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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

The Role Of Expectation And Memory In The Hindsight Bias Effect: A Test Of Cognitive Reconstruction Models, Ivan K. Ash, Clinton S. Comer Jan 2007

The Role Of Expectation And Memory In The Hindsight Bias Effect: A Test Of Cognitive Reconstruction Models, Ivan K. Ash, Clinton S. Comer

Psychology Faculty Publications

(First Paragraph) The Hindsight Bias Effect (HBE) describes the observation that once people are aware of an outcome to a situation, they have a tendency to falsely believe that they would have predicted the true outcome (see Guibault et al., 2004) Historically, the most popular explanations for this effect can be described as Cognitive Reconstruction Models of retrospective judgment formation (Hawkins & Hastie, 1990). These theories propose the hindsight bias occurs when people do not or cannot directly recall their initial judgment at the point of retrospection. Therefore, people attempt to reconstruct their original predictive judgment by re-judging the situation …


Cognitive Implications Of Facilitating Echoic Persistence, Carryl L. Baldwin Jan 2007

Cognitive Implications Of Facilitating Echoic Persistence, Carryl L. Baldwin

Psychology Faculty Publications

Seventeen participants performed a tone-pattern-matching task at different presentation levels while concurrently engaged in a simulated-driving task. Presentation levels of 60, 65, and 70 dBC (SPL) were combined factorially with tone-matching delays of 2, 3, and 4 sec. Intensity had no effect on performance in single-task conditions and short-delay conditions. However, when the participants were engaged concurrently in the driving task, a significant interaction between presentation level and delay was observed. In the longest delay condition, the participants performed the tone-patten-matching task more efficiently (more quickly and without additional errors) as presentation intensity increased. These findings demonstrate the interaction between …