Finance and Financial Management Commons^™

Following The Crowd: Beginners Investors Guide To The Options Market, Jeremy Dawkins, Alexy Morris, Jacob Gipson, Masoud Valizadeh

SMU Data Science Review

While the options market may be intimidating for a beginner, having the right tools can help improve the outcome of their investments. This project aims to develop a tool that uses time-series analysis and forecasting to model the future demand of S&P 500 and AAPL options contracts. The open interest of these contracts will be analyzed using various models such as AR, ARIMA, Neural Networks, and VAR, along with the put-call ratio. The goal is not to make buy or sell recommendations, but alert the user when money is flowing into a security or index. Of all the models, the …