Technology and Innovation Commons^™

Project Planning With Alternative Technologies In Uncertain Environments, Stefan Creemers, Bert De Reyck, Roel Leus

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

We investigate project scheduling with stochastic activity durations to maximize the expected net present value. Individual activities also carry a risk of failure, which can cause the overall project to fail. In the project planning literature, such technological uncertainty is typically ignored and project plans are developed only for scenarios in which the project succeeds. To mitigate the risk that an activity’s failure jeopardizes the entire project, more than one alternative may exist for reaching the project’s objectives. We propose a model that incorporates both the risk of activity failure and the possible pursuit of alternative technologies. We find optimal …