forecasting Design Day Demand Using Extremal Quantile Regression, David Joseph Kaftan, Jarrett L. Smalley, George F. Corliss, Ronald H. Brown, Richard James Povinelli Nov 2015

Forecasting Design Day Demand Using Extremal Quantile Regression, David Joseph Kaftan, Jarrett L. Smalley, George F. Corliss, Ronald H. Brown, Richard James Povinelli

Electrical and Computer Engineering Faculty Research and Publications

Extreme events occur rarely, making them difficult to predict. Extreme cold events strain natural gas systems to their limits. Natural gas distribution companies need to be prepared to satisfy demand on any given day that is at or warmer than an extreme cold threshold. The hypothetical day with temperature at this threshold is called the Design Day. To guarantee Design Day demand is satisfied, distribution companies need to determine the demand that is unlikely to be exceeded on the Design Day.

We approach determining this demand as an extremal quantile regression problem. We review current methods for extremal quantile regression. …