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2008

Expectations and Uncertainty

Articles 1 - 2 of 2

Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

Individuals’ Responses To Social Security Reform, Adeline Delavande, Susann Rohwedder Aug 2008

Individuals’ Responses To Social Security Reform, Adeline Delavande, Susann Rohwedder

Susann Rohwedder

The Social Security trust fund is predicted to be depleted by 2041. While there are several viable reform proposals to restore long-term solvency of the Social Security system, one important element that is critical to the success of any reform remains unknown: how will individuals respond to, for example, a cut of their Social Security benefits. Will they work longer or save more or both, and to what extent will their response make up for the cut in benefits? In this paper we use data from the HRS Internet Survey where we asked respondents directly what they would do if …


The Retirement-Consumption Puzzle: Actual Spending Change In Panel Data, Michael Hurd, Susann Rohwedder Mar 2008

The Retirement-Consumption Puzzle: Actual Spending Change In Panel Data, Michael Hurd, Susann Rohwedder

Susann Rohwedder

The simple one-good model of life-cycle consumption requires that consumption be continuous over retirement; yet prior research based on partial measures of consumption or on synthetic panels indicates that spending drops at retirement, a result that has been called the retirement-consumption puzzle. Using panel data on total spending, nondurable spending and food spending, we find that spending declines at small rates over retirement, at rates that could be explained by mechanisms such as the cessation of work-related expenses, unexpected retirement due to a health shock or by the substitution of time for spending. In the low-wealth population where spending did …