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Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons

Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

2008

Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Wayne State University

Age-periodcohort model prediction

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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

Application Of Dynamic Poisson Models To Japanese Cancer Mortality Data, Shuichi Midorikawa, Etsuo Miyaoka, Bruce Smith Nov 2008

Application Of Dynamic Poisson Models To Japanese Cancer Mortality Data, Shuichi Midorikawa, Etsuo Miyaoka, Bruce Smith

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A dynamic Poisson model is used with a Bayesian approach to modeling to predict cancer mortality. The complexity of the posterior distribution prohibits direct evaluation of the posterior, and so parameters are estimated by using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method. The model is applied to analyze lung and stomach cancer data which have been collected in Japan.