Urban Studies and Planning Commons^™

Dynamic Firm Location Network Model With Anticipatory Scenarios For The Northeast Ohio Region, Sanda Kaufman, Miron Kaufman, Mark Salling

All Maxine Goodman Levin School of Urban Affairs Publications

Public policy and planning decisions require glimpses into the future, to assess how the social-ecological systems we plan for might evolve with or without policy intervention. To do so, one approach gaining currency is using anticipatory tools rather than predictions. Anticipation entails generating a range of possible systems futures (scenarios), instead of attempting to predict the one that will prevail. We use here a scenario-generating model, to anticipate where in a region businesses are likely to locate in time. Using data for Northeast Ohio, including the Cleveland–Akron–Lorain– Elyria, Ohio Combined Statistical Area, we estimate the model parameters. We evaluate its …