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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
Decision Support For Countering Terrorist Threats Against Transportation Networks, Richard Adler, Jeff Fuller
Decision Support For Countering Terrorist Threats Against Transportation Networks, Richard Adler, Jeff Fuller
Journal of Strategic Security
This article presents a dynamic decision support methodology forcounter-terrorism decision support. The initial sections introduce basic objectives and challenges of terrorism risk analysis and risk management. The remainder of the paper describes TRANSEC, a decision support framework for defining, validating, and monitoring strategies focused on managing terrorism risks to international transportation networks. The methodology and software tools underlying TRANSEC are applicable to other homeland security problems, such as critical infrastructure and border protection.
Teaching Bayesian Statistics To Intelligence Analysts: Lessons Learned, Kristan J. Wheaton, Jennifer Lee, Hemangini Deshmukh
Teaching Bayesian Statistics To Intelligence Analysts: Lessons Learned, Kristan J. Wheaton, Jennifer Lee, Hemangini Deshmukh
Journal of Strategic Security
The Community must develop and integrate into regular use new toolsthat can assist analysts in filtering and correlating the vast quantities of information that threaten to overwhelm the analytic process…—Commission on the Intelligence Capabilities of the United StatesRegarding Weapons of Mass Destruction (The WMD Report)1Unlike the other social sciences and, particularly, the physical sciences, where scientists get to choose the questions they wish to answer and experiments are carefully designed to confirm or negate hypotheses, intelligence analysis requires analysts to deal with thedemands of decision makers and estimate the intentions of foreign actors, criminals or business competitors in an environment …