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Portland State University

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Population forecasting -- Oregon -- Grant County

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Full-Text Articles in Urban Studies and Planning

Coordinated Population Forecast For Grant County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2019-2069, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Rhey Haggerty, Jason R. Jurjevich, Charles Rynerson Jun 2019

Coordinated Population Forecast For Grant County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2019-2069, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Rhey Haggerty, Jason R. Jurjevich, Charles Rynerson

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Different parts of the County experience different growth patterns. Local trends within UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the County as a whole.

Grant County’s sub-areas include Canyon City, Dayville, Granite, John Day, Long Creek, Monument, Mount Vernon, Prairie City, and Seneca. Grant County’s total population declined slightly in the 2000s; however, some of its sub-areas experienced faster population growth during this period. Canyon City, Dayville, and Granite, for example, posted positive average annual growth rates during the 2000 to 2010 period.

The sporadic population growth that did occur in Grant County in the …


Coordinated Population Forecast For Grant County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2016-2066, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Xiaomin Ruan, Risa Proehl, Jason R. Jurjevich, Kevin Rancik, Janai Kessi, David Tetrick, Julia Michel Jun 2016

Coordinated Population Forecast For Grant County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2016-2066, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Xiaomin Ruan, Risa Proehl, Jason R. Jurjevich, Kevin Rancik, Janai Kessi, David Tetrick, Julia Michel

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Grant County’s total population has declined since 2000, losing an average of about 50 persons per year between 2000 and 2010 (Figure 1). With the exception of minimal population increase among three small UGBs, every sub-area recorded population loss during the 2000s. Prairie City and the area outside UGBs posted the largest losses, losing on average about 17 and 19 persons per year, respectively.

Grant County’s population decline in the 2000s was the result of a consistent natural decrease as well as relatively steady net out-migration (Figure 12). The smaller number of births relative to deaths led to a natural …