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Full-Text Articles in Business

Crummer Suntrust Portfolio Recommendations: Crummer Investment Management [2015], Heather Cunningham, Jeffrey Dirkin, Seonag Doherty, Will Edwards, Christian Fielitz, Alison Frederick, Kathryn Joseph, Marten Mueller, Hongda Qiao, Tomas Cabrera Ranaldi Jan 2015

Crummer Suntrust Portfolio Recommendations: Crummer Investment Management [2015], Heather Cunningham, Jeffrey Dirkin, Seonag Doherty, Will Edwards, Christian Fielitz, Alison Frederick, Kathryn Joseph, Marten Mueller, Hongda Qiao, Tomas Cabrera Ranaldi

Crummer Truist Portfolios

We approach the market this year with muffled optimism. The market’s growth rate will be softer than the last two years, based on our GDP forecast of 2.8% accompanied by steady unemployment and low interest rates. In this environment, stock selection is paramount and we have modified the portfolio to favor pro-cyclical sectors like Consume Discretionary and Industrials.


Are The Parents To Blame? Predicting Franchisee Failure, Ilan Alon, Michèle Boulanger, Everlyne Misati, Melih Madanoglu Jan 2015

Are The Parents To Blame? Predicting Franchisee Failure, Ilan Alon, Michèle Boulanger, Everlyne Misati, Melih Madanoglu

Faculty Publications

The Small Business Administration (SBA) supports franchising by backing up loans issued by regular lending organizations. However, the SBA does not directly consider firm strategies as part of its lending process. To appreciate how franchisor characteristics influence franchisee failure, we developed a heuristic model using the methodology and power of predictive analytics. We use multi-year data from the World Franchising Council’s surveys on franchisors’ characteristics and from the SBA on franchisee loan defaults. The data cover 271 diverse US franchise chains that are present in both databases. Our model predicts potential defaults of SBA-backed loans issued to American franchisees and …