Finance and Financial Management Commons^™

National Exuberance: A Note On The Melbourne Cup Effect In Australian Stock Returns, A. C. Worthington

Faculty of Business - Accounting & Finance Working Papers

This note examines the presence of a Melbourne Cup effect in Australian daily stock returns over the forty-five years from 3 January 1961 to 30 December 2005. First run in 1861, the Melbourne Cup is regarded as Australia’s premier horse race and one of the world’s leading handicaps. Parametric tests of differences in means and a regression-based approach are used to test for the effect alongside conventional day-of-the-week (Tuesday) and month-of-the year (November) effects. The results indicate that the mean Melbourne Cup Day return of 0.1916 is significantly higher than the mean return for other Tuesdays in November (-0.2345), Tuesdays …