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Statistics and Probability

Monte Carlo Simulation

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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

Experiment-Wise Type I Error Rates In Nested (Hierarchical) Study Designs, Jack Sawilowsky, Barry Markman May 2017

Experiment-Wise Type I Error Rates In Nested (Hierarchical) Study Designs, Jack Sawilowsky, Barry Markman

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

When conducting a statistical test one of the initial risks that must be considered is a Type I error, also known as a false positive. The Type I error rate is set by nominal alpha, assuming all underlying conditions of the statistic are met. Experiment-wise Type I error inflation occurs when multiple tests are conducted overall for a single experiment. There is a growing trend in the social and behavioral sciences utilizing nested designs. A Monte Carlo study was conducted using a two-layer design. Five theoretical distributions and four real datasets taken from Micceri (1989) were used, each with five …


Comparison Of Estimators In Glm With Binary Data, D. M. Sakate, D. N. Kashid Nov 2014

Comparison Of Estimators In Glm With Binary Data, D. M. Sakate, D. N. Kashid

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) of regression parameters in the generalized linear models (GLM) are biased and their bias is non negligible when sample size is small. This study focuses on the GLM with binary data with multiple observations on response for each predictor value when sample size is small. The performance of the estimation methods in Cordeiro and McCullagh (1991), Firth (1993) and Pardo et al. (2005) are compared for GLM with binary data using an extensive Monte Carlo simulation study. Performance of these methods for three real data sets is also compared.


The Overall F-Tests For Seasonal Unit Roots Under Nonstationary Alternatives: Some Theoretical Results And A Monte Carlo Investigation, Ghassen El Montasser May 2011

The Overall F-Tests For Seasonal Unit Roots Under Nonstationary Alternatives: Some Theoretical Results And A Monte Carlo Investigation, Ghassen El Montasser

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In many empirical studies concerning seasonal time series, it has been shown that the whole set of unit roots associated with seasonal random walks are not present. This article focuses on the overall F-tests for seasonal unit roots under some nonstationary alternatives different from the seasonal random walk. The asymptotic theory of these tests is established for these cases using a new approach based on circulant matrix concepts. The simulation results joined to this theoretic analysis showed that the overall F-tests, as well as their augmented versions, maintained high power against the nonstationary alternatives.


The Effect Of Different Degrees Of Freedom Of The Chi-Square Distribution On The Statistical Power Of The T, Permutation T, And Wilcoxon Tests, Michèle Weber Nov 2007

The Effect Of Different Degrees Of Freedom Of The Chi-Square Distribution On The Statistical Power Of The T, Permutation T, And Wilcoxon Tests, Michèle Weber

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The Chi-square distribution is used quite often in Monte Carlo studies to examine statistical power of competing statistics. The power spectrum of the t-test, Wilcoxon test, and permutation t test are compared under various degrees of freedom for this distribution. The two t tests have similar power, which is generally less than the Wilcoxon.


Approximate Bayesian Confidence Intervals For The Mean Of An Exponential Distribution Versus Fisher Matrix Bounds Models, Vincent A. R. Camara May 2007

Approximate Bayesian Confidence Intervals For The Mean Of An Exponential Distribution Versus Fisher Matrix Bounds Models, Vincent A. R. Camara

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The aim of this article is to obtain and compare confidence intervals for the mean of an exponential distribution. Considering respectively the square error and the Higgins-Tsokos loss functions, approximate Bayesian confidence intervals for parameters of exponential population are derived. Using exponential data, the obtained approximate Bayesian confidence intervals will then be compared to the ones obtained with Fisher Matrix bounds method. It is shown that the proposed approximate Bayesian approach relies only on the observations. The Fisher Matrix bounds method, that uses the z-table, does not always yield the best confidence intervals, and the proposed approach often performs better.


Bayesian Reliability Modeling Using Monte Carlo Integration, Vincent A. R. Camara, Chris P. Tsokos May 2005

Bayesian Reliability Modeling Using Monte Carlo Integration, Vincent A. R. Camara, Chris P. Tsokos

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Bayesian Reliability Modeling Using Monte Carlo IntegrationThe aim of this article is to introduce the concept of Monte Carlo Integration in Bayesian estimation and Bayesian reliability analysis. Using the subject concept, approximate estimates of parameters and reliability functions are obtained for the three-parameter Weibull and the gamma failure models. Four different loss functions are used: square error, Higgins-Tsokos, Harris, and a logarithmic loss function proposed in this article. Relative efficiency is used to compare results obtained under the above mentioned loss functions.