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Full-Text Articles in Finance and Financial Management
The Livingston Survey 2023, S. Anderson, B. Bovino, M. Brown, Thomas Lam, Et Al
The Livingston Survey 2023, S. Anderson, B. Bovino, M. Brown, Thomas Lam, Et Al
Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics
The 15 participants in the June Livingston Survey predict higher output growth for the first half of 2023 than they predicted in the December 2022 survey. The forecasters, who are surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia twice a year, now project that the economy’s output (real GDP) will grow at an annual rate of 1.1 percent during the first half of 2023. They expect weaker conditions in the second half of 2023, when growth is expected to be at an annual rate of -0.7 percent. Both projections represent upward revisions from those of the December 2022 survey. Growth …
Survey Of Professional Forecasters 2023, Singapore Management University
Survey Of Professional Forecasters 2023, Singapore Management University
Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics
Forecasters Maintain Their Expectations for Growth in 2023 The forecasters see the U.S. economy in 2023 expanding at the same pace as they predicted three months ago, according to 38 panelists surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict annual-average over annualaverage growth in real GDP of 1.3 percent in 2023, unrevised from their estimate of three months ago. The panelists are also maintaining their forecast for growth in the second quarter at an annual rate of 1.0 percent, unchanged compared with their previous projection. However, while their predictions for the second quarter and for 2023 remain …
Assessing The Odds Of A Us Recession, Thomas Lam, David Fernandez
Assessing The Odds Of A Us Recession, Thomas Lam, David Fernandez
Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics
In this commentary, SMU Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (SKBI) Principal Researcher Thomas Lam and SKBI Director SMU Professor of Finance (Practice) Dave Fernandez offer their perspectives on the current multifaceted and highly charged US recession debate. While America is currently not in a downturn, the near-term odds of one have edged up, according to models based on key monthly and weekly indicators.
Are Markets Interested In Adapting To Climate? Insights From Singapore, Stella Whittaker, Tran Bao Phuong Nguyen
Are Markets Interested In Adapting To Climate? Insights From Singapore, Stella Whittaker, Tran Bao Phuong Nguyen
Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics
We have collected the views of leading practitioners and academics in Singapore involved in funding and financing urban climate change adaptation1 (thereon referred to as urban adaptation). Throughout this paper we discuss several vital perspectives on adaptation financing, namely responsibility for adaptation investment, the extent of government adaptation investment, private sector adaptation investment appetite and prospects for experimentation in adaptation financing. We also attempt to shed light on the existence or not of an adaptation financing gap2 in Singapore.
The Livingston Survey 2022, S. Anderson, B. Bovino, M. Brown, Thomas Lam, Et Al
The Livingston Survey 2022, S. Anderson, B. Bovino, M. Brown, Thomas Lam, Et Al
Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics
The 16 participants in the December Livingston Survey weakened their forecasts for real GDP growth, compared with their projections in the June 2022 survey. The forecasters, who are surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia twice a year, expect 2.0 percent annualized growth in real GDP during the second half of 2022. They project 0.4 percent annualized growth over the first half of 2023. The forecasters predict that real GDP will continue to decline and reach -1.0 percent annualized growth in the second half of 2023.
Skbi Big 5 Survey 2022 August, Singapore Management University
Skbi Big 5 Survey 2022 August, Singapore Management University
Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics
The latest survey results on the largest five economies (Big5) were revised markedly relative to the prior release (pre-Russia-Ukraine conflict), generally indicating weaker growth and higher inflation coupled with incremental ambiguity on the policy front.
Skbi Big 5 Survey 2022 February, Singapore Management University
Skbi Big 5 Survey 2022 February, Singapore Management University
Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics
The latest survey results on the largest five economies (Big5), based on submissions prior to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, imply a more intricate growth, inflation and policy dynamic.
Squawking About Persistently Higher Inflation?, Thomas Lam
Squawking About Persistently Higher Inflation?, Thomas Lam
Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics
All signs point to an uncertain path for inflation in the future. While inflation is set to stay prospectively higher in the US in the near-term, it's unlikely to remain so.