Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®
Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons™
Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®
- Discipline
Articles 1 - 14 of 14
Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
Big Data And Inflation Forecasting In Nigeria: A Text Mining Application., M. A. Adebiyi, A. O. Adenuga, T. S. Olusegun, O. O. Mbutor
Big Data And Inflation Forecasting In Nigeria: A Text Mining Application., M. A. Adebiyi, A. O. Adenuga, T. S. Olusegun, O. O. Mbutor
Economic and Financial Review
The success of monetary policy is substantially predicated on the availability of reliable forecast of inflation. However, the shocks arising from COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war have brought about significant economic uncertainties; thus, necessitating the fine-tuning of existing forecasting models of the Central Bank of Nigeria. This study explores the usefulness of public sentiments obtained using machine learning methods to improve the predictive power of the existing short-term inflation forecasting model (STIF) in Nigeria. Findings indicate that, for all components of inflation, models that include the computed sentiment index perform better in both in-sample and out-sample forecasts than those excluding …
Measuring The Impact Of Loan-To-Deposit Ratio (Ldr) On Banks' Liquidity In Nigeria, A. O. Adenuga, J. A. Mohammed, C. V. Laniyan, A. A. Akintola, O. C Asuzu
Measuring The Impact Of Loan-To-Deposit Ratio (Ldr) On Banks' Liquidity In Nigeria, A. O. Adenuga, J. A. Mohammed, C. V. Laniyan, A. A. Akintola, O. C Asuzu
Economic and Financial Review
The study measures the impact of loan to deposit ratio (LDR) on Banks' liquidity in Nigeria between 2000Q1 and 2019Q3. The paper applied the Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR-X) methodology for estimation and forecasting. The result suggests that an LDR of 70.0 per cent, which reduces Banks' liquidity from N187.95 billion in 2019Q4, through N153.09 billion in 2020Q2 to close at N135.15 billion in 2020Q4, may require cautious acceptance. Thus, increasing LDR beyond 70.0 per cent may impact Banks' liquidity negatively. Furthermore, a direct relationship is established between LDR and inflation. The findings conform to a priori expectations as higher LDRs …
Is Inflation Always And Everywhere A Monetary Phenomenon? Evidence From Nigeria, J. K. Achua, H. Nagado, I. I. Okafor
Is Inflation Always And Everywhere A Monetary Phenomenon? Evidence From Nigeria, J. K. Achua, H. Nagado, I. I. Okafor
Economic and Financial Review
Is inflation always a monetary phenomenon in Nigeria? Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) results of Nigerian data, spanning 2005q1-2017q4, indicate that changes in money supply have no long-run significant impact on domestic price level behaviour. The results, however, reveal that non-monetary factors: import, global oil price, exchange rate, inflation expectation, fuel pump price and monetary policy rate significantly upsurge inflationary pressure. Conversely, household income (the shadow of unemployment) significantly dampens inflationary pressure while fiscal deficits moderate the pressure. The findings establish the dominance of structural and fiscal dynamics in the inflation equation of the economy.
Estimation Of Sacrifice Ratio For The Nigerian Economy Using A Time Varying Adrl Approach, E. T. Adamgbe, M. O. Abeng, A. A. Omosola
Estimation Of Sacrifice Ratio For The Nigerian Economy Using A Time Varying Adrl Approach, E. T. Adamgbe, M. O. Abeng, A. A. Omosola
Economic and Financial Review
Monetary policy in the last few decades had focused on creating the enabling conditions for sustainable economic growth, using the level of inflation as the pivotal tool, complemented with central banks’ independence and monetary policy transparency. However, attaining the delicate balance of achieving low inflation and optimal output, with minimal tradeoffs has been a cause for concern for policy makers. Thus, the measurement of the output loss, arising from the inflation-output tradeoff, forms the fulcrum of this study. This study estimates the sacrifice ratio using a state space methodology in an aggregate supply framework to adjust for real business cycle …
Interest Rate Dynamics And Real Output Behaviour In Nigeria: A Simulation Analysis, S. Rapu, G. Sanni, D. Penzin, N. Nkang, P. Golit, H. Okafor, E. Ibi
Interest Rate Dynamics And Real Output Behaviour In Nigeria: A Simulation Analysis, S. Rapu, G. Sanni, D. Penzin, N. Nkang, P. Golit, H. Okafor, E. Ibi
Economic and Financial Review
The declining output growth observed from the second quarter of 2014, which led to calls for a more expansionary monetary policy despite rising inflationary pressure, necessitated a reassessment of the impact of interest rate on real output growth in Nigeria. Using a Bayesian Vector Autoregressive (BVAR) model and quarterly data from 2000:Q4 to 2015:Q3, the effect of monetary policy transmission (interest rate dynamics) on real output performance was estimated. Although results of the simulation analysis were somewhat mixed, those of the impulse response functions indicated that positive shocks to monetary policy rate (MPR) produced a negative and small impact on …
An Overview And Dynamics Of Financial Market Development In Nigeria And Imperatives For Exchange Rate Stability, E.U. Ukeje
Economic and Financial Review
The article discusses the important role money market plays in the economic development of any country which provides the platform for central banks to influence short-term interest rates,
Dollarisation: Any Possibility In Nigeria And Its Effects On Economic Management And Exchange Rate Stability, E.A. Abolo
Dollarisation: Any Possibility In Nigeria And Its Effects On Economic Management And Exchange Rate Stability, E.A. Abolo
Economic and Financial Review
This paper examined various type and definitions of dollarization, the possibility of dollarization in Nigeria and its effect on economic management. The author emphasized on unofficial dollarization and its benefits and costs.
