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University of Nebraska - Lincoln

Inflation

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Full-Text Articles in Insurance

Actuarial Model Assumptions For Australian Inflation, Equity Returns, And Interest Rates, Michael Sherris Jan 1997

Actuarial Model Assumptions For Australian Inflation, Equity Returns, And Interest Rates, Michael Sherris

Journal of Actuarial Practice (1993-2006)

Though actuaries have developed several types of stochastic investment models for inflation, stock market returns, and interest rates, there are two commonly used in practice: autoregressive time series models with normally distributed errors, and autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) models. ARCH models are particularly suited when there is heteroscedasticity in inflation and interest rate series. In such cases nonnormal residuals are found in the empirical data. This paper examines whether Australian univariate inflation and interest rate data are consistent with autoregressive time series and ARCH model assumptions.


Annuity Choices For Pensioners, Zaki M. Khorasanee Jan 1996

Annuity Choices For Pensioners, Zaki M. Khorasanee

Journal of Actuarial Practice (1993-2006)

We consider two ways for a retiree to obtain a pension from a retirement fund: through the purchase of a whole life annuity providing a level monetary income; and through the withdrawal of income from a fund invested in equities. Deterministic and stochastic models are used to assess the risks and benefits associated with each approach. In each case the projected cash flows are compared with those from a whole life annuity providing an income linked to price inflation. We conclude that, although each of the two options conSidered involves significant risks, each method may be attractive to certain groups …


A Proposal For Improving The System Of Financing Health Care In Singapore, Robert Keng Heong Lian, Loi Soh Loi Jan 1996

A Proposal For Improving The System Of Financing Health Care In Singapore, Robert Keng Heong Lian, Loi Soh Loi

Journal of Actuarial Practice (1993-2006)

Like many other countries, including the United States, Singapore faces the dual problems of rising health care costs and an aging population. To cope with these problems, the Singapore government introduced the Medishield scheme in 1989 that provides low cost catastrophic medical insurance coverage. The scheme suffers from a serious deficiency, however: coverage ceases at age 70. This deficiency is exacerbated by Medishield's premium payment structure which is akin to the premium structure of a one year renewable term policy so no reserves are developed. As a result, coverage beyond age 70 requires exorbitant premiums that are beyond the reach …