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Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

2016

Incidence

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Energy Prices, Pass-Through, And Incidence In U.S. Manufacturing, Sharat Ganapati, Joseph S. Shapiro, Reed Walker May 2016

Energy Prices, Pass-Through, And Incidence In U.S. Manufacturing, Sharat Ganapati, Joseph S. Shapiro, Reed Walker

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

This paper studies how increases in energy input costs for production are split between consumers and producers via changes in product prices (i.e., pass-through). We show that in markets characterized by imperfect competition, marginal cost pass-through, a demand elasticity, and a price-cost markup are sucient to characterize the relative change in welfare between producers and consumers due to a change in input costs. We find that increases in energy prices lead to higher plant-level marginal costs and output prices but lower markups. This suggests that marginal cost pass-through is incomplete, with estimates centered around 0.7. Our confidence intervals reject both …


The Incidence Of Carbon Taxes In U.S. Manufacturing: Lessons From Energy Cost Pass-Through, Sharat Ganapati, Joseph S. Shapiro, Reed Walker May 2016

The Incidence Of Carbon Taxes In U.S. Manufacturing: Lessons From Energy Cost Pass-Through, Sharat Ganapati, Joseph S. Shapiro, Reed Walker

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

This paper estimates how increases in production costs due to energy inputs affect consumer versus producer surplus (i.e., incidence). In doing so, we develop a general methodology to measure the incidence of changes in input costs that can account for three first-order issues: factor substitution amongst inputs used for production, incomplete pass-through of input costs, and industry competitiveness. We apply this methodology to a set of U.S. manufacturing industries for which we observe plant-level output prices and input costs. We find that about 70 percent of energy price-driven changes in input costs are passed through to consumers. This implies that …


The Incidence Of Carbon Taxes In U.S. Manufacturing: Lessons From Energy Cost Pass-Through, Sharat Ganapati, Joseph S. Shapiro, Reed Walker May 2016

The Incidence Of Carbon Taxes In U.S. Manufacturing: Lessons From Energy Cost Pass-Through, Sharat Ganapati, Joseph S. Shapiro, Reed Walker

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

This paper studies how changes in energy input costs for U.S. manufacturers affect the relative welfare of manufacturing producers and consumers (i.e. incidence). In doing so, we develop a partial equilibrium methodology to estimate the incidence of input taxes that can simultaneously account for three determinants of incidence that are typically studied in isolation: incomplete pass-through of input costs, differences in industry competitiveness, and factor substitution amongst inputs used for production. We apply this methodology to a set of U.S. manufacturing industries for which we observe plant-level unit prices and input choices. We find that about 70 percent of energy …


The Incidence Of Carbon Taxes In U.S. Manufacturing: Lessons From Energy Cost Pass-Through, Sharat Ganapati, Joseph S. Shapiro, Reed Walker May 2016

The Incidence Of Carbon Taxes In U.S. Manufacturing: Lessons From Energy Cost Pass-Through, Sharat Ganapati, Joseph S. Shapiro, Reed Walker

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

This paper studies how changes in energy input costs for U.S. manufacturers affect the relative welfare of manufacturing producers and consumers (i.e., incidence). In doing so, we develop a novel partial equilibrium methodology designed to estimate the incidence of input taxes. This method simultaneously accounts for three determinants of incidence that are typically studied in isolation: incomplete pass-through of input costs, differences in industry competitiveness, and substitution amongst inputs used for production. We apply this methodology to a set of U.S. manufacturing industries for which we observe plant-level unit prices and input choices. We find that about 70 percent of …