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Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons™
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Articles 1 - 23 of 23
Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
Yield Spreads And Business Cycle Downturn Predictability Across Texas, 1991-2018, Aaron Dodson Nazarian, Steven L. Fullerton, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.
Yield Spreads And Business Cycle Downturn Predictability Across Texas, 1991-2018, Aaron Dodson Nazarian, Steven L. Fullerton, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.
Border Region Modeling Project
This study analyzes Texas state and metropolitan economic downturn predictability. Publicly available Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas dynamic factor business cycle indices are used in the analysis. Sample data cover Texas and nine of its largest metropolitan economies from January 1991 through May 2018. Dynamic autoregressive profit downturn models are estimated using the United States yield spread plus other regional and macroeconomic variables. Predictive accuracy is analyzed using in-sample model simulations. Results indicate that narrowing yield spreads, real peso appreciation, and oil price declines are generally found to increase recession likelihoods. Varying lag structures and equation specifications indicate that the …
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, March, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, March, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, February, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, February, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, January, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, January, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, December, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, December, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, November, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, November, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, October, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, October, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, September, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, September, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, July, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, July, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, March, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, March, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness
Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
Highlights From The Borderplex Economic Outlook To 2022, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Highlights From The Borderplex Economic Outlook To 2022, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Borderplex Pandemic Monitor, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Borderplex Pandemic Monitor, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton
Border Region Modeling Project
No abstract provided.
Predicting Recessions In Major Texas Metropolitan Economies Using Yield Spreads And Other Economic Indicators, Aaron Dodson Nazarian
Predicting Recessions In Major Texas Metropolitan Economies Using Yield Spreads And Other Economic Indicators, Aaron Dodson Nazarian
Open Access Theses & Dissertations
The yield spread has been found to serve as a valuable economic forecasting tool. This research employs dynamic autoregressive probit downturn models using the United States yield spread and other regional and macroeconomic variables. This study then inspects the predictive power of the United States yield spread on the five largest urban economies in Texas, the four largest metropolitan areas along the Texas-Mexico border, as well as the Texas state economy. The other regional and macroeconomic variables are included in model specifications based on characteristics of the economies being analyzed. Results indicate that a narrowing of the United States Yield …
The Texas Sales Tax Rebate Program, Jose Angel Moreno
The Texas Sales Tax Rebate Program, Jose Angel Moreno
Open Access Theses & Dissertations
The sale tax rebate program has existed in states along the U.S. â?? Mexico border for over 60 years and, in Texas, it has been the subject of much debate regarding both its legitimacy and its efficacy in stimulating real retail sales particularly in border cities. No empirical research exists, though, that provides insight into the statistical relationships between the Texas retail sector and total certificates issued by Private Customs Brokers (PCBs) in border cities. This study fills this research gap by creating a model that tests the statistical significance of real retail sales on total certificates issued in Texas. …
Transit In A Border Zone: The Demand For Public Transportation In Three Texas Border Cities, Adam Gregory Walke
Transit In A Border Zone: The Demand For Public Transportation In Three Texas Border Cities, Adam Gregory Walke
Open Access Theses & Dissertations
Factors affecting the demand for public transportation include those, like fares or the level of service, that transit administrators can directly influence as well as those, like gasoline prices, that are beyond administrators' control. This study considers both but focuses on the latter and, more specifically, on how proximity to an international border affects transit ridership. Pedestrian border crossings have a significant effect on ridership levels in El Paso, Brownsville, and Laredo, Texas. Also, ridership correlates positively with the purchasing power of the peso in Laredo and with Mexico's industrial production index in El Paso. In the context of prior …
Greater El Paso Chamber Of Commerce Community Mental Health Survey, Lisa Tomaka, Mario Caire, Dennis L. Soden
Greater El Paso Chamber Of Commerce Community Mental Health Survey, Lisa Tomaka, Mario Caire, Dennis L. Soden
IPED Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
Sun Metro Fixed Route Rider Survey, Dennis L. Soden, Mathew Mcelroy, Susanne Green
Sun Metro Fixed Route Rider Survey, Dennis L. Soden, Mathew Mcelroy, Susanne Green
IPED Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
City Of Fort Hancock, Texas Incorporation In Texas, Daniel J. Quiñones
City Of Fort Hancock, Texas Incorporation In Texas, Daniel J. Quiñones
IPED Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
Cluster Analysis For Medical Technologies And Health Services For El Paso County And The Upper Rio Grande Region, Carlos Olmedo, Daniel Carrasco-Terrazas
Cluster Analysis For Medical Technologies And Health Services For El Paso County And The Upper Rio Grande Region, Carlos Olmedo, Daniel Carrasco-Terrazas
IPED Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
Analysis Of Small Business Lending In Texas, Steve A. Johnson, David A. Schauer, Dennis L. Soden
Analysis Of Small Business Lending In Texas, Steve A. Johnson, David A. Schauer, Dennis L. Soden
IPED Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
Educational Trends And Income In El Paso: A Longitudinal Perspective, Christine Thurlow Brenner
Educational Trends And Income In El Paso: A Longitudinal Perspective, Christine Thurlow Brenner
IPED Technical Reports
Education is clearly linked to income as numerous studies have shown. In El Paso, this link underscores what can only be called a crisis. As the region’s education level has declined over the past few decades, income has followed in a parallel fashion. This study strongly points out this linkage over the past 50 years, suggesting that a number of issues related to the education pipeline need to be addressed broadly across the community.
Nafta Transportation: The Impacts Of Southern Border Trucking On The Texas Highway System, Barry L. Sullivan, Dennis L. Soden, Janet S. Conary
Nafta Transportation: The Impacts Of Southern Border Trucking On The Texas Highway System, Barry L. Sullivan, Dennis L. Soden, Janet S. Conary
IPED Technical Reports
No abstract provided.
Public Environmental Information In The Texas-Mexico Border: Analysis, Issues And Directions For The Future, Dennis L. Soden, Janet S. Conary
Public Environmental Information In The Texas-Mexico Border: Analysis, Issues And Directions For The Future, Dennis L. Soden, Janet S. Conary
IPED Technical Reports
No abstract provided.