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Was Financial Market Contagion The Source Of Economic Crisis In Asia? Evidence Using A Multivariate Var Model, Ahmed Khalid, Masahiro Kawai Sep 2009

Was Financial Market Contagion The Source Of Economic Crisis In Asia? Evidence Using A Multivariate Var Model, Ahmed Khalid, Masahiro Kawai

Ahmed Khalid

The episodes of financial crises in many parts of the world during the 1990s have sparked interest in identifying channels through which such crises spread from one country to another. Researchers have identified several factors that may have sparked and induced contagion. This study further extends the existing research by identifying and testing three financial market variables to trace the alleged origin and the subsequent path of the contagion during the 1997 Asian Crisis. Foreign exchange rates, stock market prices and interest rates are three main financial market indicators, representing the currency, stock and money markets, respectively. We use a …


Derivative Markets And Economic Growth: Is There A Relationship?, A. Baluch, Mohamed Ariff Aug 2009

Derivative Markets And Economic Growth: Is There A Relationship?, A. Baluch, Mohamed Ariff

Mohamed Ariff

The spread of capital markets during the half century to-date is a notable global phenomenon in economic development. Derivative markets spread globally in the last quarter century spreading form just two to some 50 in 2007. But the role of derivative markets to economic development has yet been studied. This paper reports new findings on the relationship between derivative market development and (a) economic growth and (b) spot market factors. The results provide very scant support to a positive functional contribution hypothesis by some scholars about derivative markets. However, a negative relationship between the liquidity level of derivative markets and …