Exchange Rate And Inflation: Is There A Relationship In Nigeria, C.N.O. Mordi
Exchange Rate And Inflation: Is There A Relationship In Nigeria, C.N.O. Mordi
Economic and Financial Review
This paper attempts to examine the link between exchange rate and domestic price level in Nigeria. Employing the VAR technique, the study used monthly series of inter-bank rate, world export prices, real gross domestic product, oil prices and consumer price index from 2000MI to 2015MI. The results from the study show that exchange rate pass-through to price level is high. a shock to exchange rate (depreciation) would increase domestic price by 0.72 per cent in the first month. The effect rose to 0.82, 0.85 and 0.86 per cent in month 2,4 and 6, respectively, before it began to fall. By …
An Examination Of The Structural Inflation Dynamics In Nigeria, O. J. Odonye, S. O. Odeniran, A. O. Oduyemi, O. J. Olaoye, K. J. Ajayi
An Examination Of The Structural Inflation Dynamics In Nigeria, O. J. Odonye, S. O. Odeniran, A. O. Oduyemi, O. J. Olaoye, K. J. Ajayi
Economic and Financial Review
This study examines the dynamics of inflation in Nigeria, including the structural evolution as well as the direction of its movement with a view to designing appropriate policy measures to rein in the inflationary pressures. The study utilized quarterly data from 1970(1) to 2013 (4) except for Bureau de Change (BDC) premium where the duration was 1991(1) to 2013 (4) based on Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The results show that structural factors like budget deficit, rainfall, variation in export, exchange rate premium have profound influence on movement in CPI in Nigeria during the period.
Oil Price Pass-Through Into Inflation: Empirical Evidence From Nigeria, Adeniyi O. Adenuga, Margaret J. Hilili, Osaretin O. Evbuomwan
Oil Price Pass-Through Into Inflation: Empirical Evidence From Nigeria, Adeniyi O. Adenuga, Margaret J. Hilili, Osaretin O. Evbuomwan
Economic and Financial Review
The objective of the paper is to empirically investigate the oil price pass-through into inflation in Nigeria in order to suggest appropriate domestic policies necessary to control inflation for the policy makers. The study also attempts to answer questions like: What is the causal links between oil price and inflation in Nigeria? Is oil price highly correlated with inflation? What does the result of an estimation of a Phillips curve tell us about the pass-through for oil in Nigeria. The methodology adopted by the paper is a standard pass-through equation in the form of an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model …
Purchasing Power Parity And Exchange Rate In Nigeria: A Regime Switching Approach., M. C. Ononugbo
Purchasing Power Parity And Exchange Rate In Nigeria: A Regime Switching Approach., M. C. Ononugbo
Economic and Financial Review
This study basically extends the work of Obaseki (1998) by including an additional variable to capture the impact of changes in exchange rate regime. The paper undertakes an empirical examination of the long-run co-movement in naira exchange rate and relative price levels of Nigeria and USA. The impact of the policy swap from a system of exchange rate control to a market based system (captured by a dummy variable) is investigated using an error correction model. The outcome reveals the applicability of the PPP using Nigerian data. From the analysis, the prevailing nominal exchange rate during the period closely approximates …
Further Empirical Analysis Of Inflation In Nigeria, O. M. Fakiyesi
Further Empirical Analysis Of Inflation In Nigeria, O. M. Fakiyesi
Economic and Financial Review
This paper analyses the main factors which influence inflation in Nigeria with a view to determining the relevant policy instruments that will reduce it. The empirical analysis confirms the findings of earlier studies that monetary expansion significantly influences the rate of inflation in Nigeria. The other dominant factor is the exchange rate which has a significant and positive impact on inflation. Growth in real income and level of rainfall are also significant in explaining inflation in Nigeria.
An Econometric Analysis Of The Nature And Causes Of Inflation In Nigeria, J. O. Asogu
An Econometric Analysis Of The Nature And Causes Of Inflation In Nigeria, J. O. Asogu
Economic and Financial Review
In this econometric revisitation of inflation in Nigeria, an extensive review of the literature and evidence has been attempted culminating in a specification of the various alternative hypotheses on the causes of inflation. While not ruling out the validity of several theories of inflation in the Nigerian situation, empirical evidence indicates that increases in real domestic produce or supply situation, especially food, and law cost of production of consumables, tended to ameliorate inflation. On the other hand, increases in government expenditure, especially deficits, tend to increase the money supply and worsen depreciation of the exchange rate, which in turn intensify …
Government Expenditures, Money Supply And Prices: 1970-80, J. O. Osakwe
Government Expenditures, Money Supply And Prices: 1970-80, J. O. Osakwe
Economic and Financial Review
The main objectives of this paper are to ascertain the amount of the Federal Government expenditures which affected money supply, during the period 1970-80; to examine the movements of government expenditures, money supply and prices within the period 1970-80 and to investigate the empirical relationships between government spending and money supply, and money supply and prices. In order to achieve the above named objectives, the paper is divided into four parts as follows: Part 1 deals with the estimates of government expenditures which affected money supply. Part 2 describes the movements of government expenditures, money supply and prices; Part 3 …